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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 9, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns55%108110
15Lakers45%106123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
38.3
32.7
15
89%
2
4
1
1
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
61%
2-3
67%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.5
35.1
33.0
21
53%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
11-13
85%
5-13
8-14
38%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 36.0
34.1
27.1
13
50%
4
10
4
1
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
53%
1-2
50%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 22.8
32.6
28.2
6
100%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
5-9
100%
59%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
9.0
23.9
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 30.8
27.5
13.3
13
64%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
3-7
43%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 28.1
25.5
15.7
9
46%
6
5
0
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
20.2
18.0
24
110%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 27.1
13.2
9.5
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 25.7
4.6
13.6
3
150%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 29.4
4.5
0
0-1
47%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 32.2
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 21.1
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Ty-Shon Alexander
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.8
3.1
0
0-0
46%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 28.2
40.8
27.3
42
61%
12
5
3
1
3
3
3
9
15-17
88%
12-22
7-12
55%
56%
1-5
20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
35.1
32.1
17
76%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
4-9
44%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 34.6
33.5
16.8
9
83%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 27.2
31.9
27.6
17
59%
3
8
3
1
0
3
1
2
4-8
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 27.7
19.6
21.7
6
38%
10
2
0
1
0
2
7
3
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.2
22.1
20.0
12
75%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
4-7
57%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 20.5
21.4
19.1
7
50%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 36.3
17.9
13.7
1
57%
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 27.3
14.6
11.6
12
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-6
67%
4-6
3-4
67%
62%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
3.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
30.8
1
3-5
54%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
14.5
0
1-2
52%
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 23.5
2.7
0
0-0
54%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 27.6
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 35.8
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.