Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Warriors	41%	107	109	111.2	98	102.2
	9	Heat	59%	110	116	116.0	100	96.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	36.4	36	75%	11	3	0	0	3	2	2	9	13-13	100%	4-8	50%	5-11	45%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	35.8	16	62%	10	8	4	0	4	4	3	7	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	35.5	23	61%	8	4	1	3	3	4	1	7	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	5-11	45%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	34.9	8	36%	4	1	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	19.5	4	33%	4	1	0	0	5	3	3	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	23.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	20.9	4	50%	4	3	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	18.1	6	100%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	12.8	9	50%	1	0	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Soreness
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	46	23	7	3	20	26	12	34	22-25	88%	21-45	47%	15-37	41%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	36.4	36	75%	11	3	0	0	3	2	2	9	13-13	100%	4-8	50%	5-11	45%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	35.8	16	62%	10	8	4	0	4	4	3	7	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	35.5	23	61%	8	4	1	3	3	4	1	7	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	5-11	45%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	34.9	8	36%	4	1	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	19.5	4	33%	4	1	0	0	5	3	3	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	23.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	20.9	4	50%	4	3	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	18.1	6	100%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	12.8	9	50%	1	0	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Soreness
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	46	23	7	3	20	26	12	34	22-25	88%	21-45	47%	15-37	41%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	36.9	21	70%	4	3	0	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	4-11	36%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	35.0	22	65%	6	8	4	0	1	2	1	5	7-9	78%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	30.5	19	56%	8	6	0	1	3	3	1	7	9-9	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	26.3	10	71%	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Victor Oladipo #4 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29	23.1	6	33%	3	5	2	0	3	5	1	2	2-5	40%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	35.4	20	77%	4	3	2	1	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	23.0	10	71%	6	2	0	1	3	3	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	17.1	8	67%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	12.7	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	37	30	10	6	11	22	5	32	25-30	83%	26-43	60%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.18 59.2%

MIA

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

15

32

47%

MIA

20

26

77%

Midrange

GSW

6

13

46%

MIA

6

17

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

15

22.5

37

41%

61%

MIA

13

19.5

39

33%

50%

Free Throws

GSW

22

25

88%

MIA

25

30

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	36	75%	18.0 / 24
A. Wiggins	23	61%	11.5 / 19
D. Green	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Poole	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Oubre	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Bazemore	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Wiseman	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Looney	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Lee	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Robinson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
T. Herro	20	77%	10.0 / 13
B. Adebayo	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Ariza	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Iguodala	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Bjelica	8	67%	4.0 / 6
V. Oladipo	6	33%	3.0 / 9
G. Vincent	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 110.9 19 111.1	GSW 111.2 MIA 116.0 +4.8
Pace	3 102.4 29 96.7	GSW 102.2 +6.2 MIA 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.7 12 14.7	GSW 14.1 −0.9 MIA 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.1% 11 54.6%	GSW 53.0% MIA 55.5% +2.5%
TO %	24 14.3% 21 13.7%	GSW 17.7% MIA 11.2% −6.5%
ORB %	30 17.9% 29 19.4%	GSW 27.3% +14.5% MIA 12.8%
FTrt	20 23.9 11 25.2	GSW 30.5 MIA 36.6 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.0% 2 67.1%	GSW 63.9% MIA 76.9% +13.0%
STL %	8 8.0% 7 8.2%	GSW 7.1% MIA 10.0% +2.9%
BLK %	17 8.7% 22 8.5%	GSW 7.0% MIA 13.3% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.3% 13 56.5%	GSW 59.2% +0.6% MIA 58.6%
Rim FG%	7 63.7% 2 64.8%	GSW 46.9% MIA 76.9% +30.0%
Mid FG%	20 40.4% 16 41.8%	GSW 46.2% +10.9% MIA 35.3%
3P %	9 37.6% 19 35.8%	GSW 40.5% +7.2% MIA 33.3%
FT %	13 78.5% 12 79.0%	GSW 88.0% +4.7% MIA 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.0% 20 33.3%	GSW 39.0% +7.3% MIA 31.7%
Mid Att. %	9 23.1% 11 23.5%	GSW 15.9% −4.9% MIA 20.7%
3P Att. %	5 43.9% 7 43.2%	GSW 45.1% MIA 47.6% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	109	116
Rebounds	46	37
Assists	23	30
Steals	7	10
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	26	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	32 (3)
Field Goals	36-82	39-82
At-the-Rim FG	15-32	20-26
Midrange FG	6-13	6-17
2-Point FG	21-45	26-43
3-Point FG	15-37	13-39
Free Throws	22-25	25-30
Fast Break Pts	5	15
2nd Chance Pts	9	10
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	18	27
Bench Points	22	38
Biggest Lead	5	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg