Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 97 |
 | 18 | Celtics | 65% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 53% | 103 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 109 |
 | 2 | Bucks | 67% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bulls | 53% | 113 | 125 |
 | 28 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 23% | 102 | 95 |
 | 3 | Lakers | 77% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 45% | 114 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 108 |
 | 8 | Raptors | 74% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 114 | 104 |
| 19 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 110 |
 | 25 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Nets | 59% | 114 | 116 |
| 29 | Knicks | 41% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Timberwolves | 53% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 112 | 128 |
| 27 | Thunder | 24% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 21% | 105 | 106 |
| 1 | Clippers | 79% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 122 | 132 |
| 24 | Kings | 40% | 118 | 126 |
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 58% | 113 | 134 |
| 16 | 76ers | 42% | 110 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 44% | 116 | 116 |
| 14 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 78% | 111 | 117 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 111 | 117 |
| 8 | Rockets | 44% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 55% | 111 | 112 |
| 26 | Thunder | 45% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 112 | 104 |
| 10 | Warriors | 60% | 116 | 95 |
Monday, January 11, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 107 | 88 |
| 20 | Hornets | 64% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 55% | 104 | 101 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 45% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 75% | 117 | 121 |
| 29 | Magic | 25% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 46% | 115 | 94 |
| 17 | Hawks | 54% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 40% | 114 | 111 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 63% | 117 | 122 |
| 25 | Kings | 37% | 112 | 127 |
Sunday, January 10, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 67% | 115 | 96 |
| 22 | Pistons | 33% | 109 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 16% | 106 | 127 |
| 1 | Clippers | 84% | 120 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 26% | 107 | 129 |
| 12 | Nets | 74% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 53% | 109 | 114 |
| 24 | Knicks | 47% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 51% | 109 | 120 |
| 7 | Rockets | 49% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 61% | 118 | 88 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 39% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 48% | 114 | 105 |
| 15 | Warriors | 52% | 115 | 106 |
Saturday, January 9, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 115 |
| 21 | 76ers | 46% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 57% | 118 | 105 |
| 22 | Hornets | 43% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 40% | 108 | 125 |
| 6 | Pacers | 60% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 60% | 120 | 128 |
| 17 | Wizards | 40% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 25% | 105 | 90 |
| 7 | Bucks | 75% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 55% | 119 | 125 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 45% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 23% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 77% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 121 | 125 |
| 20 | Kings | 41% | 118 | 99 |
Friday, January 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 68% | 115 | 105 |
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 34% | 114 | 107 |
| 7 | Celtics | 66% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 40% | 104 | 101 |
| 23 | Knicks | 60% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 36% | 108 | 118 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 64% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 32% | 107 | 90 |
| 9 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 53% | 110 | 110 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 47% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 33% | 111 | 131 |
| 1 | Bucks | 67% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 105 |
| 14 | Warriors | 39% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 28% | 107 | 115 |
| 4 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 54% | 114 | 144 |
| 20 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 123 |
Thursday, January 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 109 |
| 20 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 32% | 102 | 94 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 68% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 48% | 111 | 124 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 52% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 24% | 105 | 118 |
| 3 | Lakers | 76% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 27% | 113 | 117 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 122 | 135 |
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 42% | 109 | 107 |
| 7 | Pacers | 58% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 39% | 107 | 94 |
| 23 | Magic | 61% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 29% | 114 | 136 |
| 5 | 76ers | 71% | 121 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 31% | 114 | 102 |
| 16 | Hawks | 69% | 121 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 44% | 109 | 107 |
| 10 | Heat | 56% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 60% | 111 | 100 |
| 25 | Knicks | 40% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 14% | 107 | 115 |
| 1 | Bucks | 86% | 122 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 31% | 104 | 111 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 69% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 39% | 108 | 115 |
| 4 | Suns | 61% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 52% | 117 | 108 |
| 15 | Warriors | 48% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 36% | 114 | 124 |
| 21 | Kings | 64% | 119 | 128 |
Tuesday, January 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 55% | 115 | 96 |
| 17 | Nets | 45% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 73% | 112 | 94 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 27% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 26% | 109 | 116 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 74% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 21% | 106 | 116 |
| 3 | Clippers | 79% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 29% | 116 | 111 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 123 | 108 |
Monday, January 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 42% | 109 | 83 |
| 23 | Magic | 58% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 107 | 101 |
| 6 | 76ers | 78% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 34% | 111 | 113 |
| 16 | Hawks | 66% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 27% | 105 | 90 |
| 10 | Heat | 73% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 34% | 105 | 126 |
| 7 | Raptors | 66% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 34% | 109 | 113 |
| 8 | Rockets | 66% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 9% | 104 | 115 |
| 1 | Bucks | 91% | 123 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 55% | 111 | 118 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 45% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 118 | 106 |
| 17 | Warriors | 51% | 119 | 137 |
Sunday, January 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 122 |
| 26 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 27% | 117 | 123 |
| 6 | Nets | 73% | 126 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 74% | 113 | 108 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 26% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 65% | 116 | 124 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 130 |
| 19 | Spurs | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 67% | 119 | 108 |
| 30 | Bulls | 33% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 45% | 108 | 112 |
| 5 | Suns | 55% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 119 | 122 |
| 21 | Warriors | 46% | 118 | 137 |
Saturday, January 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 32% | 112 | 94 |
| 6 | Rockets | 68% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 25% | 106 | 106 |
| 8 | Pacers | 75% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 108 |
| 23 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 20% | 105 | 112 |
| 9 | 76ers | 80% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 114 | 96 |
| 16 | Hawks | 67% | 120 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 55% | 110 | 116 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 45% | 108 | 120 |