Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 12, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Spurs	37%	112	125	120.2	104	102.1
	15	Hawks	63%	117	114	108.6	105	106.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-13

100

ATL

+15

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.25 62.5%

ATL

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	28.3	14	100%	12	1	3	3	2	0	2	10	0-1	0%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	27.6	20	83%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	25.7	23	72%	6	8	0	0	2	1	2	4	9-10	90%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	24.5	16	62%	6	5	1	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	17.0	11	79%	2	4	1	1	0	4	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	20.8	12	100%	3	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	19.7	5	63%	7	0	0	1	2	5	3	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	19.3	11	50%	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	18.1	5	25%	3	2	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	12.3	3	30%	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	10.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	8.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	7.9	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	INACTIVE
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	46	27	6	6	13	25	8	38	23-28	82%	33-54	61%	12-31	39%

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20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	28.3	14	100%	12	1	3	3	2	0	2	10	0-1	0%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	27.6	20	83%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	25.7	23	72%	6	8	0	0	2	1	2	4	9-10	90%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	24.5	16	62%	6	5	1	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	17.0	11	79%	2	4	1	1	0	4	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	20.8	12	100%	3	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	19.7	5	63%	7	0	0	1	2	5	3	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	19.3	11	50%	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	18.1	5	25%	3	2	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	12.3	3	30%	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	10.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	8.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	7.9	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	INACTIVE
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	46	27	6	6	13	25	8	38	23-28	82%	33-54	61%	12-31	39%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Huerter #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	23.8	5	31%	2	4	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 22	23.4	25	74%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 23	23.1	9	38%	6	1	0	0	3	2	4	2	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 27	21.3	14	64%	11	0	1	2	1	2	3	8	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Cam Reddish #22 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 21	21.0	6	30%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%

Solomon Hill #18 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	21.1	2	20%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Tony Snell #19 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 29	17.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	16.9	20	91%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Danilo Gallinari #8 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 33	16.6	2	25%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	16.0	6	100%	3	2	2	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	15.8	13	65%	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 22	14.1	6	60%	6	1	0	1	0	2	0	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nathan Knight #1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 23	9.6	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kris Dunn #32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Avulsion Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Rajon Rondo #7 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	41	22	10	4	12	17	10	31	25-33	76%	28-58	48%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.25 62.5%

ATL

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

67%

ATL

55%

Midrange

SAS

56%

ATL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

18.0

39%

58%

ATL

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

SAS

82%

ATL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	23	72%	11.5 / 16
K. Johnson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
D. Murray	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Poeltl	14	100%	7.0 / 7
P. Mills	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. White	11	79%	5.5 / 7
L. Walker IV	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Eubanks	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Gay	5	25%	2.5 / 10
D. Vassell	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Bates-Diop	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Q. Weatherspoon	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	25	74%	12.5 / 17
S. Mays	20	91%	10.0 / 11
C. Capela	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Goodwin	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Collins	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Reddish	6	30%	3.0 / 10
O. Okongwu	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Fernando	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Knight	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Huerter	5	31%	2.5 / 8
S. Hill	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Gallinari	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Snell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 9 114.8	SAS 120.2 +11.6 ATL 108.6
Pace	16 98.9 21 98.3	SAS 102.1 ATL 106.9 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 15 14.7	SAS 14.1 ATL 13.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 16 53.9%	SAS 60.0% +10.6% ATL 49.4%
TO %	2 11.0% 12 12.8%	SAS 12.6% ATL 10.3% −2.3%
ORB %	27 20.1% 4 24.5%	SAS 20.5% ATL 20.8% +0.3%
FTrt	14 24.3 4 27.8	SAS 32.9 ATL 36.7 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 18 59.1%	SAS 60.0% +3.6% ATL 56.4%
STL %	22 7.0% 21 7.1%	SAS 5.8% ATL 9.5% +3.7%
BLK %	15 8.9% 19 8.6%	SAS 10.3% +2.9% ATL 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 11 56.5%	SAS 62.5% +9.7% ATL 52.8%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 21 59.7%	SAS 66.7% +11.4% ATL 55.3%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 7 44.1%	SAS 55.6% +20.6% ATL 35.0%
3P %	24 35.0% 12 37.3%	SAS 38.7% +4.3% ATL 34.4%
FT %	10 79.2% 5 81.2%	SAS 82.1% +6.3% ATL 75.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 16 33.7%	SAS 31.8% ATL 42.2% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 21 28.0%	SAS 31.8% ATL 22.2% −9.5%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 19 38.2%	SAS 36.5% +0.9% ATL 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ATL
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	125	114
Rebounds	46	41
Assists	27	22
Steals	6	10
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	25	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	45-85	39-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	21-38
Midrange FG	15-27	7-20
2-Point FG	33-54	28-58
3-Point FG	12-31	11-32
Free Throws	23-28	25-33
Fast Break Pts	11	11
2nd Chance Pts	15	14
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	17
Bench Points	41	55
Biggest Lead	42	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg