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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 6, 2022
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks
116
11Nuggets
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 23.8
37
32
22
10
12
0
1
1
5
0
10
8-9
89%
1-8
7-12
13%
56%
4-9
44%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
35
28
19
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
5-10
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
31
26
29
3
2
3
1
0
2
1
2
9-12
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
6-8
75%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.7
31
27
13
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
21
17
8
7
1
1
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
67%
0-0
-
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.2
27
27
14
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
6-6
5-8
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 30.9
26
25
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
1-3
33%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
17
26
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
60%
0-2
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.7
14
23
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 32.6
10
0
1-2
47%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.1
5
0
0-0
48%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
5
0
0-1
42%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.4
3
0
0-1
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 34.9
3
0
1-1
60%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.1
3
0
0-0
48%
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.1
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.8
34
33
19
8
8
1
1
0
3
0
8
5-6
83%
7-10
8-12
70%
64%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
32
31
27
8
2
1
1
0
2
4
4
5-7
71%
8-11
4-8
73%
59%
2-2
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.8
30
31
11
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-9
78%
2-6
5-10
33%
53%
0-5
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.3
30
34
12
6
5
1
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
30
28
12
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 22.2
30
13
20
4
5
2
0
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
5-10
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.3
18
16
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
1-2
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.6
16
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.9
14
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 25.7
7
17
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.4
17
1
2-5
46%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.5
13
0
1-2
49%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
12
0
2-2
68%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
2
0
0-0
52%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.4
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.4
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.