Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	56%	115	104	110.6	94	86.2
	14	Timberwolves	44%	113	102	107.4	95	104.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	36.9	22	52%	12	2	2	1	2	5	1	11	14-16	88%	4-8	50%	0-8	0%	+10.2
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 26	36.5	35	65%	10	1	1	0	2	2	3	7	6-8	75%	7-16	44%	5-8	63%	+13.4
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	34.9	9	38%	2	5	2	0	3	5	1	1	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-5	0%	+3.2
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	32.2	11	69%	3	5	1	2	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	+10.4
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	24.5	9	56%	3	4	1	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	+8.1

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	31.1	12	55%	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	+5.4
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	26.3	2	20%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	−0.2
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	15.4	4	100%	4	0	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+2.6
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−1.0
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala #57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Heel; Pain
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	44	20	7	5	9	22	8	36	24-30	80%	22-44	50%	12-40	30%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	36.9	22	52%	12	2	2	1	2	5	1	11	14-16	88%	4-8	50%	0-8	0%	+10.2
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 26	36.5	35	65%	10	1	1	0	2	2	3	7	6-8	75%	7-16	44%	5-8	63%	+13.4
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	34.9	9	38%	2	5	2	0	3	5	1	1	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-5	0%	+3.2
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	32.2	11	69%	3	5	1	2	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	+10.4
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	24.5	9	56%	3	4	1	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	+8.1

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	31.1	12	55%	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	+5.4
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	26.3	2	20%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	−0.2
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	15.4	4	100%	4	0	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+2.6
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−1.0
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala #57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Heel; Pain
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	44	20	7	5	9	22	8	36	24-30	80%	22-44	50%	12-40	30%

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14 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	38.4	28	64%	10	7	0	0	3	0	0	10	3-5	60%	5-12	42%	5-8	63%	+11.5
Kyle Anderson #5 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29	36.3	15	54%	7	8	0	2	2	4	4	3	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%	+8.1
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	33.3	14	54%	5	1	1	0	1	4	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	+6.1
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	29.8	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	2	2	3	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	+3.5
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	29.0	15	68%	6	1	1	0	1	3	1	5	3-7	43%	6-8	75%	0-0	-	+6.9

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	20.2	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+1.0
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	19.1	15	68%	6	1	0	0	3	4	0	6	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	+3.6
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	18.2	5	42%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	+4.5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	15.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%	−1.0
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Tendinopathy
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Calf; Strain
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	46	27	3	2	13	23	8	38	16-22	73%	25-48	52%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.07 53.6%

MIN

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

16

26

62%

MIN

17

24

71%

Midrange

BOS

6

18

33%

MIN

8

24

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

12

18.0

40

30%

45%

MIN

12

18.0

36

33%

50%

Free Throws

BOS

24

30

80%

MIN

16

22

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	35	65%	17.5 / 27
J. Tatum	22	52%	11.0 / 21
M. Brogdon	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Horford	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Smart	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. White	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Griffin	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	28	64%	14.0 / 22
K. Anderson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
R. Gobert	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Reid	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. McDaniels	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Conley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McLaughlin	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Prince	3	50%	1.5 / 3
N. Alexander-Walker	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.3 23 113.3	BOS 110.6 +3.3 MIN 107.4
Pace	20 99.0 7 101.4	BOS 86.2 MIN 104.4 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 22 14.0	BOS 16.7 MIN 13.8 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.6% 8 56.0%	BOS 47.6% MIN 51.2% +3.6%
TO %	6 12.7% 27 14.5%	BOS 10.2% −2.0% MIN 12.2%
ORB %	25 22.1% 27 21.5%	BOS 17.4% MIN 18.2% +0.8%
FTrt	27 24.3 12 27.1	BOS 35.7 +9.5 MIN 26.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.2% 12 61.0%	BOS 58.8% MIN 73.0% +14.2%
STL %	27 6.3% 7 7.8%	BOS 7.4% +4.2% MIN 3.2%
BLK %	27 7.2% 22 7.7%	BOS 10.4% +5.9% MIN 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.8% 8 58.0%	BOS 53.6% MIN 53.7% +0.1%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 9 65.5%	BOS 61.5% MIN 70.8% +9.3%
Mid FG%	13 43.3% 12 43.7%	BOS 33.3% MIN 33.3%
3P %	6 37.7% 13 36.5%	BOS 30.0% MIN 33.3% +3.3%
FT %	4 81.2% 24 75.5%	BOS 80.0% +7.3% MIN 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.8% 5 37.0%	BOS 31.0% +2.4% MIN 28.6%
Mid Att. %	1 21.2% 9 24.9%	BOS 21.4% −7.1% MIN 28.6%
3P Att. %	2 48.0% 14 38.1%	BOS 47.6% +4.8% MIN 42.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Game Totals	BOS	MIN
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	104	102
Rebounds	44	46
Assists	20	27
Steals	7	3
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	34-84	37-84
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	17-24
Midrange FG	6-18	8-24
2-Point FG	22-44	25-48
3-Point FG	12-40	12-36
Free Throws	24-30	16-22
Fast Break Pts	10	10
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	5	13
Bench Points	18	23
Biggest Lead	14	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg