Final Win Prob. pScore
2829%105
116
1271%113
96
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
122.19586.6
MIA logo Heat
100.096106.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.116
96
Q4 - 0:21.6PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)116
96
Q4 - 0:43.2HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)114
96
Q4 - 0:45.2HeatDru Smith offensive rebound114
93
Q4 - 0:47.6HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot114
93
Q4 - 1:02PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)114
93
Q4 - 1:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)112
93
Q4 - 1:32PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot112
90
Q4 - 1:45PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound109
90
Q4 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot109
90
Q4 - 2:01Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)109
90
Q4 - 2:01PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)109
90
Q4 - 2:17PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound109
90
Q4 - 2:21HeatMax Strus misses two point floating jump shot109
90
Q4 - 2:35PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
90
Q4 - 2:35Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)108
90
Q4 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)108
90
Q4 - 2:35PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving layup108
90
Q4 - 2:57HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)106
90
Q4 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
90
Q4 - 3:09PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point layup106
90
Q4 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey offensive rebound106
90
Q4 - 3:14PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot106
90
Q4 - 3:25PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound106
90
Q4 - 3:28HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot106
90
Q4 - 3:47PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)106
90
Q4 - 4:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)103
90
Q4 - 4:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)103
88
Q4 - 4:06HeatHeat offensive rebound103
88
Q4 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot103
88
Q4 - 4:24Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)103
88
Q4 - 4:24Heat 60 second timeout103
88
Q4 - 4:24PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point stepback jump shot103
88
Q4 - 4:38PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
88
Q4 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
88
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
88
Q4 - 5:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)100
88
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 5:03PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot100
88
Q4 - 5:03PistonsCory Joseph offensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 5:08PistonsMax Strus blocks Isaiah Stewart's two point dunk100
88
Q4 - 5:21Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus)100
88
Q4 - 5:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)100
88
Q4 - 5:21PistonsPistons defensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 5:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot100
88
Q4 - 5:33PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point cutting layup (Saddiq Bey assists)100
88
Q4 - 5:50PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound98
88
Q4 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot98
88
Q4 - 6:04PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)98
88
Q4 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 295
88
Q4 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 295
87
Q4 - 6:15PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)95
86
Q4 - 6:30PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving finger roll layup95
86
Q4 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)93
86
Q4 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 293
86
Q4 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 293
85
Q4 - 6:46Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, Bojan Bogdanovic)93
84
Q4 - 6:46Heat 60 second timeout93
84
Q4 - 6:46PistonsAlec Burks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
84
Q4 - 6:53PistonsAlec Burks makes three point stepback jump shot93
84
Q4 - 7:19HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway jump shot90
84
Q4 - 7:29PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point reverse layup90
82
Q4 - 7:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot88
82
Q4 - 8:03PistonsCory Joseph makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
80
Q4 - 8:26Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo)86
80
Q4 - 8:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)86
80
Q4 - 8:26PistonsPistons defensive rebound86
80
Q4 - 8:26HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot86
80
Q4 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound86
80
Q4 - 8:34PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot86
80
Q4 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound86
80
Q4 - 8:50HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot86
80
Q4 - 8:58PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving layup86
80
Q4 - 9:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup84
80
Q4 - 9:29PistonsKevin Knox II makes two point driving finger roll layup (Saddiq Bey assists)84
78
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 282
78
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 282
77
Q4 - 9:43PistonsAlec Burks shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)82
76
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound82
76
Q4 - 9:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point bank jump shot82
76
Q4 - 10:02Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)82
76
Q4 - 10:02PistonsAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
76
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)82
76
Q4 - 10:36PistonsAlec Burks makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
73
Q4 - 10:49PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound80
73
Q4 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
73
Q4 - 11:11HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound80
73
Q4 - 11:14PistonsKevin Knox II misses three point jump shot80
73
Q4 - 11:21PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound80
73
Q4 - 11:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup80
73
Q4 - 11:34PistonsJalen Duren makes two point putback dunk80
73
Q4 - 11:36PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound78
73
Q4 - 11:39PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot78
73
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo)78
73
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
73
Q3 - 0:13.9Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)78
73
Q3 - 0:13.9PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)78
73
Q3 - 0:13.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo)75
73
Q3 - 0:16.1Stoppage (Out of bounds)75
73
Q3 - 0:16.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound75
73
Q3 - 0:16.8PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Alec Burks's three point jump shot75
73
Q3 - 0:31.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
73
Q3 - 0:31.2HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 275
72
Q3 - 0:31.2PistonsKevin Knox II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
72
Q3 - 0:45.1PistonsJalen Duren turnover (3-second violation)75
72
Q3 - 1:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot75
72
Q3 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
70
Q3 - 1:18PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot75
70
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)75
70
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)75
70
Q3 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
70
Q3 - 1:39PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot75
70
Q3 - 1:47PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound75
70
Q3 - 1:50HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot75
70
Q3 - 2:06PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 175
70
Q3 - 2:06Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo)74
70
Q3 - 2:06HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)74
70
Q3 - 2:06PistonsCory Joseph makes two point driving floating jump shot74
70
Q3 - 2:18PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound72
70
Q3 - 2:18HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot72
70
Q3 - 2:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
70
Q3 - 2:26PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
70
Q3 - 2:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Victor Oladipo assists)72
70
Q3 - 3:01HeatMax Strus defensive rebound72
68
Q3 - 3:04PistonsAlec Burks misses regular free throw 2 of 272
68
Q3 - 3:04PistonsAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 272
68
Q3 - 3:04HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)71
68
Q3 - 3:16Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Alec Burks, Kevin Knox II, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey)71
68
Q3 - 3:16Pistons 60 second timeout71
68
Q3 - 3:16HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)71
68
Q3 - 3:16PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound71
68
Q3 - 3:17PistonsJalen Duren misses two point floating jump shot71
68
Q3 - 3:21PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound71
68
Q3 - 3:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot71
68
Q3 - 3:34Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus)71
68
Q3 - 3:34Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
68
Q3 - 3:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound71
68
Q3 - 3:48PistonsAlec Burks misses three point running pullup jump shot71
68
Q3 - 3:54HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)71
68
Q3 - 4:02PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)71
68
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 268
68
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 268
67
Q3 - 4:25PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)68
66
Q3 - 4:26HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
66
Q3 - 4:28PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot68
66
Q3 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 168
66
Q3 - 4:45Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Killian Hayes, Alec Burks, Saddiq Bey, Bojan Bogdanovic)68
65
Q3 - 4:45PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)68
65
Q3 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup68
65
Q3 - 4:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
63
Q3 - 4:54PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot68
63
Q3 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound68
63
Q3 - 5:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot68
63
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
63
Q3 - 5:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot68
63
Q3 - 5:26PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point finger roll layup (Saddiq Bey assists)68
63
Q3 - 5:30HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Saddiq Bey steals)66
63
Q3 - 5:46PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)66
63
Q3 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)63
63
Q3 - 6:12PistonsBojan Bogdanovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
61
Q3 - 6:12HeatHeat offensive rebound63
61
Q3 - 6:13HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot63
61
Q3 - 6:39PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)63
61
Q3 - 6:49Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Alec Burks, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, Bojan Bogdanovic)60
61
Q3 - 6:49Heat 60 second timeout60
61
Q3 - 6:49HeatMax Strus personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)60
61
Q3 - 6:52PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 6:55HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 7:09PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Saddiq Bey assists)60
61
Q3 - 7:16PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound58
61
Q3 - 7:18HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup58
61
Q3 - 7:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 258
61
Q3 - 7:36Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Jaden Ivey, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, Bojan Bogdanovic)57
61
Q3 - 7:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 257
61
Q3 - 7:36HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)56
61
Q3 - 7:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound56
61
Q3 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot56
61
Q3 - 7:46PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot56
61
Q3 - 7:54PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound54
61
Q3 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot54
61
Q3 - 8:09PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)54
61
Q3 - 8:09HeatMax Strus offensive rebound54
61
Q3 - 8:09HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup54
61
Q3 - 8:13PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)54
61
Q3 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)54
61
Q3 - 8:48PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)54
58
Q3 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup51
58
Q3 - 9:21Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)51
56
Q3 - 9:21Instant replay51
56
Q3 - 9:21PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
56
Q3 - 9:21HeatMax Strus defensive rebound51
56
Q3 - 9:22PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup51
56
Q3 - 9:22PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound51
56
Q3 - 9:27PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving layup51
56
Q3 - 9:34HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Marvin Bagley III steals)51
56
Q3 - 9:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot51
56
Q3 - 9:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
56
Q3 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 249
56
Q3 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 249
55
Q3 - 10:11PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)49
54
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
54
Q3 - 10:17PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point cutting layup49
54
Q3 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)49
54
Q3 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Killian Hayes draws the foul)49
54
Q3 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
54
Q3 - 10:45PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses two point turnaround bank jump shot49
54
Q3 - 10:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
54
Q3 - 11:10HeatMax Strus makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)49
54
Q3 - 11:15PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point cutting layup (Killian Hayes assists)49
52
Q3 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot47
52
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)47
50
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
50
Q2 - 0:00.5PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)47
50
Q2 - 0:00.5PistonsPistons offensive rebound47
50
Q2 - 0:01.5PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot47
50
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
50
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound47
47
Q2 - 0:33.5PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point pullup jump shot47
47
Q2 - 0:41.8Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
47
Q2 - 0:41.8PistonsPistons defensive rebound47
47
Q2 - 0:42.4HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
47
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 247
47
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 246
47
Q2 - 1:00HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)46
47
Q2 - 1:13Pistons delay of game violation46
47
Q2 - 1:13Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus)46
47
Q2 - 1:13Pistons 60 second timeout46
47
Q2 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
47
Q2 - 1:17PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)46
44
Q2 - 1:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
44
Q2 - 1:37HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 1:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot46
42
Q2 - 1:54PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 246
42
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 246
42
Q2 - 1:57PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
42
Q2 - 2:04PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)46
42
Q2 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)43
42
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 243
42
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 243
41
Q2 - 2:28PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
41
Q2 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound43
41
Q2 - 2:33PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot43
41
Q2 - 2:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
41
Q2 - 2:59HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
41
Q2 - 3:18Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)43
38
Q2 - 3:18Heat 60 second timeout43
38
Q2 - 3:18PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)43
38
Q2 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Marvin Bagley III steals)40
38
Q2 - 3:38PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point driving layup40
38
Q2 - 3:49PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound38
38
Q2 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot38
38
Q2 - 4:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
38
Q2 - 4:02HeatHeat offensive rebound38
38
Q2 - 4:06HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
38
Q2 - 4:18PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)38
38
Q2 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Max Strus assists)35
38
Q2 - 4:55PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)35
36
Q2 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
36
Q2 - 4:59PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point layup35
36
Q2 - 5:01PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound35
36
Q2 - 5:03PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point layup35
36
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)35
36
Q2 - 5:16HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound35
36
Q2 - 5:19HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot35
36
Q2 - 5:32Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Marvin Bagley III, Bojan Bogdanovic)35
36
Q2 - 5:32Heat 60 second timeout35
36
Q2 - 5:32PistonsKevin Knox II personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
36
Q2 - 5:48PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)35
36
Q2 - 5:53PistonsKevin Knox II defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot32
36
Q2 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 6:12PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot32
36
Q2 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)32
36
Q2 - 6:35PistonsKevin Knox II turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)32
34
Q2 - 6:46PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound32
34
Q2 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot32
34
Q2 - 7:04Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus)32
34
Q2 - 7:04Pistons lineup change (Kevin Knox II, Jaden Ivey, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)32
34
Q2 - 7:04PistonsSaddiq Bey turnover (traveling)32
34
Q2 - 7:04PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound32
34
Q2 - 7:06PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot32
34
Q2 - 7:17PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound32
34
Q2 - 7:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot32
34
Q2 - 7:28PistonsAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 132
34
Q2 - 7:28Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)31
34
Q2 - 7:28Pistons lineup change (Alec Burks, Kevin Knox II, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey, Marvin Bagley III)31
34
Q2 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)31
34
Q2 - 7:28PistonsAlec Burks makes two point driving bank jump shot31
34
Q2 - 7:42PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound29
34
Q2 - 7:44HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running layup29
34
Q2 - 7:49PistonsKevin Knox II turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)29
34
Q2 - 8:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
34
Q2 - 8:12HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
34
Q2 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 129
32
Q2 - 8:22Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)29
31
Q2 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
31
Q2 - 8:39PistonsAlec Burks misses two point floating jump shot29
31
Q2 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
31
Q2 - 9:07PistonsKevin Knox II makes two point floating jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)29
29
Q2 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot27
29
Q2 - 9:28PistonsCory Joseph makes three point pullup jump shot27
27
Q2 - 9:35HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)24
27
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 224
27
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 224
26
Q2 - 9:50PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
25
Q2 - 10:04PistonsJalen Duren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Alec Burks assists)24
25
Q2 - 10:07PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound22
25
Q2 - 10:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point jump shot22
25
Q2 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound22
25
Q2 - 10:21PistonsKevin Knox II misses three point stepback jump shot22
25
Q2 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Saddiq Bey steals)22
25
Q2 - 10:39PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 222
25
Q2 - 10:39Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo)21
25
Q2 - 10:39PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 221
25
Q2 - 10:39HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)20
25
Q2 - 10:52HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Saddiq Bey steals)20
25
Q2 - 10:53HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound20
25
Q2 - 10:54PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving layup20
25
Q2 - 11:06PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound20
25
Q2 - 11:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point bank hook shot20
25
Q2 - 11:21PistonsJalen Duren turnover (out of bounds step)20
25
Q2 - 11:35PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound20
25
Q2 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot20
25
Q2 - 12:00Heat delay of game violation20
25
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
25
Q1 - 0:01.0PistonsPistons offensive rebound20
25
Q1 - 0:01.5PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point jump shot20
25
Q1 - 0:23.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot20
25
Q1 - 0:32.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
23
Q1 - 0:36.1PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot20
23
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 220
23
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 220
22
Q1 - 0:51.4PistonsKevin Knox II personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)20
21
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatHeat defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - 0:51.4PistonsCory Joseph misses three point pullup jump shot20
21
Q1 - 0:59.9HeatTyler Herro turnover (back court violation)20
21
Q1 - 1:08PistonsKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)20
21
Q1 - 1:21PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound17
21
Q1 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 217
21
Q1 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 217
21
Q1 - 1:23PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)17
21
Q1 - 1:32Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Nikola Jovic)17
21
Q1 - 1:32PistonsSaddiq Bey personal foul (Loose ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)17
21
Q1 - 1:33HeatHeat offensive rebound17
21
Q1 - 1:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot17
21
Q1 - 1:37HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound17
21
Q1 - 1:39PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving reverse layup17
21
Q1 - 2:04HeatNikola Jovic makes two point tip layup17
21
Q1 - 2:04HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound17
19
Q1 - 2:05HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot17
19
Q1 - 2:25PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 217
19
Q1 - 2:25PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 216
19
Q1 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)15
19
Q1 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Nikola Jovic)15
19
Q1 - 2:41Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Alec Burks, Kevin Knox II, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey)15
19
Q1 - 2:41Heat 60 second timeout15
19
Q1 - 2:41HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
19
Q1 - 2:58PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)15
19
Q1 - 3:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 212
19
Q1 - 3:14Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Alec Burks, Cory Joseph, Saddiq Bey, Bojan Bogdanovic)12
18
Q1 - 3:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 212
18
Q1 - 3:14PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)12
17
Q1 - 3:17PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)12
17
Q1 - 3:23PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound12
17
Q1 - 3:23HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
17
Q1 - 3:31HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
17
Q1 - 3:35PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot12
17
Q1 - 3:47Stoppage (Court cleanup)12
17
Q1 - 3:47Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Haywood Highsmith, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus, Nikola Jovic)12
17
Q1 - 3:47HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)12
17
Q1 - 3:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound12
17
Q1 - 3:52HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot12
17
Q1 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound12
17
Q1 - 4:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot12
17
Q1 - 4:18PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)12
17
Q1 - 4:32Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
17
Q1 - 4:32PistonsPistons defensive rebound9
17
Q1 - 4:34HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot9
17
Q1 - 4:38Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Nikola Jovic)9
17
Q1 - 4:38Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Alec Burks, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, Bojan Bogdanovic)9
17
Q1 - 4:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
17
Q1 - 4:59PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)9
17
Q1 - 5:05HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)6
17
Q1 - 5:18PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)6
17
Q1 - 5:38Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Nikola Jovic)6
17
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)6
17
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)6
17
Q1 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
17
Q1 - 5:44PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot6
17
Q1 - 6:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)6
17
Q1 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
14
Q1 - 6:10PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup6
14
Q1 - 6:10PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound6
14
Q1 - 6:11PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point cutting layup6
14
Q1 - 6:33Pistons 60 second timeout6
14
Q1 - 6:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)6
14
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
12
Q1 - 6:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup6
12
Q1 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)6
12
Q1 - 7:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
10
Q1 - 7:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound6
10
Q1 - 7:30PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot6
10
Q1 - 7:43HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)6
10
Q1 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
10
Q1 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:11PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot6
7
Q1 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot6
7
Q1 - 8:39PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)6
5
Q1 - 8:56PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:07PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:41PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point pullup jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)4
3
Q1 - 10:08HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
3
Q1 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:19PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)2
0
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Killian Hayes draws the foul)2
0
Q1 - 10:36PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)2
0
Q1 - 10:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:43HeatKillian Hayes blocks Caleb Martin's two point turnaround jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:06PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving hook shot (Jaden Ivey assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:20PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot0
0
Q1 - 11:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Marvin Bagley III vs. Bam Adebayo (Isaiah Stewart gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Killian Hayes, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Marvin Bagley III, Bojan Bogdanovic)0
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
11
22
50%
MIA
10
16
63%
Midrange
DET
13
24
54%
MIA
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
19
28.5
41
46%
70%
MIA
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
Free Throws
DET
11
15
73%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic3197%15.5 / 16
A. Burks1864%9.0 / 14
S. Bey1458%7.0 / 12
I. Stewart1155%5.5 / 10
C. Joseph1169%5.5 / 8
J. Ivey1045%5.0 / 11
K. Knox770%3.5 / 5
K. Hayes638%3.0 / 8
M. Bagley433%2.0 / 6
J. Duren467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3485%17.0 / 20
B. Adebayo2155%10.5 / 19
M. Strus1150%5.5 / 11
V. Oladipo941%4.5 / 11
K. Lowry844%4.0 / 9
D. Robinson550%2.5 / 5
N. Jović563%2.5 / 4
C. Martin321%1.5 / 7
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
83
+12
-12
95
MIA
81
+11
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
112.9
DET 122.1 +22.1
MIA 100.0
Pace
99.4
96.3
DET 86.6
MIA 106.2 +19.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.0
DET 16.6
MIA 13.6 −3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
53.0%
DET 60.3% +10.9%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
14.5%
13.2%
DET 12.2% −2.3%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
25.0%
22.8%
DET 21.4% +3.0%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.5
27.0
DET 17.2
MIA 33.8 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
60.8%
DET 62.8%
MIA 63.6% +0.8%
STL %
7.0%
8.2%
DET 8.4% +1.1%
MIA 7.3%
BLK %
6.9%
6.3%
DET 2.2%
MIA 4.3% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
55.9%
DET 61.1% +8.9%
MIA 52.2%
Rim FG%
61.1%
62.6%
DET 50.0%
MIA 62.5% +12.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
45.3%
DET 54.2% +9.4%
MIA 44.8%
3P %
35.1%
34.4%
DET 46.3% +15.0%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
77.1%
83.1%
DET 73.3%
MIA 76.9% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
29.9%
DET 25.3% +4.5%
MIA 20.8%
Mid Att. %
29.1%
29.4%
DET 27.6% −10.1%
MIA 37.7%
3P Att. %
37.2%
40.8%
DET 47.1% +5.6%
MIA 41.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points11696
Rebounds4040
Assists2721
Steals87
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals43-8733-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2210-16
Midrange FG13-2413-29
2-Point FG24-4623-45
3-Point FG19-4110-32
Free Throws11-1520-26
Fast Break Pts1513
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint4042
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points5419
Biggest Lead2211

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34
30.4
31
97%
3
5
3
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
7-9
78%
#28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
28.3
11
55%
11
2
0
0
1
2
2
9
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
#23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21
26.4
10
45%
2
3
0
0
2
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
#7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 21
23.0
6
38%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-4
50%
#35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
19.2
4
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
30.7
14
58%
3
4
3
0
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
#18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31
25.0
11
69%
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31
21.6
18
64%
9
2
0
0
1
2
0
9
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
#0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19
17.8
4
67%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23
17.6
7
70%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
#2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shin; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
61%
40
27
8
1
12
19
9
31
11-15
73%
24-46
52%
19-41
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.