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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Mavericks
137
30Spurs
128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 32.0
46
28
20
13
2
2
1
0
0
0
13
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
6-10
60%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
45
28
21
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
7-13
3-5
54%
64%
2-5
40%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.7
38
30
22
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
9-10
90%
2-12
4-7
17%
55%
3-5
60%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
29
19
22
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
6-7
86%
8-8
2-3
100%
72%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.1
28
25
3
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
64%
1-3
33%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.5
28
12
28
13
3
0
0
1
4
3
10
10-11
91%
6-13
2-4
46%
62%
2-4
50%
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.4
23
20
11
4
2
0
1
1
4
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.9
12
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.3
12
12
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.2
4
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
6
0
0-1
48%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.4
4
0
0-0
49%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 31.0
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 22.7
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.0
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
36
19
27
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-6
33%
8-17
4-7
47%
54%
3-8
38%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
33
18
10
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
2-7
29%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.1
33
23
13
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
4-7
57%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
32
23
13
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
21
18
17
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
6-6
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
1-1
100%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.8
29
16
20
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
55%
2-3
67%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.0
23
24
11
6
4
3
1
0
2
4
2
3-5
60%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.8
22
13
6
4
1
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
55%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.2
20
23
9
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
56%
3-5
60%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.2
16
3
2
5
3
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
55%
0-2
0%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.6
31
1
4-8
50%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.1
24
1
3-5
56%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 30.5
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 21.7
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.