Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pelicans | 41% | 110 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 53% | 112 | 119 |
 | 28 | Magic | 47% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 36% | 115 | 123 |
 | 5 | Nets | 64% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Bucks | 77% | 116 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Hornets | 39% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Heat | 65% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 106 |
 | 27 | Thunder | 56% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 30% | 104 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | 31% | 106 | 119 |
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Thursday, February 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 69% | 115 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Mavericks | 58% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Lakers | 65% | 112 | 114 |
Wednesday, February 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 |
| 20 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 110 |
| 2 | Bucks | 75% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 122 |
| 16 | Hawks | 52% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 72% | 113 | 121 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 28% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 30% | 113 | 103 |
| 15 | Heat | 70% | 121 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 49% | 111 | 107 |
| 24 | Bulls | 51% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 64% | 112 | 87 |
| 26 | Thunder | 36% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 31% | 110 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 57% | 111 | 101 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 43% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 47% | 112 | 111 |
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Tuesday, February 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 67% | 111 | 123 |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 47% | 118 | 120 |
| 6 | Nets | 53% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 106 | 116 |
| 13 | Pacers | 61% | 110 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 120 | 132 |
| 23 | Wizards | 60% | 123 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 22% | 105 | 105 |
| 3 | Jazz | 78% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 52% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | Warriors | 48% | 111 | 107 |
Monday, February 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 62% | 113 | 107 |
| 14 | Hawks | 38% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 42% | 109 | 129 |
| 17 | Heat | 58% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 41% | 107 | 98 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 59% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 42% | 110 | 102 |
| 26 | Bulls | 58% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 112 | 106 |
| 2 | Bucks | 79% | 123 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 44% | 115 | 118 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 68% | 111 | 136 |
| 28 | Thunder | 32% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 46% | 109 | 109 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 54% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 44% | 108 | 133 |
| 16 | Spurs | 56% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, January 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 68% | 110 | 129 |
| 24 | Knicks | 32% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 48% | 111 | 117 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 52% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 48% | 112 | 119 |
| 10 | Pacers | 52% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 28% | 104 | 102 |
| 8 | Raptors | 72% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 62% | 123 | 146 |
| 26 | Wizards | 38% | 119 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 53% | 109 | 104 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 47% | 108 | 109 |
Saturday, January 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 118 | 123 |
| 25 | Bulls | 51% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 69% | 117 | 114 |
| 22 | Hornets | 31% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 55% | 110 | 126 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 45% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 37% | 112 | 104 |
| 19 | Heat | 63% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 109 | 96 |
| 6 | Celtics | 44% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 47% | 109 | 129 |
| 14 | Spurs | 53% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 39% | 111 | 91 |
| 15 | Warriors | 61% | 115 | 118 |
Friday, January 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 56% | 113 | 105 |
| 23 | Hornets | 44% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 59% | 120 | 116 |
| 28 | Wizards | 41% | 117 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 44% | 104 | 81 |
| 25 | Knicks | 56% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 30% | 110 | 126 |
| 7 | Raptors | 70% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 69% | 116 | 126 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 31% | 109 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 63% | 112 | 116 |
| 26 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 71% | 117 | 118 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 29% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 73% | 120 | 147 |
| 29 | Thunder | 27% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 56% | 114 | 109 |
| 16 | Spurs | 44% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 35% | 108 | 101 |
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 120 |
Thursday, January 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 111 | 101 |
| 12 | Rockets | 66% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 92 |
| 21 | Pistons | 33% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 49% | 108 | 109 |
| 17 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 39% | 109 | 93 |
| 10 | Suns | 61% | 113 | 114 |
Wednesday, January 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 112 | 116 |
| 20 | Hornets | 44% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 49% | 108 | 107 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 51% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 46% | 112 | 121 |
| 23 | Magic | 54% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 60% | 121 | 132 |
| 14 | Hawks | 40% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 56% | 113 | 109 |
| 16 | Heat | 44% | 111 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 60% | 113 | 106 |
| 8 | 76ers | 40% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 113 | 115 |
| 7 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 52% | 112 | 106 |
| 17 | Spurs | 48% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 33% | 112 | 106 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 67% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 23% | 103 | 102 |
| 6 | Suns | 77% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 38% | 108 | 104 |
| 3 | Jazz | 62% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 111 |
| 13 | Warriors | 72% | 116 | 123 |
Tuesday, January 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 47% | 112 | 99 |
| 17 | Hawks | 53% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 35% | 111 | 88 |
| 16 | Rockets | 65% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 23% | 102 | 94 |
| 4 | Jazz | 77% | 113 | 108 |
Monday, January 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 57% | 112 | 104 |
| 22 | Pistons | 43% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 114 |
| 8 | Pacers | 55% | 110 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 49% | 110 | 108 |
| 26 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 32% | 115 | 85 |
| 4 | Nets | 68% | 122 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 83% | 114 | 115 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 17% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 51% | 114 | 117 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 49% | 112 | 119 |
| 23 | Bulls | 51% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 30% | 107 | 108 |
| 13 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 31% | 111 | 125 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 118 | 122 |
Sunday, January 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 107 |
| 8 | Pacers | 56% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 12% | 101 | 100 |
| 1 | Clippers | 88% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 38% | 105 | 103 |
| 18 | Celtics | 62% | 109 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 110 | 107 |
| 26 | Magic | 52% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 39% | 116 | 101 |
| 12 | Spurs | 61% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 24% | 109 | 115 |
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 108 | 113 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 114 | 116 |
Saturday, January 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 63% | 113 | 114 |
| 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 29% | 114 | 124 |
| 5 | Nets | 71% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 64% | 111 | 110 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 36% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 31% | 109 | 108 |
| 4 | Jazz | 69% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 78% | 119 | 101 |
| 26 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 26% | 104 | 133 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 110 | 120 |
| 6 | Suns | 60% | 114 | 112 |