Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Timberwolves	39%	110	112	105.7	106	102.9
	10	Nuggets	61%	114	146	136.4	107	110.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-17

DEN

-10

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.14 57.1%

DEN

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	20.6	19	73%	3	3	0	1	1	3	0	3	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	20.2	4	33%	2	2	1	1	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	19.8	10	71%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	18.8	0	0%	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 23	12.1	11	61%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	22.4	11	69%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	21.3	19	59%	9	2	0	0	2	2	4	5	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	19.1	5	42%	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	18.8	9	64%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	17.8	2	25%	2	5	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	17.1	11	69%	5	0	1	2	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	12.7	7	70%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	11.6	4	40%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	7.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP - League Suspension
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	36	24	6	7	17	16	8	28	22-26	85%	30-50	60%	10-35	29%

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19 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	20.6	19	73%	3	3	0	1	1	3	0	3	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	20.2	4	33%	2	2	1	1	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	19.8	10	71%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	18.8	0	0%	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 23	12.1	11	61%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	22.4	11	69%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	21.3	19	59%	9	2	0	0	2	2	4	5	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	19.1	5	42%	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	18.8	9	64%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	17.8	2	25%	2	5	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	17.1	11	69%	5	0	1	2	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	12.7	7	70%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	11.6	4	40%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	7.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP - League Suspension
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	36	24	6	7	17	16	8	28	22-26	85%	30-50	60%	10-35	29%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.7	30	88%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	27.8	20	83%	12	16	1	1	1	1	1	11	4-5	80%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	25.9	24	80%	3	8	4	2	3	1	0	3	6-8	75%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	24.1	11	69%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	21.7	9	75%	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	29.3	8	67%	4	7	0	0	4	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	22.1	12	75%	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	18.4	8	80%	3	2	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	13.9	5	42%	4	2	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	13.6	7	35%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	7.8	7	70%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	6.6	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	69%	44	44	12	5	10	21	6	38	17-22	77%	45-66	68%	13-27	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.14 57.1%

DEN

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

69%

DEN

77%

Midrange

MIN

44%

DEN

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

15.0

29%

43%

DEN

19.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

MIN

85%

DEN

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	19	73%	9.5 / 13
L. Garza	19	59%	9.5 / 16
N. Reid	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Ryan	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Minott	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Russell	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Knight	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Forbes	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Prince	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. McDaniels	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Nowell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Moore	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Gobert	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	30	88%	15.0 / 17
A. Gordon	24	80%	12.0 / 15
N. Jokić	20	83%	10.0 / 12
V. Cancar	12	75%	6.0 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Brown	9	75%	4.5 / 6
I. Smith	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Braun	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Green	7	35%	3.5 / 10
P. Watson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Reed	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. White	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.7 5 117.1	MIN 105.7 DEN 136.4 +30.8
Pace	10 101.0 21 98.5	MIN 102.9 DEN 110.3 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 13 14.7	MIN 14.0 DEN 13.0 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 1 57.3%	MIN 52.9% DEN 69.4% +16.5%
TO %	27 14.5% 22 14.0%	MIN 15.0% DEN 9.7% −5.3%
ORB %	27 21.5% 13 24.8%	MIN 17.4% DEN 17.6% +0.2%
FTrt	12 27.0 19 25.9	MIN 30.6 +6.9 DEN 23.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 2 66.3%	MIN 60.0% DEN 75.9% +15.9%
STL %	7 7.9% 9 7.6%	MIN 5.7% DEN 11.2% +5.5%
BLK %	6 9.8% 19 8.3%	MIN 10.6% +0.6% DEN 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 5 58.7%	MIN 57.1% DEN 68.9% +11.8%
Rim FG%	9 64.9% 3 66.5%	MIN 68.8% DEN 76.9% +8.1%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 13 43.4%	MIN 44.4% DEN 55.6% +11.2%
3P %	13 36.5% 4 37.9%	MIN 28.6% DEN 48.1% +19.5%
FT %	24 75.5% 26 75.1%	MIN 84.6% +7.3% DEN 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.7% 2 39.0%	MIN 37.6% DEN 41.9% +4.3%
Mid Att. %	8 23.2% 12 24.9%	MIN 21.2% −7.9% DEN 29.0%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 21 36.1%	MIN 41.2% +12.1% DEN 29.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	112	146
Rebounds	36	44
Assists	24	44
Steals	6	12
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	16	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	38 (0)
Field Goals	40-85	58-93
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	30-39
Midrange FG	8-18	15-27
2-Point FG	30-50	45-66
3-Point FG	10-35	13-27
Free Throws	22-26	17-22
Fast Break Pts	11	22
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	54	74
Pts off Turnovers	10	23
Bench Points	68	52
Biggest Lead	2	40

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg