Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 4, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Nuggets	42%	114	106	106.0	100	97.4
	10	Pelicans	58%	117	121	119.8	101	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-19

NOP

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.0%

NOP

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	37.6	13	72%	6	3	1	0	4	4	0	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	37.3	32	70%	16	9	2	1	4	4	4	12	5-9	56%	12-15	80%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	37.0	19	79%	8	0	0	0	1	3	1	7	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	32.6	18	47%	4	5	0	2	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	3-8	38%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.5	6	33%	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	17.4	8	57%	1	3	0	1	4	3	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	14.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	12.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	8.7	5	83%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	5.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	2.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	57%	43	24	5	5	19	22	9	34	16-24	67%	33-50	66%	8-31	26%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	37.6	13	72%	6	3	1	0	4	4	0	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	37.3	32	70%	16	9	2	1	4	4	4	12	5-9	56%	12-15	80%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	37.0	19	79%	8	0	0	0	1	3	1	7	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	32.6	18	47%	4	5	0	2	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	3-8	38%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.5	6	33%	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	17.4	8	57%	1	3	0	1	4	3	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	14.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	12.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	8.7	5	83%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	5.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	2.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	57%	43	24	5	5	19	22	9	34	16-24	67%	33-50	66%	8-31	26%

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10 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 22	35.9	25	60%	6	4	1	1	4	0	1	5	7-11	64%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 31	33.8	7	32%	3	6	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 22	29.3	12	60%	3	2	3	0	0	4	0	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 20	21.3	2	33%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	13.8	13	72%	2	1	0	1	1	5	0	2	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 25	26.9	38	90%	3	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	8-11	73%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	23.9	3	38%	3	6	2	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 30	20.5	4	67%	3	0	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Willy Hernangomez #9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29	19.8	12	75%	8	3	1	1	2	3	3	5	8-10	80%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	13.8	5	50%	3	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Garrett Temple #41 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 37	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Injury Recovery
Herbert Jones #5 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	36	29	10	5	10	22	6	30	28-36	78%	30-55	55%	11-26	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.0%

NOP

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

72%

NOP

76%

Midrange

DEN

56%

NOP

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12.0

26%

39%

NOP

16.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

67%

NOP

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	70%	16.0 / 23
A. Gordon	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Murray	18	47%	9.0 / 19
B. Brown	13	72%	6.5 / 9
I. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Jordan	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Reed	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. White	2	100%	1.0 / 1
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 4
B. Hyland	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Alvarado	38	90%	19.0 / 21
Z. Williamson	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Valančiūnas	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Murphy	12	60%	6.0 / 10
W. Hernangomez	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. McCollum	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Graham	5	50%	2.5 / 5
L. Nance	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Marshall	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Daniels	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 22 114.3	DEN 106.0 NOP 119.8 +13.8
Pace	21 98.5 15 99.2	DEN 97.4 NOP 105.0 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 20 14.3	DEN 14.8 NOP 13.7 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 17 54.3%	DEN 55.6% NOP 57.4% +1.8%
TO %	22 14.0% 23 14.0%	DEN 17.2% NOP 10.2% −7.0%
ORB %	13 24.8% 11 24.8%	DEN 23.1% +8.1% NOP 15.0%
FTrt	19 25.9 10 27.8	DEN 29.6 NOP 44.4 +14.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 10 61.6%	DEN 58.5% NOP 70.7% +12.2%
STL %	9 7.6% 2 8.3%	DEN 5.0% NOP 9.9% +4.9%
BLK %	19 8.3% 20 8.1%	DEN 9.1% NOP 10.0% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 17 56.9%	DEN 57.0% NOP 61.1% +4.1%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 16 62.8%	DEN 71.9% NOP 75.9% +4.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 21 42.3%	DEN 55.6% +24.8% NOP 30.8%
3P %	4 37.9% 15 36.4%	DEN 25.8% NOP 42.3% +16.5%
FT %	26 75.1% 10 79.3%	DEN 66.7% NOP 77.8% +11.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 7 37.7%	DEN 39.5% +3.7% NOP 35.8%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 20 27.9%	DEN 22.2% −9.9% NOP 32.1%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 28 34.4%	DEN 38.3% +6.2% NOP 32.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NOP
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.1
Points	106	121
Rebounds	43	36
Assists	24	29
Steals	5	10
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (5)	30 (1)
Field Goals	41-81	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	22-29
Midrange FG	10-18	8-26
2-Point FG	33-50	30-55
3-Point FG	8-31	11-26
Free Throws	16-24	28-36
Fast Break Pts	14	11
2nd Chance Pts	15	4
Points in Paint	58	54
Pts off Turnovers	11	18
Bench Points	18	62
Biggest Lead	14	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg