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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Mavericks65%113137
29Spurs35%108128
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 32.0
46.0
28.1
20
84%
13
2
2
1
0
0
0
13
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
6-10
60%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
45.3
27.6
21
56%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
7-13
3-5
54%
64%
2-5
40%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.7
38.0
29.9
22
51%
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
9-10
90%
2-12
4-7
17%
55%
3-5
60%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
29.3
18.6
22
99%
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
6-7
86%
8-8
2-3
100%
72%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.1
27.5
24.9
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
64%
1-3
33%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.5
28.3
12.1
28
64%
13
3
0
0
1
4
3
10
10-11
91%
6-13
2-4
46%
62%
2-4
50%
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.4
23.0
19.6
11
87%
4
2
0
1
1
4
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.9
12.4
16.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.3
11.8
12.1
6
75%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.2
3.5
3.0
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
5.6
0
0-1
48%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.4
3.9
0
0-0
49%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 31.0
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 22.7
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.0
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
36.0
19.2
27
49%
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-6
33%
8-17
4-7
47%
54%
3-8
38%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
33.3
17.7
10
38%
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
2-7
29%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.1
32.9
23.5
13
70%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
4-7
57%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
32.0
23.4
13
55%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
20.8
18.1
17
67%
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
6-6
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
1-1
100%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.8
29.5
15.9
20
78%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
55%
2-3
67%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.0
23.1
23.7
11
45%
6
4
3
1
0
2
4
2
3-5
60%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.8
21.6
13.0
6
60%
4
1
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
55%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.2
20.2
23.0
9
51%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
56%
3-5
60%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.2
15.7
2.9
2
20%
5
3
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
55%
0-2
0%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.6
30.6
1
4-8
50%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.1
23.7
1
3-5
56%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 30.5
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 21.7
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.