Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Heat	46%	112	107	113.8	94	86.7
	7	Blazers	54%	114	98	103.2	95	103.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	36.2	20	63%	4	5	4	2	3	2	0	4	5-6	83%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	34.8	22	61%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-8	50%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	32.4	15	58%	3	4	1	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	22.8	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	22.0	12	50%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-10	40%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	30.0	14	58%	7	3	2	0	1	0	1	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	25.2	9	90%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	23.4	7	44%	2	2	1	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	13.2	2	33%	4	0	0	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	30	21	12	4	7	18	6	24	13-20	65%	29-54	54%	12-29	41%

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8 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	36.2	20	63%	4	5	4	2	3	2	0	4	5-6	83%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	34.8	22	61%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-8	50%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	32.4	15	58%	3	4	1	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	22.8	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	22.0	12	50%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-10	40%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	30.0	14	58%	7	3	2	0	1	0	1	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	25.2	9	90%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	23.4	7	44%	2	2	1	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	13.2	2	33%	4	0	0	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	30	21	12	4	7	18	6	24	13-20	65%	29-54	54%	12-29	41%

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7 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	36.6	12	50%	1	3	1	1	5	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	35.7	17	47%	6	4	0	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-9	33%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28	33.3	17	61%	4	2	2	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	32.3	9	38%	5	4	1	1	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	22.3	6	60%	9	4	0	3	4	4	3	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	19.6	10	100%	8	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	15.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	13.7	9	90%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	12.5	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson #2 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 26	4.6	3	75%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	4.6	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	4.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	4.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	55%	41	21	5	5	17	16	8	33	13-19	68%	26-42	62%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	POR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.13 56.3%

POR

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

17

29

59%

POR

20

30

67%

Midrange

MIA

12

25

48%

POR

6

12

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

12

18.0

29

41%

62%

POR

11

16.5

35

31%

47%

Free Throws

MIA

13

20

65%

POR

13

19

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Butler	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Nunn	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Herro	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Robinson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Iguodala	9	90%	4.5 / 5
G. Dragic	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Ariza	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	17	47%	8.5 / 18
N. Powell	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Lillard	12	50%	6.0 / 12
E. Kanter	10	100%	5.0 / 5
R. Covington	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Jones	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Nurkić	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Simons	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Elleby	5	125%	2.5 / 2
R. Hollis-Jefferson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
H. Giles	3	150%	1.5 / 1
N. Little	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Anthony	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 111.1 2 117.6	MIA 113.8 +10.7 POR 103.2
Pace	29 96.7 19 98.6	MIA 86.7 POR 103.7 +17.0
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 6 14.9	MIA 16.6 POR 13.9 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.6% 15 54.0%	MIA 56.6% +1.4% POR 55.2%
TO %	21 13.7% 1 10.9%	MIA 8.0% −8.6% POR 16.6%
ORB %	29 19.4% 11 23.1%	MIA 15.4% POR 25.0% +9.6%
FTrt	11 25.2 22 23.8	MIA 24.1 POR 24.7 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.1% 30 51.5%	MIA 51.2% POR 56.8% +5.6%
STL %	7 8.2% 24 7.0%	MIA 12.8% +7.5% POR 5.3%
BLK %	22 8.5% 10 9.4%	MIA 9.5% +0.2% POR 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.5% 9 56.6%	MIA 56.3% +1.2% POR 55.1%
Rim FG%	2 64.8% 26 58.1%	MIA 58.6% POR 66.7% +8.1%
Mid FG%	16 41.8% 18 41.0%	MIA 48.0% POR 50.0% +2.0%
3P %	19 35.8% 6 38.5%	MIA 41.4% +10.0% POR 31.4%
FT %	12 79.0% 3 82.3%	MIA 65.0% POR 68.4% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 25 31.8%	MIA 34.9% POR 39.0% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	11 23.5% 10 23.4%	MIA 30.1% POR 15.6% −14.5%
3P Att. %	7 43.2% 3 44.8%	MIA 34.9% POR 45.5% +10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	POR
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	107	98
Rebounds	30	41
Assists	21	21
Steals	12	5
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (6)	33 (4)
Field Goals	41-83	37-77
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	20-30
Midrange FG	12-25	6-12
2-Point FG	29-54	26-42
3-Point FG	12-29	11-35
Free Throws	13-20	13-19
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	8	10
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	28	7
Bench Points	32	37
Biggest Lead	20	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg