Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 42% | 111 | 102 | |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 116 | |
| 12 | Heat | 71% | 113 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 111 | 116 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 60% | 115 | 115 | |
Monday, December 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 66% | 113 | 119 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 107 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 78% | 118 | 109 | |
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 107 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 31% | 110 | 121 | |
| 15 | Hawks | 69% | 118 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 114 | 116 | |
| 6 | Raptors | 45% | 112 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 70% | 113 | 123 | |
| 27 | Rockets | 30% | 106 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 93 | |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 44% | 107 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 46% | 110 | 111 | |
| 11 | Mavericks | 54% | 111 | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 19% | 111 | 112 | |
| 4 | Warriors | 81% | 124 | 104 | |
Sunday, December 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 42% | 114 | 106 | |
| 10 | Pelicans | 58% | 117 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 76% | 120 | 133 | |
| 29 | Spurs | 24% | 109 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 52% | 116 | 103 | |
| 2 | Nets | 48% | 115 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 69% | 117 | 122 | |
| 27 | Pistons | 31% | 110 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 55% | 113 | 81 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 45% | 111 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 130 | |
| 16 | Wizards | 55% | 117 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 101 | |
| 19 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 47% | 112 | 100 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 53% | 113 | 116 | |
Saturday, December 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 121 | |
| 17 | Knicks | 47% | 112 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 113 | 123 | |
| 22 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 58% | 110 | 105 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 42% | 107 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 21% | 104 | 108 | |
| 5 | Raptors | 79% | 116 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 38% | 111 | 135 | |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 62% | 116 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 20% | 109 | 101 | |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | 42% | 113 | 116 | |
| 14 | Jazz | 58% | 116 | 111 | |
Friday, December 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 65% | 115 | 116 | |
| 29 | Hornets | 35% | 109 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 41% | 115 | 109 | |
| 8 | Hawks | 59% | 118 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 31% | 108 | 120 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 115 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 39% | 111 | 105 | |
| 5 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 96 | |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 75% | 114 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 29% | 109 | 133 | |
| 2 | Bucks | 71% | 117 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 38% | 106 | 109 | |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 62% | 110 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 72% | 120 | 117 | |
| 28 | Spurs | 28% | 112 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 19% | 107 | 122 | |
| 4 | Suns | 81% | 120 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 117 | 119 | |
| 13 | Jazz | 62% | 122 | 139 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 32% | 112 | 111 | |
| 3 | Warriors | 68% | 119 | 119 | |
Thursday, December 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 73% | 115 | 125 | |
| 29 | Pistons | 27% | 106 | 131 | |
Wednesday, November 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 45% | 105 | 85 | |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 55% | 107 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 116 | 125 | |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 110 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 26% | 105 | 121 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 28% | 111 | 107 | |
| 2 | Nets | 72% | 120 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 64% | 115 | 109 | |
| 19 | Knicks | 36% | 110 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 61% | 116 | 101 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 39% | 112 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 51% | 112 | 108 | |
| 14 | Pelicans | 49% | 111 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 111 | |
| 28 | Thunder | 53% | 114 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 29% | 112 | 100 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 71% | 120 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 37% | 111 | 113 | |
| 7 | Suns | 63% | 116 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 35% | 110 | 112 | |
| 12 | Jazz | 65% | 116 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 42% | 119 | 114 | |
| 15 | Kings | 58% | 122 | 137 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 39% | 110 | 109 | |
| 21 | Lakers | 61% | 115 | 128 | |
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 62% | 116 | 140 | |
| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 112 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 113 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 51% | 114 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 42% | 107 | 118 | |
| 21 | Blazers | 58% | 109 | 112 | |
Monday, November 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 39% | 108 | 101 | |
| 11 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 127 | |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 115 | 142 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 20% | 106 | 105 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 118 | 140 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 16% | 105 | 102 | |
| 2 | Nets | 84% | 120 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 42% | 108 | 88 | |
| 6 | Raptors | 58% | 111 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 32% | 110 | 101 | |
| 17 | Pelicans | 68% | 117 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 25% | 110 | 113 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 75% | 120 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 42% | 116 | 114 | |
| 12 | Jazz | 58% | 118 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 53% | 117 | 122 | |
| 14 | Kings | 47% | 116 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 38% | 115 | 116 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 62% | 119 | 115 | |
Sunday, November 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 31% | 109 | 97 | |
| 1 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 47% | 117 | 137 | |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 118 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 100 | |
| 23 | Clippers | 48% | 113 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 106 | |
| 13 | Hawks | 58% | 112 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 30% | 108 | 121 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 70% | 116 | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 74% | 115 | 102 | |
| 30 | Pistons | 26% | 105 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 127 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 47% | 113 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 56% | 107 | 133 | |
| 27 | Magic | 44% | 105 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 38% | 106 | 115 | |
| 4 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 124 | |
Saturday, November 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 53% | 109 | 100 | |
| 17 | Raptors | 47% | 107 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 105 | |
| 27 | Rockets | 52% | 115 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 54% | 116 | 143 | |
| 29 | Spurs | 46% | 114 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 38% | 113 | 112 | |
| 9 | Suns | 62% | 117 | 113 | |
Friday, November 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 63% | 117 | 108 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 112 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 57% | 107 | 107 | |
| 28 | Magic | 43% | 104 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 45% | 111 | 132 | |
| 14 | Knicks | 55% | 113 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 26% | 113 | 104 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 123 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 57% | 118 | 117 | |
| 17 | Pacers | 43% | 116 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 49% | 107 | 107 | |
| 21 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 65% | 117 | 122 | |
| 30 | Rockets | 35% | 111 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 47% | 112 | 111 | |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 113 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 42% | 107 | 102 | |
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 110 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 59% | 116 | 119 | |
| 26 | Thunder | 41% | 113 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 105 | |
| 27 | Spurs | 38% | 112 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 102 | |
| 6 | Suns | 80% | 119 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 38% | 116 | 118 | |
| 5 | Warriors | 62% | 121 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 113 | 114 | |
| 23 | Clippers | 44% | 111 | 104 | |
Wednesday, November 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 44% | 105 | 101 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 56% | 107 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 37% | 107 | 96 | |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 63% | 112 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 49% | 118 | 115 | |
| 17 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 37% | 117 | 106 | |
| 13 | Hawks | 63% | 122 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 34% | 108 | 112 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 114 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 45% | 104 | 105 | |
| 19 | Heat | 55% | 106 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 53% | 112 | 112 | |
| 21 | Raptors | 47% | 111 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 35% | 108 | 118 | |
| 3 | Bucks | 65% | 114 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 116 | 131 | |
| 26 | Thunder | 44% | 113 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pelicans | 72% | 119 | 129 | |
| 27 | Spurs | 28% | 110 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 17% | 109 | 125 | |
| 8 | Jazz | 83% | 123 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 36% | 110 | 107 | |
| 10 | Warriors | 64% | 115 | 124 | |