Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Pelicans | 58% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 52% | 116 | 103 |
 | 2 | Nets | 48% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Pistons | 31% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 44% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, December 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 121 |
| 17 | Knicks | 47% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 113 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 58% | 110 | 105 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 42% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Magic | 20% | 104 | 108 |
 | 5 | Raptors | 80% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Thunder | 38% | 111 | 135 |
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 62% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 113 | 116 |
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Friday, December 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 66% | 115 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 34% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 42% | 115 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 29% | 107 | 120 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 40% | 111 | 105 |
| 5 | Nets | 60% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 96 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 75% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 133 |
| 2 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Grizzlies | 62% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 71% | 119 | 117 |
| 28 | Spurs | 29% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 19% | 107 | 122 |
| 4 | Suns | 81% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 39% | 117 | 119 |
| 13 | Jazz | 61% | 122 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 32% | 112 | 111 |
| 3 | Warriors | 68% | 119 | 119 |
Thursday, December 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 73% | 115 | 125 |
| 29 | Pistons | 27% | 106 | 131 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 45% | 105 | 85 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 55% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 116 | 125 |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 121 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 29% | 111 | 107 |
| 2 | Nets | 71% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 64% | 115 | 109 |
| 19 | Knicks | 36% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 51% | 112 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 49% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 46% | 112 | 111 |
| 28 | Thunder | 54% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 26% | 111 | 100 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 74% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 113 |
| 7 | Suns | 62% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 35% | 110 | 112 |
| 12 | Jazz | 65% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 43% | 119 | 114 |
| 15 | Kings | 57% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 110 | 109 |
| 21 | Lakers | 61% | 114 | 128 |
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 62% | 116 | 140 |
| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 42% | 106 | 118 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 109 | 112 |
Monday, November 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 101 |
| 11 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 127 |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 115 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 21% | 106 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 118 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 16% | 105 | 102 |
| 2 | Nets | 84% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 42% | 108 | 88 |
| 6 | Raptors | 58% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 32% | 110 | 101 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 68% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 25% | 110 | 113 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 75% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 42% | 115 | 114 |
| 12 | Jazz | 58% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 53% | 117 | 122 |
| 14 | Kings | 47% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 38% | 115 | 116 |
| 20 | Lakers | 62% | 119 | 115 |
Sunday, November 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 109 | 97 |
| 1 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 47% | 117 | 137 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 100 |
| 23 | Clippers | 48% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 106 |
| 13 | Hawks | 58% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 30% | 108 | 121 |
| 3 | Celtics | 70% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 73% | 114 | 102 |
| 30 | Pistons | 27% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 127 |
| 22 | Knicks | 47% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 57% | 108 | 133 |
| 27 | Magic | 43% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 38% | 106 | 115 |
| 4 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 124 |
Saturday, November 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 53% | 109 | 100 |
| 17 | Raptors | 47% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 105 |
| 27 | Rockets | 52% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 55% | 115 | 143 |
| 29 | Spurs | 45% | 113 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 38% | 113 | 112 |
| 9 | Suns | 62% | 117 | 113 |
Friday, November 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 63% | 116 | 108 |
| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 57% | 107 | 107 |
| 28 | Magic | 43% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 111 | 132 |
| 14 | Knicks | 55% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 25% | 113 | 104 |
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 122 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 57% | 118 | 117 |
| 17 | Pacers | 43% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 47% | 106 | 107 |
| 21 | Heat | 53% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 65% | 116 | 122 |
| 30 | Rockets | 35% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 47% | 112 | 111 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 42% | 107 | 102 |
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 59% | 116 | 119 |
| 26 | Thunder | 41% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 105 |
| 27 | Spurs | 38% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 102 |
| 6 | Suns | 80% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 38% | 116 | 118 |
| 5 | Warriors | 62% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 113 | 114 |
| 23 | Clippers | 44% | 110 | 104 |
Wednesday, November 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 45% | 105 | 101 |
| 24 | Hornets | 55% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 107 | 96 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 49% | 118 | 115 |
| 17 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 38% | 117 | 106 |
| 13 | Hawks | 62% | 122 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 34% | 107 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 45% | 104 | 105 |
| 19 | Heat | 55% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 54% | 112 | 112 |
| 21 | Raptors | 46% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 35% | 108 | 118 |
| 3 | Bucks | 65% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 115 | 131 |
| 26 | Thunder | 44% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pelicans | 73% | 118 | 129 |
| 27 | Spurs | 27% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 17% | 109 | 125 |
| 8 | Jazz | 83% | 123 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 36% | 109 | 107 |
| 10 | Warriors | 64% | 115 | 124 |
Tuesday, November 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 69% | 111 | 106 |
| 26 | 76ers | 31% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 40% | 115 | 113 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 60% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 20% | 109 | 110 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 80% | 122 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 31% | 110 | 105 |
| 6 | Suns | 69% | 117 | 115 |
Monday, November 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 46% | 113 | 102 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 54% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 30% | 110 | 102 |
| 16 | Pacers | 70% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 116 | 107 |
| 18 | Bulls | 33% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 108 | 111 |
| 5 | Bucks | 62% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 33% | 107 | 101 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 67% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 26% | 109 | 83 |
| 3 | Pelicans | 74% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 47% | 114 | 129 |
| 24 | Thunder | 53% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 46% | 113 | 114 |
| 14 | Clippers | 54% | 114 | 121 |