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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 9, 2021
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pelicans48%108112
24Hornets52%109110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
33.0
33.2
24
56%
4
11
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-10
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
3-9
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.2
30.6
21.4
17
58%
8
0
3
1
0
2
3
5
1-4
25%
5-9
2-4
56%
55%
2-4
50%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
30.3
32.9
12
43%
3
6
0
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
4-11
36%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
27.3
23.8
13
54%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
1-5
20%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
21.9
19.8
9
51%
16
1
2
1
1
4
5
11
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.0
26.1
20.9
18
71%
8
0
1
1
6
0
3
5
2-4
50%
8-11
4-6
73%
65%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 22.7
21.0
17.4
13
55%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.4
17.7
11.7
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
17.2
12.1
2
33%
6
0
1
0
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 20.1
15.0
15.8
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcos Louzada Silva
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.9
7.6
0
1-1
49%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 30.8
3.4
0
0-0
57%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.8
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 23.7
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
41.6
32.4
43
77%
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
9-15
4-9
60%
50%
7-11
64%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 22.7
36.4
32.9
14
44%
12
2
1
1
1
2
2
10
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
2-6
33%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 19.7
31.4
28.0
22
54%
4
5
2
1
0
5
2
2
0-3
0%
8-14
5-9
57%
53%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 28.7
25.5
23.6
0
0%
8
1
0
0
3
3
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 23.3
14.8
28.1
2
20%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
23.4
19.6
4
53%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
22.7
20.7
3
25%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
1-6
17%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.6
22.1
15.3
17
70%
8
1
1
0
1
2
1
7
5-7
71%
6-9
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
22.1
19.4
5
25%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
1-6
17%
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 20.2
4.4
0
1-1
56%
Nate Darling
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Grant Riller
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.4
1.8
0
0-0
54%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.