Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Wizards	33%	113	95	94.1	101	105.6
	11	Heat	67%	119	122	122.0	100	96.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	27.4	7	22%	3	3	3	0	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	0-7	0%	1-7	14%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	27.0	12	43%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	24.6	13	59%	3	3	0	0	6	2	1	2	5-7	71%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	19.7	6	60%	7	1	0	1	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	16.1	4	40%	6	0	1	1	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 33	25.8	8	44%	5	5	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	24.2	18	69%	3	2	2	6	2	1	2	1	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	0-3	0%
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	18.2	3	75%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	16.2	7	39%	4	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Davis Bertans #42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 28	16.1	9	113%	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 22	15.8	5	42%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	4.1	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left ACL injury
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left Groin tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	47%	40	19	7	9	17	20	12	28	21-24	88%	25-56	45%	8-33	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	27.4	7	22%	3	3	3	0	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	0-7	0%	1-7	14%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	27.0	12	43%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	24.6	13	59%	3	3	0	0	6	2	1	2	5-7	71%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	19.7	6	60%	7	1	0	1	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	16.1	4	40%	6	0	1	1	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 33	25.8	8	44%	5	5	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	24.2	18	69%	3	2	2	6	2	1	2	1	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	0-3	0%
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	18.2	3	75%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	16.2	7	39%	4	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Davis Bertans #42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 28	16.1	9	113%	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 22	15.8	5	42%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	4.1	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left ACL injury
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left Groin tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	47%	40	19	7	9	17	20	12	28	21-24	88%	25-56	45%	8-33	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	27.7	21	70%	4	3	1	2	0	2	1	3	11-11	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	26.4	6	33%	1	2	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-9	22%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	25.6	14	70%	8	9	3	1	2	1	1	7	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	22.3	9	64%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30	20.7	17	106%	7	1	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-7	71%

Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 26	32.0	25	69%	8	1	2	0	4	3	3	5	1-2	50%	9-11	82%	2-6	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	29.4	17	53%	4	4	1	2	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	24.4	6	75%	10	3	1	2	0	1	1	9	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · SF · 6'8" 243 · 21	20.3	4	25%	1	0	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	7.8	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 22	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Avery Bradley #11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	48	27	9	7	16	20	9	39	20-23	87%	27-50	54%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.6%

MIA

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

18

34

53%

MIA

18

28

64%

Midrange

WAS

7

22

32%

MIA

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

8

12.0

33

24%

36%

MIA

16

24.0

36

44%

67%

Free Throws

WAS

21

24

88%

MIA

20

23

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Len	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Westbrook	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Hachimura	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Bertans	9	113%	4.5 / 4
I. Smith	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Beal	7	22%	3.5 / 16
J. Robinson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Lopez	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Brown Jr.	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Avdija	4	40%	2.0 / 5
I. Bonga	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Wagner	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Nunn	25	69%	12.5 / 18
B. Adebayo	21	70%	10.5 / 15
K. Olynyk	17	106%	8.5 / 8
T. Herro	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Butler	14	70%	7.0 / 10
G. Dragic	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Robinson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Iguodala	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Achiuwa	4	25%	2.0 / 8
M. Strus	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 111.2 19 111.1	WAS 94.1 MIA 122.0 +27.9
Pace	1 104.1 29 96.7	WAS 105.6 +9.0 MIA 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.5 12 14.7	WAS 13.6 −1.3 MIA 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.1% 11 54.6%	WAS 41.6% MIA 59.3% +17.7%
TO %	16 13.3% 21 13.7%	WAS 15.3% MIA 15.0% −0.3%
ORB %	21 21.3% 29 19.4%	WAS 23.5% MIA 24.3% +0.8%
FTrt	3 28.8 11 25.2	WAS 27.0 +0.3 MIA 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.0% 2 67.1%	WAS 57.6% MIA 62.8% +5.2%
STL %	23 7.0% 7 8.2%	WAS 6.9% MIA 9.0% +2.1%
BLK %	30 7.1% 22 8.5%	WAS 18.0% +5.5% MIA 12.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.0% 13 56.5%	WAS 46.6% MIA 62.2% +15.6%
Rim FG%	5 64.3% 2 64.8%	WAS 52.9% MIA 64.3% +11.4%
Mid FG%	17 41.6% 16 41.8%	WAS 31.8% MIA 40.9% +9.1%
3P %	22 35.1% 19 35.8%	WAS 24.2% MIA 44.4% +20.2%
FT %	19 76.9% 12 79.0%	WAS 87.5% +0.5% MIA 87.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 35.0% 20 33.3%	WAS 38.2% +5.6% MIA 32.6%
Mid Att. %	27 33.1% 11 23.5%	WAS 24.7% −0.9% MIA 25.6%
3P Att. %	29 31.9% 7 43.2%	WAS 37.1% MIA 41.9% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	24.8
Points	95	122
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	19	27
Steals	7	9
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	33-89	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	18-28
Midrange FG	7-22	9-22
2-Point FG	25-56	27-50
3-Point FG	8-33	16-36
Free Throws	21-24	20-23
Fast Break Pts	7	8
2nd Chance Pts	21	14
Points in Paint	42	44
Pts off Turnovers	18	21
Bench Points	53	55
Biggest Lead	3	37

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg