Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, April 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 48% | 111 | 122 |
 | 22 | Raptors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 104 |
 | 10 | Heat | 61% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 101 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 31% | 108 | 113 |
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Wednesday, April 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 137 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Magic | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 40% | 103 | 99 |
 | 11 | Celtics | 60% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Pelicans | 24% | 112 | 111 |
 | 7 | Nets | 76% | 122 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 115 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 113 |
| 30 | Thunder | 37% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Suns | 51% | 114 | 117 |
Tuesday, April 6, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 111 | 113 |
| 19 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 38% | 112 | 107 |
| 12 | Hawks | 62% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 55% | 104 | 110 |
| 22 | Raptors | 45% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 39% | 107 | 124 |
| 9 | Heat | 61% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 14% | 101 | 119 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 86% | 116 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 57% | 115 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 111 | 116 |
| 2 | Clippers | 69% | 118 | 133 |
Monday, April 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 30% | 108 | 112 |
| 3 | Nets | 70% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 35% | 108 | 101 |
| 21 | Raptors | 65% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 53% | 113 | 103 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 47% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 106 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 49% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 52% | 104 | 132 |
| 30 | Thunder | 48% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 22% | 103 | 125 |
| 12 | Spurs | 78% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 74% | 115 | 133 |
| 24 | Rockets | 26% | 106 | 130 |
Sunday, April 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 48% | 114 | 107 |
| 15 | Bulls | 52% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 29% | 101 | 86 |
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 26% | 105 | 86 |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 38% | 112 | 111 |
| 14 | Hawks | 62% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 47% | 111 | 122 |
| 24 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 9% | 98 | 109 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 91% | 117 | 119 |
Saturday, April 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 116 | 109 |
| 27 | Wizards | 32% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 125 |
| 26 | Pistons | 51% | 104 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 19% | 100 | 101 |
| 9 | Heat | 81% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 20% | 105 | 113 |
| 7 | 76ers | 80% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 32% | 106 | 139 |
| 11 | Spurs | 68% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 15% | 100 | 91 |
| 1 | Jazz | 85% | 115 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 18% | 108 | 85 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 56% | 117 | 129 |
| 16 | Kings | 44% | 115 | 128 |
Friday, April 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 37% | 109 | 77 |
| 12 | Raptors | 63% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 21% | 105 | 102 |
| 4 | Celtics | 79% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 59% | 110 | 99 |
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 107 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 32% | 106 | 114 |
| 13 | Pacers | 68% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 34% | 110 | 108 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 66% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 109 | 126 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 51% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 20% | 107 | 106 |
| 1 | Jazz | 80% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 14% | 101 | 103 |
| 5 | Suns | 86% | 117 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 47% | 117 | 127 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 47% | 109 | 115 |
| 17 | Kings | 53% | 111 | 94 |
Thursday, April 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 51% | 110 | 91 |
| 27 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 74% | 112 | 114 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 26% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 89 |
| 17 | Nets | 55% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 107 | 109 |
| 9 | Heat | 59% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 115 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 67% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 48% | 112 | 134 |
| 11 | Spurs | 52% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 44% | 111 | 101 |
| 5 | Clippers | 56% | 113 | 94 |
Wednesday, March 31, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 115 | 124 |
| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 46% | 107 | 92 |
| 12 | Pacers | 54% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 39% | 111 | 113 |
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 24% | 110 | 108 |
| 7 | Nets | 76% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 58% | 111 | 111 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 42% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 48% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 71% | 112 | 103 |
| 29 | Thunder | 29% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 41% | 113 | 106 |
| 15 | Spurs | 59% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 57% | 108 | 112 |
| 18 | Lakers | 43% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 26% | 104 | 116 |
| 3 | Suns | 74% | 113 | 121 |
Tuesday, March 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 55% | 114 | 114 |
| 25 | Wizards | 45% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 38% | 109 | 95 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 34% | 110 | 110 |
| 2 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 18% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Clippers | 82% | 113 | 96 |
Monday, March 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 67% | 113 | 124 |
| 27 | Wizards | 33% | 106 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 35% | 111 | 115 |
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 25% | 113 | 107 |
| 7 | Nets | 75% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 53% | 106 | 98 |
| 22 | Knicks | 47% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 61% | 110 | 104 |
| 25 | Pistons | 39% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 113 | 120 |
| 26 | Rockets | 37% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 75% | 114 | 127 |
| 28 | Thunder | 25% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 40% | 112 | 132 |
| 15 | Spurs | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 11% | 101 | 75 |
| 1 | Jazz | 89% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 111 | 102 |
| 23 | Warriors | 53% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 34% | 109 | 105 |
| 2 | Clippers | 66% | 115 | 129 |
Sunday, March 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 66% | 114 | 101 |
| 21 | Hornets | 34% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 115 | 122 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 37% | 113 | 102 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 96 | 93 |
| 19 | Lakers | 74% | 106 | 96 |
Saturday, March 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 92 |
| 24 | Wizards | 62% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 24% | 103 | 102 |
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 47% | 113 | 129 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 104 |
| 17 | Spurs | 59% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 103 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 57% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 69% | 111 | 111 |
| 28 | Thunder | 31% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 29% | 107 | 110 |
| 1 | Jazz | 71% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 36% | 106 | 112 |
| 3 | Clippers | 64% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 107 | 98 |
| 16 | Kings | 79% | 119 | 100 |
Friday, March 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 112 | 113 |
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 51% | 113 | 104 |
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 37% | 111 | 122 |
| 1 | Bucks | 63% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| 22 | Hornets | 51% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 110 | 112 |
| 29 | Magic | 42% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 42% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 58% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 55% | 116 | 113 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 45% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 43% | 110 | 109 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 57% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 25% | 106 | 114 |
| 2 | Jazz | 75% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 124 |
| 21 | Warriors | 37% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 35% | 100 | 86 |
| 19 | Lakers | 65% | 106 | 100 |