Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 11, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hawks | 59% | 114 | 105 | |
22 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 105 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 66% | 114 | 116 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 34% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bucks | 124 | |||
29 | Magic | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Raptors | 33% | 103 | 96 | |
21 | Knicks | 67% | 109 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | 119 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 39% | 110 | 132 | |
13 | Grizzlies | 61% | 114 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bulls | 117 | |||
24 | Timberwolves | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 17% | 98 | 124 | |
1 | Clippers | 83% | 112 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 107 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 98 |
Saturday, April 10, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 79% | 114 | 117 | |
30 | Thunder | 21% | 103 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Raptors | 135 | |||
27 | Cavaliers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Lakers | 126 | |||
4 | Nets | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 19% | 108 | 112 | |
2 | Jazz | 81% | 121 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 109 | |||
13 | Warriors | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 13% | 104 | 106 | |
5 | Suns | 87% | 120 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 103 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 118 |
Friday, April 9, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 111 | |||
29 | Magic | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 108 | |
15 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 136 | |||
8 | Celtics | 145 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 52% | 107 | 129 | |
22 | Knicks | 48% | 106 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 66% | 115 | 94 | |
20 | Pelicans | 34% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hornets | 127 | |||
5 | Bucks | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 31% | 107 | 119 | |
3 | Nuggets | 69% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 110 | |||
12 | Warriors | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 20% | 103 | 109 | |
1 | Clippers | 80% | 116 | 126 |
Thursday, April 8, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Bulls | 48% | 111 | 122 | |
17 | Raptors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Lakers | 104 | |||
12 | Heat | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 129 | |
29 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 101 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 112 | 103 | |
2 | Jazz | 69% | 119 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Suns | 103 | |||
1 | Clippers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 113 | |
21 | Kings | 68% | 115 | 101 |
Wednesday, April 7, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 93 | |||
25 | Rockets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 137 | |||
16 | Pacers | 141 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 131 | |
30 | Magic | 45% | 107 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 99 | |||
7 | Celtics | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 25% | 112 | 111 | |
3 | Nets | 75% | 122 | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Grizzlies | 131 | |||
12 | Hawks | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 113 | |
29 | Thunder | 37% | 105 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 96 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Jazz | 49% | 112 | 113 | |
8 | Suns | 51% | 113 | 117 |
Tuesday, April 6, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 14% | 100 | 119 | |
4 | Nuggets | 86% | 116 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 47% | 111 | 113 | |
14 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 107 | |||
13 | Hawks | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 45% | 109 | 106 | |
7 | Celtics | 55% | 111 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Lakers | 110 | |||
16 | Raptors | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 39% | 107 | 124 | |
12 | Heat | 61% | 111 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 121 | |||
15 | Warriors | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 111 | 116 | |
1 | Clippers | 68% | 117 | 133 |
Monday, April 5, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 112 | |||
2 | Nets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 35% | 108 | 101 | |
15 | Raptors | 65% | 113 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Jazz | 103 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 106 | |
24 | Timberwolves | 49% | 117 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 132 | |||
27 | Thunder | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 22% | 103 | 125 | |
18 | Spurs | 78% | 114 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 133 | |||
25 | Rockets | 130 |
Sunday, April 4, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nets | 48% | 114 | 107 | |
21 | Bulls | 52% | 115 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Lakers | 86 | |||
2 | Clippers | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 26% | 105 | 86 | |
8 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 116 | |||
7 | 76ers | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Warriors | 39% | 111 | 111 | |
13 | Hawks | 61% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pelicans | 122 | |||
25 | Rockets | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 9% | 98 | 109 | |
4 | Nuggets | 91% | 117 | 119 |
Saturday, April 3, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 68% | 116 | 109 | |
26 | Wizards | 32% | 109 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 125 | |||
27 | Pistons | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 20% | 100 | 101 | |
12 | Heat | 80% | 112 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 113 | |||
7 | 76ers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 32% | 106 | 139 | |
16 | Spurs | 68% | 112 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 91 | |||
1 | Jazz | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Thunder | 18% | 108 | 85 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 121 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 129 | |||
20 | Kings | 128 |
Friday, April 2, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Warriors | 37% | 109 | 77 | |
17 | Raptors | 63% | 114 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 102 | |||
9 | Celtics | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 60% | 110 | 99 | |
22 | Knicks | 40% | 107 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 114 | |||
13 | Pacers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 34% | 110 | 108 | |
19 | Grizzlies | 66% | 115 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hawks | 126 | |||
16 | Pelicans | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 21% | 107 | 106 | |
1 | Jazz | 79% | 119 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Thunder | 103 | |||
7 | Suns | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 47% | 117 | 127 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 118 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 115 | |||
20 | Kings | 94 |
Thursday, April 1, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 51% | 110 | 91 | |
27 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 75% | 111 | 114 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 102 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hornets | 89 | |||
3 | Nets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Warriors | 41% | 107 | 109 | |
14 | Heat | 59% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 115 | |||
12 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 48% | 112 | 134 | |
18 | Spurs | 52% | 113 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 101 | |||
2 | Clippers | 94 |
Wednesday, March 31, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 115 | 124 | |
27 | Pistons | 38% | 111 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 92 | |||
12 | Pacers | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 39% | 111 | 113 | |
8 | Celtics | 61% | 115 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 108 | |||
3 | Nets | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 58% | 111 | 111 | |
20 | Grizzlies | 42% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 101 | |||
26 | Timberwolves | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Raptors | 71% | 112 | 103 | |
28 | Thunder | 29% | 104 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Kings | 106 | |||
19 | Spurs | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 57% | 108 | 112 | |
5 | Lakers | 43% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Bulls | 116 | |||
6 | Suns | 121 |
Tuesday, March 30, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 34% | 110 | 110 | |
7 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hornets | 114 | |||
24 | Wizards | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 39% | 108 | 95 | |
4 | Nuggets | 61% | 113 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 103 | |||
1 | Clippers | 96 |
Monday, March 29, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 67% | 112 | 124 | |
24 | Wizards | 33% | 106 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pelicans | 115 | |||
8 | Celtics | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 25% | 112 | 107 | |
3 | Nets | 75% | 122 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 98 | |||
23 | Knicks | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 104 | |
28 | Pistons | 40% | 106 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 120 | |||
25 | Rockets | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 74% | 114 | 127 | |
27 | Thunder | 26% | 105 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 132 | |||
18 | Spurs | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 11% | 101 | 75 | |
1 | Jazz | 89% | 118 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 102 | |||
15 | Warriors | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 34% | 108 | 105 | |
2 | Clippers | 66% | 114 | 129 |