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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies47%105119
11Heat53%106138
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.8
28.3
30.5
11
55%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.5
28.2
28.1
25
77%
9
1
2
1
1
1
3
6
1-3
33%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
4-7
57%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
26.5
30.5
7
47%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.2
22.9
25.7
8
67%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-6
67%
60%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
21.9
30.5
11
48%
4
3
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
52%
2-7
29%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
22.1
19.9
3
30%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
1-4
25%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.2
20.8
22.6
5
28%
4
4
0
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
59%
0-5
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.7
19.7
18.5
14
102%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
4-5
80%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.0
17.9
19.1
8
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
2-5
40%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.5
12.0
4.4
12
71%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
61%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.6
12.0
2.6
10
83%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
7.9
2.9
5
87%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.5
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
33.5
33.1
24
76%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
50%
2-6
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
33.2
34.6
26
70%
8
3
0
1
3
3
2
6
6-8
75%
10-15
8-13
67%
56%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.5
27.9
31.5
23
71%
8
6
2
2
1
1
3
5
11-12
92%
6-11
7-12
55%
54%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
21.9
26.3
10
100%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
2-2
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.5
18.3
19.0
10
63%
6
3
0
0
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
3-7
43%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
32.6
18.5
12
51%
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
57%
2-6
33%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.5
29.7
26.4
11
101%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.0
20.1
22.1
8
100%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
12.6
3.6
7
72%
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-3
0-0
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
6.9
7.4
5
64%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
3.3
6.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
22.3
1
2-4
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.8
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.0
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.7
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.8
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.