Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Grizzlies	42%	108	119	117.8	101	104.5
	12	Heat	58%	111	138	136.6	101	97.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-16

MIA

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.21 60.7%

MIA

1.44 71.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	28.3	11	55%	4	5	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	+3.2
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	28.2	25	78%	9	1	2	1	1	2	3	6	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	+14.8
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	7	50%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	−0.4
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	22.8	8	67%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-	+4.5
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	21.9	11	50%	4	3	1	0	5	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	+1.5

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	22.1	3	30%	4	4	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	+3.8
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	20.8	5	28%	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%	+3.4
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	19.7	14	100%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	+9.1
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	17.9	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+3.5
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	12.0	12	75%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	+4.7
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	12.0	10	83%	3	2	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	+4.7
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	7.9	5	83%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+3.5
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Tear
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Soreness
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	39	29	6	1	16	20	12	27	9-14	64%	28-45	62%	18-46	39%

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10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	28.3	11	55%	4	5	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	+3.2
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	28.2	25	78%	9	1	2	1	1	2	3	6	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	+14.8
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	7	50%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	−0.4
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	22.8	8	67%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-	+4.5
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	21.9	11	50%	4	3	1	0	5	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	+1.5

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	22.1	3	30%	4	4	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	+3.8
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	20.8	5	28%	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%	+3.4
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	19.7	14	100%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	+9.1
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	17.9	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+3.5
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	12.0	12	75%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	+4.7
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	12.0	10	83%	3	2	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	+4.7
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	7.9	5	83%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+3.5
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Tear
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Soreness
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	39	29	6	1	16	20	12	27	9-14	64%	28-45	62%	18-46	39%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	33.5	24	80%	4	6	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	+12.4
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	33.2	26	72%	8	3	0	3	3	3	2	6	6-8	75%	10-15	67%	0-0	-	+10.5
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	27.9	23	72%	8	6	2	1	1	0	3	5	11-12	92%	6-11	55%	0-0	-	+15.2
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	21.9	10	100%	1	1	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	+5.8
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	18.3	10	71%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-7	43%	+4.9

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	32.6	12	50%	2	6	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	+6.6
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.7	11	110%	3	1	2	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	+8.1
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	20.1	8	100%	4	4	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	+4.7
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	12.6	7	70%	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	+6.5
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	6.9	5	63%	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+2.0
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	3.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+0.1
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	72%	41	33	8	5	13	16	8	33	27-33	82%	36-53	68%	13-29	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.21 60.7%

MIA

1.44 71.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

67%

MIA

70%

Midrange

MEM

56%

MIA

65%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

27.0

39%

59%

MIA

19.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

MEM

64%

MIA

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	25	78%	12.5 / 16
L. Kennard	14	100%	7.0 / 7
Z. Williams	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Jones	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Bane	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Lofton Jr.	10	83%	5.0 / 6
X. Tillman	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Roddy	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Brooks	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Aldama	5	28%	2.5 / 9
K. Chandler	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Konchar	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	26	72%	13.0 / 18
T. Herro	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Butler	23	72%	11.5 / 16
M. Strus	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Martin	11	110%	5.5 / 5
G. Vincent	10	100%	5.0 / 5
K. Love	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Lowry	8	100%	4.0 / 4
H. Highsmith	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Ö. Yurtseven	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Robinson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 114.9 25 112.5	MEM 117.8 MIA 136.6 +18.8
Pace	8 101.3 29 96.8	MEM 104.5 +6.9 MIA 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.0 5 15.0	MEM 13.8 −1.0 MIA 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 54.0% 25 53.0%	MEM 60.4% MIA 67.7% +7.3%
TO %	8 12.7% 15 13.1%	MEM 14.1% MIA 11.9% −2.2%
ORB %	6 26.5% 21 22.8%	MEM 26.7% +3.8% MIA 22.9%
FTrt	19 25.9 13 27.0	MEM 15.4 MIA 40.2 +24.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.6% 14 60.8%	MEM 63.0% MIA 67.3% +4.3%
STL %	4 8.1% 3 8.2%	MEM 5.9% MIA 7.9% +2.0%
BLK %	7 9.7% 23 7.5%	MEM 1.9% MIA 11.1% +9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.9% 22 55.9%	MEM 60.7% MIA 71.9% +11.2%
Rim FG%	18 63.6% 21 63.3%	MEM 66.7% MIA 69.7% +3.0%
Mid FG%	14 43.1% 6 45.5%	MEM 55.6% MIA 65.0% +9.4%
3P %	23 35.1% 27 34.4%	MEM 39.1% MIA 44.8% +5.7%
FT %	30 73.3% 2 83.1%	MEM 64.3% MIA 81.8% +17.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 35.8% 29 28.3%	MEM 29.7% MIA 40.2% +10.6%
Mid Att. %	14 27.0% 24 30.9%	MEM 19.8% −4.6% MIA 24.4%
3P Att. %	16 37.2% 9 40.8%	MEM 50.5% +15.2% MIA 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	MIA
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	119	138
Rebounds	39	41
Assists	29	33
Steals	6	8
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	33 (3)
Field Goals	46-91	49-82
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	23-33
Midrange FG	10-18	13-20
2-Point FG	28-45	36-53
3-Point FG	18-46	13-29
Free Throws	9-14	27-33
Fast Break Pts	10	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	16
Points in Paint	54	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	57	45
Biggest Lead	4	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg