Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Nets | 106 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pistons | 110 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Lakers | 31% | 110 | 105 |
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Monday, November 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 10 | Cavaliers | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 30% | 110 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 107 | ||
 | 19 | Bulls | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Bucks | 62% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 101 | ||
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Pelicans | 74% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 129 | ||
 | 27 | Thunder | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, November 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 95 | ||
| 2 | Suns | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 36% | 109 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 129 | ||
| 20 | Kings | 137 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 36% | 108 | 115 |
| 4 | Nets | 64% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 87 | ||
| 10 | Cavaliers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 75% | 120 | 127 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 98 | ||
 | 9 | Mavericks | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Lakers | 73% | 120 | 123 |
Saturday, November 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Raptors | 45% | 111 | 122 |
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 113 | ||
| 21 | Pacers | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 52% | 109 | 112 |
| 7 | 76ers | 48% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 118 | ||
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 22% | 106 | 97 |
| 9 | Clippers | 78% | 117 | 119 |
Friday, November 18, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 106 | ||
| 23 | Wizards | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 28% | 108 | 122 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 72% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 102 | ||
| 6 | 76ers | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 106 | 108 |
| 19 | Bulls | 69% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 99 | ||
| 30 | Rockets | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 31% | 108 | 110 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 69% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 99 | ||
| 12 | Mavericks | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 56% | 114 | 117 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 44% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 133 | ||
| 15 | Jazz | 134 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 31% | 113 | 101 |
| 8 | Warriors | 69% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 121 | ||
| 22 | Lakers | 128 | ||
Thursday, November 17, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 46% | 111 | 109 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 112 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 19% | 105 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 81% | 118 | 96 |
Wednesday, November 16, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 52% | 119 | 125 |
| 25 | Hornets | 48% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 126 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 39% | 111 | 121 |
| 23 | Wizards | 61% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 126 | ||
| 15 | Hawks | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 55% | 109 | 104 |
| 13 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 98 | ||
| 3 | Bucks | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 42% | 112 | 110 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 58% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 101 | ||
| 12 | Mavericks | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 37% | 115 | 106 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 120 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 119 | ||
| 2 | Suns | 130 | ||
Tuesday, November 15, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 102 | ||
| 14 | Pelicans | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 31% | 105 | 101 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 69% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 118 | ||
| 16 | Jazz | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 25% | 109 | 110 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 121 | ||
| 24 | Kings | 153 | ||
Monday, November 14, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 114 | 115 |
| 29 | Pistons | 34% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 112 | ||
| 27 | Magic | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 14% | 104 | 122 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 112 | ||
| 5 | Heat | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 67% | 116 | 122 |
| 30 | Rockets | 33% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 121 | ||
| 3 | Bucks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 30% | 114 | 95 |
| 7 | Warriors | 70% | 121 | 132 |
Sunday, November 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 145 | ||
| 19 | Knicks | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 43% | 112 | 129 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 57% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 92 | ||
| 21 | Wizards | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 44% | 109 | 98 |
| 7 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 126 | ||
| 17 | Bulls | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 60% | 120 | 115 |
| 24 | Kings | 40% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 103 | ||
| 22 | Lakers | 116 | ||
Saturday, November 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 110 | ||
| 10 | Clippers | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 60% | 115 | 112 |
| 23 | Wizards | 40% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 117 | ||
| 29 | Pistons | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 42% | 114 | 104 |
| 21 | Pacers | 58% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 109 | ||
| 9 | 76ers | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 28% | 107 | 115 |
| 6 | Heat | 72% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 112 | ||
| 13 | Mavericks | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 21% | 111 | 106 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 79% | 123 | 119 |
Friday, November 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 112 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 76% | 113 | 97 |
| 27 | Magic | 24% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 112 | ||
| 19 | Knicks | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 67% | 112 | 113 |
| 28 | Thunder | 33% | 106 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 93 | ||
| 26 | Spurs | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 37% | 114 | 103 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 101 | ||
| 10 | Warriors | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 51% | 117 | 120 |
| 21 | Lakers | 49% | 116 | 114 |
Thursday, November 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
| 23 | Wizards | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 53% | 112 | 95 |
| 16 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 112 | ||
| 6 | Heat | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 108 | 106 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 75% | 117 | 95 |
Wednesday, November 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 112 | 105 |
| 24 | Hornets | 44% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 122 | ||
| 22 | Pacers | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 67% | 111 | 87 |
| 27 | Magic | 33% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 125 | ||
| 15 | Hawks | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 13% | 103 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 85 | ||
| 5 | Nets | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 21% | 105 | 109 |
| 7 | Raptors | 79% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 115 | ||
| 18 | Bulls | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 54% | 114 | 129 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 46% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 136 | ||
| 28 | Thunder | 132 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 66% | 119 | 124 |
| 26 | Spurs | 34% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 101 | ||
| 11 | Clippers | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 64% | 118 | 120 |
| 25 | Kings | 36% | 113 | 127 |