Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, April 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 89 |
 | 17 | Nets | 55% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Heat | 59% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 115 |
 | 23 | Pelicans | 67% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 46% | 107 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 39% | 111 | 113 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 61% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nets | 76% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 101 |
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 48% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 71% | 112 | 103 |
 | 29 | Thunder | 29% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Spurs | 59% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bucks | 57% | 108 | 112 |
 | 18 | Lakers | 43% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 26% | 104 | 116 |
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Tuesday, March 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 55% | 114 | 114 |
| 25 | Wizards | 45% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 38% | 109 | 95 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 34% | 110 | 110 |
| 2 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 18% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Clippers | 82% | 113 | 96 |
Monday, March 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 67% | 113 | 124 |
| 27 | Wizards | 33% | 106 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 35% | 111 | 115 |
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 25% | 113 | 107 |
| 7 | Nets | 75% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 53% | 106 | 98 |
| 22 | Knicks | 47% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 61% | 110 | 104 |
| 25 | Pistons | 39% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 113 | 120 |
| 26 | Rockets | 37% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 75% | 114 | 127 |
| 28 | Thunder | 25% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 132 |
| 15 | Spurs | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 11% | 101 | 75 |
| 1 | Jazz | 89% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 111 | 102 |
| 23 | Warriors | 53% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 34% | 109 | 105 |
| 2 | Clippers | 66% | 115 | 129 |
Sunday, March 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 66% | 114 | 101 |
| 21 | Hornets | 34% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 115 | 122 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 37% | 113 | 102 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 96 | 93 |
| 19 | Lakers | 74% | 106 | 96 |
Saturday, March 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 92 |
| 24 | Wizards | 62% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 24% | 103 | 102 |
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 47% | 113 | 129 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 104 |
| 17 | Spurs | 59% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 103 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 57% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 69% | 111 | 111 |
| 28 | Thunder | 31% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 29% | 107 | 110 |
| 1 | Jazz | 71% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 36% | 106 | 112 |
| 3 | Clippers | 64% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 107 | 98 |
| 16 | Kings | 79% | 119 | 100 |
Friday, March 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 112 | 113 |
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 51% | 113 | 104 |
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 37% | 111 | 122 |
| 1 | Bucks | 63% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| 22 | Hornets | 51% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 110 | 112 |
| 29 | Magic | 42% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 42% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 58% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 55% | 116 | 113 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 45% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 43% | 110 | 109 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 57% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 25% | 106 | 114 |
| 2 | Jazz | 75% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 124 |
| 21 | Warriors | 37% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 35% | 100 | 86 |
| 19 | Lakers | 65% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, March 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 112 | 125 |
| 10 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 41% | 109 | 102 |
| 19 | Knicks | 59% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 63% | 113 | 98 |
| 18 | Spurs | 37% | 108 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 106 | 109 |
| 21 | Lakers | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 48% | 116 | 119 |
| 15 | Kings | 52% | 117 | 141 |
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 111 |
| 14 | Pacers | 66% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 48% | 112 | 111 |
| 11 | Raptors | 52% | 113 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 30% | 107 | 119 |
| 2 | Bucks | 70% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 68% | 112 | 111 |
| 25 | Magic | 32% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 31% | 105 | 103 |
| 21 | Bulls | 69% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 53% | 112 | 122 |
| 28 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 128 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 38% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 65% | 110 | 116 |
| 29 | Thunder | 35% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 58% | 113 | 134 |
| 16 | Spurs | 42% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 24% | 110 | 88 |
| 1 | Jazz | 76% | 121 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 55% | 119 | 108 |
| 20 | Kings | 45% | 117 | 110 |
Tuesday, March 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 66% | 112 | 110 |
| 22 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 41% | 108 | 113 |
| 21 | Knicks | 59% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 44% | 107 | 111 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 56% | 109 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 55% | 110 | 110 |
| 10 | Heat | 45% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| 25 | Warriors | 43% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 45% | 117 | 116 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 119 | 112 |
Monday, March 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 61% | 115 | 119 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 39% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 31% | 108 | 112 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 69% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 36% | 109 | 100 |
| 16 | Spurs | 64% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 71% | 117 | 120 |
| 19 | Bulls | 29% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 65% | 114 | 99 |
| 29 | Rockets | 35% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 45% | 107 | 126 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 55% | 109 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 30% | 107 | 113 |
| 5 | Bucks | 70% | 115 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 32% | 109 | 110 |
| 2 | Clippers | 68% | 116 | 119 |
Sunday, March 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 43% | 107 | 109 |
| 11 | Heat | 57% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 43% | 107 | 114 |
| 28 | Rockets | 57% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 32% | 111 | 113 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 68% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 25% | 103 | 96 |
| 5 | Celtics | 75% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 27% | 115 | 106 |
| 7 | Nets | 73% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 70% | 113 | 105 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 110 | 100 |
| 23 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 48% | 105 | 101 |
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 28% | 101 | 94 |
| 4 | Suns | 72% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 51% | 118 | 132 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 117 | 92 |
Saturday, March 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 99 |
| 9 | Lakers | 61% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 34% | 111 | 105 |
| 15 | 76ers | 66% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 46% | 109 | 103 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 54% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 21% | 106 | 113 |
| 1 | Bucks | 79% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 24% | 107 | 98 |
| 3 | Clippers | 76% | 117 | 125 |
Friday, March 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 65% | 112 | 116 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 35% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 107 |
| 6 | Celtics | 69% | 119 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 42% | 106 | 137 |
| 10 | Heat | 58% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 75% | 118 | 113 |
| 27 | Magic | 25% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 56% | 113 | 115 |
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 56% | 108 | 113 |
| 28 | Rockets | 44% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 48% | 110 | 116 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 52% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 30% | 110 | 127 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 107 | 101 |
| 4 | Suns | 77% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 53% | 117 | 119 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 116 | 125 |