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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 11, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Spurs
119
10Mavericks
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
35
32
33
5
8
0
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
13-24
7-13
54%
52%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
35
31
12
8
2
0
1
4
1
4
4
2-3
67%
5-6
5-8
83%
62%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
33
28
25
5
5
4
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
33
31
9
4
1
2
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
28
26
9
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
22
20
7
3
0
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
22
24
6
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
2-5
40%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
20
12
13
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
12
11
5
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.6
11
0
1-1
46%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
6
0
1-1
54%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.2
6
0
1-1
49%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
4
0
1-1
46%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
3
0
0-1
46%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.4
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.7
36
27
31
15
3
0
1
2
3
3
12
4-4
100%
9-13
5-9
69%
51%
3-8
38%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.6
36
28
16
5
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 22.1
35
34
29
3
7
1
1
0
5
0
3
7-8
88%
8-9
7-12
89%
57%
2-8
25%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
34
34
9
7
3
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
1-4
25%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 30.2
22
16
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-5
40%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.6
30
26
11
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-8
4-7
13%
57%
3-7
43%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 29.1
22
25
2
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
15
14
9
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-4
2-2
100%
66%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.4
10
5
4
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.2
24
0
1-1
57%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
12
0
2-3
60%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.7
5
0
1-2
58%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.4
4
0
0-1
54%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
2
0
0-0
51%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
1
0
0-0
52%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.5
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.