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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 12, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Thunder63%117102
29Spurs37%11290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.9
35.1
33.0
21
50%
7
10
0
2
0
4
4
3
6-7
86%
6-14
6-10
43%
60%
1-4
25%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.4
31.7
30.0
15
44%
11
5
1
1
0
1
1
10
2-2
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
55%
1-2
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.9
30.4
31.8
12
49%
4
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
5-5
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-5
20%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.7
28.8
25.7
5
31%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
1-6
17%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
25.7
20.7
9
65%
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.8
27.6
16.4
17
54%
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
5-9
1-2
56%
60%
2-6
33%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
23.3
16.2
8
48%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
61%
1-6
17%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
19.9
14.1
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
1-3
33%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 28.9
17.5
15.5
10
51%
7
3
1
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
1-5
20%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.1
10.2
0
1-2
48%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.4
9.7
0
1-2
55%
Jared Butler
G · 6'2" 193 · 22.5
5.7
0
1-1
53%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.7
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.9
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.5
33.2
28.6
6
28%
6
1
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.0
31.8
13.5
20
63%
3
3
1
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
43%
4-11
36%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
30.0
20.9
23
71%
11
4
0
0
0
4
2
9
5-5
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
57%
4-5
80%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.1
24.7
19.1
12
76%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.8
6.3
25.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
4-6
-
55%
0-3
0%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.0
30.3
19.5
2
8%
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-8
2-5
13%
47%
0-4
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.2
26.0
21.1
11
42%
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
56%
1-4
25%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
25.9
12.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
16.6
13.2
6
35%
7
0
0
0
1
2
1
6
4-6
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
15.1
16.7
8
59%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
2-4
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
61%
0-0
-
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 21.7
8.6
0
1-1
52%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.1
3.7
0
0-0
57%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 30.5
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.8
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.8
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.