Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Hornets | 49% | 110 | 108 |
 | 26 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 43% | 108 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Pistons | 44% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 35% | 117 | 85 |
 | 4 | Nets | 65% | 122 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 83% | 114 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 119 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 51% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 31% | 112 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 30% | 108 | 108 |
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Sunday, January 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 43% | 109 | 107 |
| 8 | Pacers | 57% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 14% | 103 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 37% | 105 | 103 |
| 18 | Celtics | 63% | 109 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 111 | 107 |
| 26 | Magic | 52% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Bucks | 77% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Knicks | 34% | 108 | 113 |
| 9 | Blazers | 66% | 114 | 116 |
Saturday, January 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 62% | 113 | 114 |
| 25 | Pistons | 38% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 30% | 114 | 124 |
| 5 | Nets | 70% | 122 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pelicans | 64% | 111 | 110 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 36% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 30% | 109 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 79% | 120 | 101 |
| 26 | Bulls | 21% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Mavericks | 75% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 110 | 120 |
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Friday, January 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 45% | 108 | 103 |
| 21 | Pistons | 55% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 42% | 114 | 123 |
| 20 | Hornets | 58% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 34% | 107 | 118 |
| 14 | Pacers | 66% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 74% | 119 | 113 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 26% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 38% | 109 | 110 |
| 7 | 76ers | 62% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 40% | 110 | 81 |
| 8 | Raptors | 60% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 62% | 116 | 116 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 38% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 113 | 122 |
| 13 | Spurs | 49% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 40% | 110 | 130 |
| 6 | Suns | 60% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 13% | 101 | 106 |
| 3 | Clippers | 87% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 43% | 111 | 94 |
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Thursday, January 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 42% | 110 | 113 |
| 1 | Bucks | 58% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 34% | 106 | 119 |
| 11 | Warriors | 66% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 28% | 106 | 118 |
| 5 | Jazz | 72% | 114 | 129 |
Wednesday, January 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 76% | 117 | 135 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 24% | 107 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 51% | 111 | 124 |
| 16 | Pacers | 49% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 38% | 108 | 109 |
| 10 | 76ers | 62% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 38% | 111 | 115 |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 34% | 109 | 111 |
| 6 | Raptors | 66% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 48% | 110 | 97 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 52% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 56% | 111 | 109 |
| 17 | Rockets | 44% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 99 |
| 9 | Warriors | 57% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 18% | 109 | 96 |
| 3 | Clippers | 82% | 122 | 115 |
Tuesday, January 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 28% | 105 | 102 |
| 5 | Jazz | 72% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 24% | 106 | 101 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 76% | 116 | 119 |
Monday, January 18, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 48% | 107 | 84 |
| 26 | Knicks | 52% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 32% | 112 | 97 |
| 15 | Hawks | 68% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 46% | 115 | 125 |
| 13 | Blazers | 54% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 35% | 108 | 93 |
| 7 | Raptors | 65% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 52% | 119 | 123 |
| 5 | Nets | 48% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 56% | 114 | 120 |
| 24 | Bulls | 44% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 107 |
| 17 | Heat | 60% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 27% | 107 | 115 |
| 2 | Lakers | 73% | 116 | 113 |
Sunday, January 17, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 29% | 103 | 105 |
| 15 | Celtics | 71% | 111 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 26% | 111 | 117 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 74% | 120 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 51% | 113 | 109 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 49% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 53% | 116 | 128 |
| 25 | Kings | 47% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 29% | 107 | 96 |
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 129 |
Saturday, January 16, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 38% | 108 | 91 |
| 12 | Spurs | 62% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 15% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Nets | 85% | 123 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 32% | 108 | 113 |
| 8 | Raptors | 68% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 46% | 110 | 104 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 54% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 37% | 110 | 120 |
| 15 | Heat | 63% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 115 | 106 |
| 9 | Blazers | 72% | 123 | 112 |
Friday, January 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 97 |
| 18 | Celtics | 65% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 53% | 103 | 103 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 47% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 109 |
| 2 | Bucks | 67% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 53% | 113 | 125 |
| 28 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 29% | 110 | 92 |
| 4 | Jazz | 71% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 23% | 103 | 95 |
| 3 | Lakers | 77% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 70% | 120 | 138 |
| 22 | Kings | 30% | 113 | 100 |
Thursday, January 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 48% | 115 | 108 |
| 13 | 76ers | 52% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 42% | 109 | 109 |
| 15 | Spurs | 58% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 25% | 106 | 108 |
| 8 | Raptors | 75% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 40% | 114 | 111 |
| 7 | Blazers | 60% | 118 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 112 | 104 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 57% | 115 | 114 |
Wednesday, January 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 115 | 104 |
| 19 | Hornets | 39% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 72% | 117 | 110 |
| 25 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 59% | 114 | 116 |
| 29 | Knicks | 41% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 111 | 118 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 53% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 113 | 128 |
| 27 | Thunder | 24% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 20% | 104 | 106 |
| 1 | Clippers | 80% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Blazers | 60% | 122 | 132 |
| 24 | Kings | 40% | 118 | 126 |
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 58% | 114 | 134 |
| 16 | 76ers | 42% | 111 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 78% | 111 | 117 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 45% | 116 | 116 |
| 14 | Nets | 55% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 55% | 111 | 112 |
| 26 | Thunder | 45% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 111 | 117 |
| 8 | Rockets | 44% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 113 | 104 |
| 10 | Warriors | 60% | 116 | 95 |