Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, February 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Knicks | 102 | ||
 | 26 | Magic | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Pelicans | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 27% | 106 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Timberwolves | 112 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Thunder | 35% | 111 | 133 |
 | 18 | Lakers | 65% | 117 | 130 |
Monday, February 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 111 | ||
 | 28 | Pistons | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Nets | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Bulls | 72% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Mavericks | 30% | 108 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 114 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 56% | 116 | 127 |
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Sunday, February 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 119 | ||
 | 27 | Hornets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 60% | 112 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Knicks | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Raptors | 47% | 109 | 106 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 53% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 98 | ||
| 13 | Timberwolves | 128 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 52% | 114 | 104 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 48% | 113 | 136 |
Saturday, February 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 51% | 111 | 123 |
| 8 | Nets | 49% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 116 | ||
| 28 | Pistons | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 134 |
| 15 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 121 | ||
| 21 | Bulls | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 42% | 106 | 115 |
| 5 | Bucks | 58% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 126 | ||
| 13 | Pelicans | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 121 |
| 25 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 153 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 113 | ||
| 7 | Warriors | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 27% | 109 | 108 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 73% | 118 | 128 |
Friday, February 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 49% | 114 | 112 |
| 28 | Pistons | 51% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 104 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 114 | 124 |
| 17 | Wizards | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 106 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 73% | 114 | 117 |
| 30 | Rockets | 27% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 127 | ||
| 14 | Timberwolves | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 78% | 120 | 137 |
| 29 | Spurs | 22% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 115 | ||
| 15 | Jazz | 108 | ||
Thursday, February 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 112 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 35% | 105 | 113 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 104 | ||
| 17 | Knicks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 98 |
| 21 | Bulls | 62% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 106 | ||
| 19 | Mavericks | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 38% | 113 | 117 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 105 | ||
| 5 | Bucks | 106 | ||
Wednesday, February 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 94 | ||
| 3 | 76ers | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 112 | 122 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 96 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 139 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 67% | 114 | 106 |
| 30 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 114 | ||
| 14 | Timberwolves | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 69% | 123 | 119 |
| 29 | Spurs | 31% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 128 | ||
| 16 | Jazz | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 41% | 111 | 132 |
| 6 | Suns | 59% | 114 | 100 |
Tuesday, January 31, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 100 | ||
| 9 | Cavaliers | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 37% | 111 | 129 |
| 18 | Knicks | 63% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 108 | ||
| 20 | Bulls | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 27% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Bucks | 73% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 113 | ||
| 6 | Nuggets | 122 | ||
Monday, January 30, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 119 | ||
| 2 | 76ers | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 27% | 108 | 104 |
| 5 | Nets | 73% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 118 | ||
| 14 | Timberwolves | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 58% | 116 | 128 |
| 25 | Thunder | 42% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 127 | ||
| 28 | Spurs | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 72% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 106 | ||
| 7 | Suns | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 115 | 129 |
Sunday, January 29, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 117 | ||
| 26 | Hornets | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 33% | 109 | 100 |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 67% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 99 | ||
| 9 | Cavaliers | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 29% | 106 | 110 |
| 6 | Bucks | 71% | 113 | 135 |
Saturday, January 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 39% | 111 | 119 |
| 2 | 76ers | 61% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 115 | ||
| 5 | Nets | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 45% | 112 | 117 |
| 28 | Pistons | 55% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 128 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 52% | 114 | 120 |
| 22 | Hawks | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 110 | ||
| 14 | Timberwolves | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 41% | 112 | 113 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 59% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 128 | ||
| 29 | Spurs | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 27% | 109 | 121 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 100 | ||
| 15 | Jazz | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 113 | 123 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 115 | 105 |
Friday, January 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 141 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 52% | 112 | 100 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 48% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 105 | ||
| 12 | Heat | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 49% | 107 | 100 |
| 25 | Thunder | 51% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 117 | ||
| 9 | Warriors | 129 | ||
Thursday, January 26, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 120 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 106 | 130 |
| 4 | Nets | 75% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 96 | ||
| 27 | Hornets | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 72% | 111 | 113 |
| 29 | Rockets | 28% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 99 | ||
| 9 | Suns | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 18% | 107 | 100 |
| 10 | Clippers | 82% | 120 | 138 |
Wednesday, January 25, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 120 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 38% | 107 | 133 |
| 2 | 76ers | 62% | 112 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 108 | ||
| 29 | Rockets | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 21% | 106 | 99 |
| 4 | Bucks | 79% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 111 | ||
| 10 | Pelicans | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 47% | 113 | 137 |
| 25 | Thunder | 53% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 120 | ||
| 9 | Warriors | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 45% | 115 | 124 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 117 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 113 | ||
| 14 | Kings | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 33% | 113 | 104 |
| 22 | Lakers | 67% | 120 | 113 |