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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2023
2:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies40%108109
1Celtics60%112119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
36.0
20.7
11
46%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
3-7
43%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
33.9
32.7
25
55%
6
7
0
1
0
1
0
6
7-11
64%
9-14
8-14
64%
52%
0-4
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
33.8
31.4
18
62%
6
7
1
1
2
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
3-7
43%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.1
24.4
24.7
6
100%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.4
20.4
29.5
15
76%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
2-2
100%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.1
27.5
21.1
9
37%
7
1
1
1
2
2
0
7
3-3
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
59%
2-9
22%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.4
23.4
20.1
14
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-3
0%
7-8
4-6
88%
63%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
21.6
9.4
4
45%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.8
14.1
21.1
4
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
4.9
20.4
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
1-1
100%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.4
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.3
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.9
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.6
40.1
34.5
23
53%
3
10
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-11
3-6
36%
52%
4-9
44%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.9
38.0
36.0
16
38%
7
3
2
1
2
3
0
7
9-12
75%
2-8
6-11
25%
53%
1-8
13%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.3
32.5
26.8
10
56%
16
3
1
1
0
0
5
11
0-0
-
5-8
4-6
63%
71%
0-1
0%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.2
31.4
24.0
20
83%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
6-11
55%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
30.1
18.8
16
81%
9
5
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
4-7
57%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.2
26.2
30.1
10
53%
9
4
0
1
0
1
3
6
6-8
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-3
0%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
18.2
14.8
12
86%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
4-7
57%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
16.7
15.2
10
71%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.6
6.8
14.1
2
50%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
66%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.9
13.1
0
1-2
52%
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.5
2.4
0
0-0
55%
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.4
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.2
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.