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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Lakers55%115110
27Rockets45%113114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.9
34.6
26.0
13
47%
10
5
2
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
6-11
3-5
55%
61%
0-2
0%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.1
33.6
30.3
18
46%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
3-11
27%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.3
32.5
26.7
16
47%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
4-12
33%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
25.3
27.4
8
80%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
2-4
50%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
17.5
21.7
5
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 26.0
33.5
13.5
6
51%
14
1
2
0
0
0
7
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
63%
0-0
-
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.8
26.8
27.3
24
61%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
11-13
85%
5-7
3-4
71%
63%
1-7
14%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.5
24.9
24.5
16
52%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
10-12
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-2
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.2
11.3
6.1
4
41%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.1
3.7
0
0-0
53%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.8
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 24.8
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.3
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.0
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 22.9
39.1
32.1
27
76%
9
6
1
1
0
3
4
5
3-4
75%
9-11
4-8
82%
51%
2-5
40%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 21.1
37.9
34.8
11
40%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
2-7
6-12
29%
50%
2-6
33%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 19.8
36.5
33.4
18
44%
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
4-8
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
2-7
29%
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.2
33.0
32.5
16
67%
8
3
1
1
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
7-9
5-8
78%
66%
0-2
0%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 20.6
31.0
28.4
13
60%
9
6
1
1
2
2
2
7
1-2
50%
6-10
6-10
60%
58%
0-0
-
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 27.4
20.9
22.6
13
87%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
6-6
4-6
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
18.4
27.6
2
20%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
13.2
11.2
12
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
2-3
67%
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 21.0
10.0
11.6
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-3
0%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 21.1
10.2
0
1-2
49%
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.3
9.2
0
1-2
51%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 34.6
2.6
0
1-1
60%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 29.9
1.4
0
0-0
54%
Trevor Hudgins
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.0
Darius Days
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.