Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Pistons	20%	109	110	112.2	98	95.2
	10	Nuggets	80%	122	108	113.7	95	98.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	35.3	22	58%	9	4	0	0	3	1	2	7	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 21	28.1	9	45%	1	9	0	0	4	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	25.6	7	32%	6	5	1	0	4	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Livers #12 · SF · 6'6" 232 · 24	24.4	5	83%	2	0	0	3	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	22.2	14	88%	3	0	0	2	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-

Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	25.8	4	67%	7	2	1	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	24.6	17	77%	8	1	1	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-4	25%
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31	20.6	21	66%	0	2	3	0	3	2	0	0	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	17.9	5	31%	2	4	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24	15.6	6	60%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #8 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shin; Soreness
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	40	27	7	5	16	24	12	28	12-14	86%	37-60	62%	8-28	29%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	35.3	22	58%	9	4	0	0	3	1	2	7	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 21	28.1	9	45%	1	9	0	0	4	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	25.6	7	32%	6	5	1	0	4	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Livers #12 · SF · 6'6" 232 · 24	24.4	5	83%	2	0	0	3	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	22.2	14	88%	3	0	0	2	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-

Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	25.8	4	67%	7	2	1	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	24.6	17	77%	8	1	1	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-4	25%
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31	20.6	21	66%	0	2	3	0	3	2	0	0	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	17.9	5	31%	2	4	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24	15.6	6	60%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #8 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shin; Soreness
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	40	27	7	5	16	24	12	28	12-14	86%	37-60	62%	8-28	29%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.7	31	78%	9	10	1	1	5	3	2	7	7-11	64%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	34.4	10	36%	1	8	2	1	2	3	0	1	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	33.4	18	56%	8	1	0	2	1	1	3	5	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	29.9	10	50%	2	1	2	2	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	28.6	17	77%	7	1	1	1	3	3	3	4	2-5	40%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	25.3	11	61%	4	5	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	19.4	8	67%	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	11.3	1	17%	4	2	0	1	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	9.3	2	20%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	8.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	42	28	7	8	17	21	15	27	17-26	65%	38-67	57%	5-19	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.13 56.7%

DEN

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

24

31

77%

DEN

31

46

67%

Midrange

DET

13

29

45%

DEN

7

21

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

8

12.0

28

29%

43%

DEN

5

7.5

19

26%

39%

Free Throws

DET

12

14

86%

DEN

17

26

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic	22	58%	11.0 / 19
A. Burks	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Knox	17	77%	8.5 / 11
M. Bagley	14	88%	7.0 / 8
K. Hayes	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Ivey	7	32%	3.5 / 11
H. Diallo	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Livers	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Joseph	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Duren	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	31	78%	15.5 / 20
M. Porter	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Gordon	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Brown	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Murray	10	36%	5.0 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	50%	5.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Hyland	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Jordan	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. Reed	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.3 5 117.1	DET 112.2 DEN 113.7 +1.4
Pace	14 99.4 21 98.5	DET 95.2 DEN 98.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 13 14.7	DET 15.1 DEN 14.6 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.0% 1 57.3%	DET 55.7% +2.8% DEN 52.9%
TO %	26 14.5% 22 14.0%	DET 14.5% −1.1% DEN 15.6%
ORB %	10 25.0% 13 24.8%	DET 30.8% DEN 34.9% +4.1%
FTrt	4 29.5 19 25.9	DET 15.9 DEN 30.2 +14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 58.1% 2 66.3%	DET 60.0% DEN 65.1% +5.1%
STL %	18 7.0% 9 7.6%	DET 7.1% DEN 7.4% +0.3%
BLK %	26 6.9% 19 8.3%	DET 7.5% DEN 13.3% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.8% 5 58.7%	DET 56.7% +1.6% DEN 55.1%
Rim FG%	26 61.1% 3 66.5%	DET 77.4% +10.0% DEN 67.4%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 13 43.4%	DET 44.8% +11.5% DEN 33.3%
3P %	22 35.1% 4 37.9%	DET 28.6% +2.3% DEN 26.3%
FT %	21 77.1% 26 75.1%	DET 85.7% +20.3% DEN 65.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.7% 2 39.0%	DET 35.2% DEN 53.5% +18.3%
Mid Att. %	23 29.1% 12 24.9%	DET 33.0% DEN 24.4% −8.5%
3P Att. %	15 37.2% 21 36.1%	DET 31.8% +9.7% DEN 22.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	DEN
Possessions	98	95
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.1
Points	110	108
Rebounds	40	42
Assists	27	28
Steals	7	7
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	27 (1)
Field Goals	45-88	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	24-31	31-46
Midrange FG	13-29	7-21
2-Point FG	37-60	38-67
3-Point FG	8-28	5-19
Free Throws	12-14	17-26
Fast Break Pts	19	24
2nd Chance Pts	17	29
Points in Paint	60	70
Pts off Turnovers	26	17
Bench Points	53	22
Biggest Lead	13	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg