Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 12, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 45% | 112 | 114 | |
23 | Hornets | 55% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 109 | |||
27 | Wizards | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | 38% | 112 | 125 | |
16 | Hawks | 62% | 117 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 38% | 113 | 130 | |
13 | Mavericks | 62% | 117 | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 125 | |||
22 | Bulls | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Thunder | 25% | 106 | 95 | |
7 | Nuggets | 75% | 116 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 115 | |||
2 | Jazz | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Grizzlies | 29% | 103 | 105 | |
3 | Lakers | 71% | 111 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 110 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 27% | 108 | 123 | |
19 | Kings | 73% | 117 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 108 | |||
5 | Celtics | 102 |
Thursday, February 11, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 47% | 108 | 111 | |
24 | Pistons | 53% | 109 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 101 | |||
17 | Rockets | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 24% | 105 | 105 | |
11 | Warriors | 76% | 115 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 114 | |||
16 | Trail Blazers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 106 | |||
7 | Celtics | 120 |
Wednesday, February 10, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 137 | |||
27 | Wizards | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 48% | 117 | 94 | |
5 | Nets | 52% | 118 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 117 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 51% | 115 | 116 | |
23 | Bulls | 49% | 114 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 114 | |||
21 | Grizzlies | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 66% | 115 | 119 | |
25 | Timberwolves | 34% | 109 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 95 | |||
6 | Nuggets | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 58% | 114 | 124 | |
9 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Thunder | 113 | |||
1 | Lakers | 114 |
Tuesday, February 9, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nets | 56% | 116 | 111 | |
27 | Pistons | 44% | 114 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 96 | |||
14 | Heat | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 37% | 108 | 101 | |
20 | Pelicans | 63% | 112 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 114 | |||
17 | Spurs | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 32% | 107 | 108 | |
3 | Jazz | 68% | 113 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 97 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 55% | 116 | 119 | |
21 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 111 |
Monday, February 8, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 59% | 111 | 94 | |
22 | Hornets | 41% | 108 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Wizards | 105 | |||
23 | Bulls | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 53% | 110 | 128 | |
19 | Grizzlies | 47% | 109 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 122 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 49% | 114 | 100 | |
17 | Spurs | 51% | 115 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 113 | |||
9 | Suns | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 125 | |
6 | Nuggets | 51% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Thunder | 112 | |||
1 | Lakers | 119 |
Sunday, February 7, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Wizards | 40% | 116 | 97 | |
23 | Hornets | 60% | 119 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Jazz | 59% | 113 | 103 | |
13 | Pacers | 41% | 110 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 109 | |||
26 | Knicks | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 42% | 107 | 91 | |
9 | Suns | 58% | 110 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 113 | |||
1 | Clippers | 110 |
Saturday, February 6, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 111 | 99 | |
26 | Knicks | 54% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 114 | |||
21 | Kings | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 49% | 112 | 118 | |
27 | Magic | 51% | 113 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nets | 108 | |||
10 | 76ers | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 49% | 110 | 109 | |
20 | Pelicans | 51% | 111 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 121 | |||
16 | Hawks | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 75% | 115 | 124 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 106 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | 111 | |||
17 | Rockets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 42% | 107 | 118 | |
30 | Thunder | 58% | 109 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 132 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 12% | 97 | 129 | |
1 | Lakers | 88% | 114 | 135 |
Friday, February 5, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Jazz | 138 | |||
22 | Hornets | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 41% | 110 | 114 | |
12 | Pacers | 59% | 114 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 119 | |||
28 | Magic | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 36% | 115 | 123 | |
5 | Nets | 64% | 120 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 123 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 35% | 113 | 95 | |
15 | Heat | 65% | 119 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 106 | |||
30 | Thunder | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Pistons | 30% | 104 | 92 | |
9 | Suns | 70% | 111 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 119 | |||
2 | Clippers | 115 |
Thursday, February 4, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 110 | 121 | |
8 | 76ers | 73% | 119 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Jazz | 112 | |||
14 | Hawks | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 42% | 111 | 147 | |
10 | Mavericks | 58% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Rockets | 115 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 35% | 107 | 93 | |
2 | Lakers | 65% | 112 | 114 |
Wednesday, February 3, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 | |
22 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 121 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 110 | |
3 | Bucks | 75% | 118 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 122 | |||
14 | Hawks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 30% | 113 | 103 | |
15 | Heat | 70% | 121 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 107 | |||
24 | Bulls | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Rockets | 64% | 112 | 87 | |
30 | Thunder | 36% | 107 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 108 | |||
18 | Spurs | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 57% | 111 | 101 | |
21 | Pelicans | 43% | 109 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 111 | |||
20 | Kings | 116 |
Tuesday, February 2, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 116 | |||
11 | Pacers | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 67% | 111 | 123 | |
28 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 120 | |||
5 | Nets | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Pistons | 22% | 105 | 105 | |
4 | Jazz | 78% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 111 | |||
13 | Warriors | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 120 | 132 | |
22 | Wizards | 60% | 123 | 121 |
Monday, February 1, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 98 | |||
30 | Cavaliers | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 62% | 113 | 107 | |
14 | Hawks | 38% | 109 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 129 | |||
15 | Heat | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 42% | 110 | 102 | |
24 | Bulls | 58% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 106 | |||
3 | Bucks | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 44% | 115 | 118 | |
20 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 136 | |||
29 | Thunder | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 46% | 109 | 109 | |
12 | Mavericks | 54% | 110 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 133 | |||
16 | Spurs | 102 |
Sunday, January 31, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Jazz | 117 | |||
6 | Nuggets | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 48% | 112 | 119 | |
11 | Pacers | 52% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 129 | |||
25 | Knicks | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 28% | 104 | 102 | |
9 | Raptors | 72% | 112 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nets | 146 | |||
23 | Wizards | 149 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 53% | 109 | 104 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 47% | 108 | 109 |
Saturday, January 30, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 123 | |||
25 | Bulls | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 69% | 117 | 114 | |
24 | Hornets | 31% | 110 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 126 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 37% | 112 | 104 | |
14 | Heat | 63% | 116 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 96 | |||
7 | Celtics | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 52% | 110 | 111 | |
12 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 129 | |||
16 | Spurs | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pistons | 39% | 111 | 91 | |
15 | Warriors | 61% | 115 | 118 |