Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, February 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 60% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 23% | 107 | 118 |
 | 7 | Raptors | 77% | 118 | 119 |
Saturday, February 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Nets | 49% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | 35% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Heat | 49% | 104 | 107 |
 | 23 | Magic | 51% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Knicks | 65% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 38% | 105 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 35% | 111 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 43% | 114 | 128 |
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Friday, February 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 36% | 112 | 131 |
| 28 | Pistons | 64% | 117 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Pacers | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 35% | 107 | 108 |
| 2 | 76ers | 65% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 21% | 105 | 116 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 35% | 110 | 122 |
| 7 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Heat | 80% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 33% | 108 | 107 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 67% | 114 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 53% | 109 | 118 |
 | 9 | Pelicans | 47% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Thunder | 48% | 117 | 138 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 41% | 112 | 122 |
| 13 | Kings | 59% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Bucks | 49% | 109 | 119 |
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Thursday, February 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 58% | 111 | 104 |
| 24 | Magic | 42% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 47% | 112 | 107 |
| 10 | Hawks | 53% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 53% | 111 | 105 |
| 26 | Nets | 47% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 57% | 114 | 115 |
| 13 | Lakers | 43% | 111 | 106 |
Wednesday, February 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 40% | 110 | 104 |
| 22 | Wizards | 60% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 29% | 102 | 85 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 71% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 38% | 109 | 99 |
| 1 | Celtics | 62% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 107 | 111 |
| 9 | Heat | 62% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 20% | 108 | 98 |
| 6 | Raptors | 80% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 70% | 120 | 130 |
| 29 | Rockets | 30% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 31% | 111 | 143 |
| 12 | Jazz | 69% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 33% | 105 | 110 |
| 4 | Clippers | 67% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 48% | 115 | 122 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 116 | 125 |
Tuesday, February 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 102 |
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 46% | 114 | 107 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 54% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 62% | 110 | 116 |
| 26 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 27% | 106 | 89 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 73% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 112 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 114 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 35% | 111 | 133 |
| 12 | Lakers | 65% | 117 | 130 |
Monday, February 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 119 | 111 |
| 28 | Pistons | 22% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 47% | 109 | 114 |
| 13 | Wizards | 53% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 63% | 111 | 124 |
| 26 | Nets | 37% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 28% | 111 | 104 |
| 20 | Bulls | 72% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 64% | 118 | 140 |
| 30 | Rockets | 36% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 30% | 108 | 124 |
| 10 | Jazz | 70% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 44% | 112 | 114 |
| 18 | Warriors | 56% | 115 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 56% | 116 | 127 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 114 | 108 |
Sunday, February 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 49% | 110 | 119 |
| 24 | Hornets | 51% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 60% | 112 | 122 |
| 21 | Pacers | 40% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 47% | 109 | 106 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 53% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 59% | 112 | 97 |
| 14 | Knicks | 41% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 52% | 114 | 104 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 48% | 113 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 31% | 106 | 98 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 69% | 113 | 128 |
Saturday, February 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 51% | 111 | 123 |
| 27 | Nets | 49% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 45% | 112 | 126 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 55% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 63% | 114 | 116 |
| 28 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 134 |
| 15 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 114 | 121 |
| 21 | Bulls | 57% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 42% | 106 | 115 |
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 121 |
| 23 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 153 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 31% | 108 | 113 |
| 7 | Warriors | 69% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 27% | 109 | 108 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 73% | 118 | 128 |
Friday, February 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 114 | 124 |
| 12 | Wizards | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 55% | 118 | 104 |
| 23 | Pacers | 45% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 114 | 112 |
| 28 | Pistons | 51% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 29% | 105 | 106 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 113 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 78% | 120 | 137 |
| 29 | Spurs | 22% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 38% | 106 | 127 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 62% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 73% | 114 | 117 |
| 30 | Rockets | 27% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 42% | 116 | 115 |
| 10 | Jazz | 58% | 119 | 108 |
Thursday, February 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| 24 | Pacers | 49% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 35% | 105 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 65% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 53% | 108 | 104 |
| 13 | Knicks | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 98 |
| 22 | Bulls | 62% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 46% | 110 | 106 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 54% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 38% | 113 | 117 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 62% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 38% | 108 | 105 |
| 3 | Bucks | 62% | 113 | 106 |
Wednesday, February 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 112 | 122 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 26% | 105 | 94 |
| 2 | 76ers | 74% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 30% | 109 | 96 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 116 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 67% | 114 | 106 |
| 30 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 57% | 115 | 114 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 43% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 69% | 123 | 119 |
| 29 | Spurs | 31% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 48% | 114 | 128 |
| 12 | Jazz | 52% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 41% | 111 | 132 |
| 10 | Suns | 59% | 114 | 100 |
Tuesday, January 31, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 46% | 103 | 100 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 54% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 37% | 111 | 129 |
| 19 | Knicks | 63% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 27% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Bucks | 73% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 49% | 111 | 108 |
| 23 | Bulls | 51% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 35% | 112 | 113 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 65% | 117 | 122 |
Monday, January 30, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 24% | 105 | 119 |
| 2 | 76ers | 76% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 27% | 108 | 104 |
| 12 | Nets | 73% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 51% | 117 | 118 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 49% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 58% | 116 | 128 |
| 23 | Thunder | 42% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 69% | 120 | 127 |
| 29 | Spurs | 31% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 72% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 49% | 109 | 106 |
| 13 | Suns | 51% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 115 | 129 |