Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Nets | 122 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | 24% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pelicans | 59% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Thunder | 102 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 112 |
 | 13 | Lakers | 51% | 111 | 108 |
Saturday, March 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 95 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 27 | Hornets | 45% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 54% | 107 | 114 |
 | 25 | Magic | 46% | 106 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 134 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 69% | 114 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Mavericks | 108 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 48% | 113 | 110 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 52% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Bucks | 116 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 119 | ||
| 6 | 76ers | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 44% | 115 | 114 |
| 15 | Wizards | 56% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 115 | ||
| 14 | Heat | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 36% | 106 | 124 |
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 64% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 120 | ||
| 30 | Spurs | 128 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Raptors | 58% | 112 | 112 |
| 13 | Lakers | 42% | 109 | 122 |
Thursday, March 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 113 | ||
| 28 | Pistons | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 31% | 111 | 125 |
| 23 | Pacers | 69% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 131 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 124 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 31% | 107 | 113 |
| 2 | Bucks | 69% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 110 | ||
| 3 | Grizzlies | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 55% | 117 | 117 |
| 20 | Kings | 45% | 116 | 122 |
Wednesday, March 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 48% | 115 | 122 |
| 16 | Wizards | 52% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 93 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 54% | 105 | 104 |
| 14 | Heat | 46% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| 17 | Pelicans | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 28% | 109 | 117 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 101 | ||
| 4 | Suns | 132 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 100 |
| 13 | Clippers | 55% | 111 | 108 |
Tuesday, March 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 83% | 118 | 119 |
| 28 | Pistons | 17% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 134 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 22% | 102 | 112 |
| 9 | Knicks | 78% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 117 | ||
| 10 | Timberwolves | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 71% | 116 | 118 |
| 29 | Rockets | 29% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 128 | ||
| 22 | Thunder | 137 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 26% | 107 | 116 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 74% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 103 | ||
| 16 | Lakers | 112 | ||
Monday, March 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 40% | 104 | 114 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 60% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 147 | ||
| 24 | Pacers | 143 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 128 | ||
| 12 | Heat | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 32% | 110 | 113 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 108 | ||
| 20 | Kings | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 115 | 110 |
| 28 | Pistons | 39% | 111 | 104 |
Sunday, March 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 130 | ||
| 13 | Mavericks | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 38% | 110 | 125 |
| 19 | Bulls | 62% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 105 | ||
| 17 | Lakers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 24% | 105 | 86 |
| 18 | Nets | 76% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 122 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 44% | 112 | 110 |
| 30 | Rockets | 56% | 115 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 119 | ||
| 22 | Thunder | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 131 |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 129 | ||
| 14 | Clippers | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 55% | 112 | 117 |
| 15 | Wizards | 45% | 110 | 111 |
Saturday, March 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 116 | ||
| 15 | Wizards | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 10% | 98 | 90 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 90% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 109 | ||
| 13 | Heat | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 46% | 110 | 122 |
| 28 | Spurs | 54% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 133 | ||
| 3 | Bucks | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 113 | 138 |
| 20 | Kings | 57% | 115 | 134 |
Friday, March 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 117 | ||
| 27 | Hornets | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 115 | 111 |
| 20 | Hawks | 64% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 115 | ||
| 1 | Celtics | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 53% | 108 | 122 |
| 14 | Heat | 47% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 125 | ||
| 18 | Bulls | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 45% | 110 | 103 |
| 22 | Thunder | 55% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 97 | ||
| 5 | Nuggets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 49% | 113 | 99 |
| 8 | Warriors | 51% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 127 | ||
| 19 | Kings | 128 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 52% | 111 | 110 |
| 15 | Lakers | 48% | 110 | 102 |
Thursday, March 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 108 | ||
| 10 | Wizards | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 42% | 109 | 126 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 58% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 99 | ||
| 29 | Spurs | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 56% | 115 | 91 |
| 8 | Warriors | 44% | 113 | 115 |
Wednesday, March 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 75% | 115 | 105 |
| 27 | Hornets | 25% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 117 | ||
| 28 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 36% | 105 | 113 |
| 1 | Celtics | 64% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 119 | ||
| 13 | Heat | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 118 |
| 9 | Knicks | 72% | 115 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 113 | ||
| 30 | Rockets | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 31% | 103 | 117 |
| 3 | Bucks | 69% | 111 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 123 | ||
| 22 | Thunder | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 57% | 116 | 121 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 113 | 110 |
Tuesday, February 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 44% | 114 | 119 |
| 20 | Hawks | 56% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 118 | ||
| 18 | Nets | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 46% | 107 | 98 |
| 11 | Raptors | 54% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 133 | ||
| 29 | Rockets | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 31% | 107 | 109 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 69% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 123 | ||
| 22 | Thunder | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 35% | 111 | 124 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 65% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 102 | ||
| 25 | Jazz | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 113 | 105 |
| 8 | Warriors | 60% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 108 | ||
| 10 | Clippers | 101 | ||
Monday, February 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 35% | 108 | 106 |
| 27 | Hornets | 65% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 101 | ||
| 4 | 76ers | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 112 | 94 |
| 9 | Knicks | 45% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 101 | ||
| 14 | Pelicans | 93 | ||