Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	64%	116	137	124.5	110	104.0
	29	Spurs	36%	111	128	116.4	110	95.4

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+13

-18

105

SAS

100

+20

-10

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.29 64.6%

SAS

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 32	46.0	20	83%	13	2	2	0	0	1	0	13	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	6-10	60%	+15.3
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 22	45.3	21	58%	3	7	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	2-5	40%	+8.9
Jaden Hardy #3 · PG · 6'3" 198 · 21	38.0	22	50%	6	4	0	0	2	2	2	4	9-10	90%	2-12	17%	3-5	60%	+6.9
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	29.3	22	100%	8	2	0	0	1	3	4	4	6-7	86%	8-8	100%	0-0	-	+11.9
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31	27.5	3	38%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	−1.0

Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 27	28.3	28	64%	13	3	0	1	4	5	3	10	10-11	91%	6-13	46%	2-4	50%	+10.2
McKinley Wright IV #23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24	23.0	11	92%	4	2	0	1	4	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	+2.9
Justin Holiday #0 · PG · 6'6" 185 · 34	12.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−1.1
Davis Bertans #44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30	11.8	6	75%	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%	+5.9
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35	3.5	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.1
Frank Ntilikina #21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Pinson #1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Soreness
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thigh; Strain
Markieff Morris #13 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Soreness
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	137	65%	52	23	4	4	18	25	10	42	32-37	86%	27-53	51%	17-33	52%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 32	46.0	20	83%	13	2	2	0	0	1	0	13	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	6-10	60%	+15.3
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 22	45.3	21	58%	3	7	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	2-5	40%	+8.9
Jaden Hardy #3 · PG · 6'3" 198 · 21	38.0	22	50%	6	4	0	0	2	2	2	4	9-10	90%	2-12	17%	3-5	60%	+6.9
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	29.3	22	100%	8	2	0	0	1	3	4	4	6-7	86%	8-8	100%	0-0	-	+11.9
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31	27.5	3	38%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	−1.0

Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 27	28.3	28	64%	13	3	0	1	4	5	3	10	10-11	91%	6-13	46%	2-4	50%	+10.2
McKinley Wright IV #23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24	23.0	11	92%	4	2	0	1	4	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	+2.9
Justin Holiday #0 · PG · 6'6" 185 · 34	12.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−1.1
Davis Bertans #44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30	11.8	6	75%	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%	+5.9
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35	3.5	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.1
Frank Ntilikina #21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Pinson #1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Soreness
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thigh; Strain
Markieff Morris #13 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Soreness
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	137	65%	52	23	4	4	18	25	10	42	32-37	86%	27-53	51%	17-33	52%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	36.0	27	48%	8	2	0	0	2	6	2	6	2-6	33%	8-17	47%	3-8	38%	+6.5
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	33.3	10	38%	7	2	0	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-7	29%	+4.2
Devonte' Graham #4 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 28	32.9	13	72%	3	5	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-3	33%	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	+9.9
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	32.0	13	54%	1	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%	+6.7
Romeo Langford #35 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	20.8	17	65%	4	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%	+7.6

Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'5" 180 · 20	29.5	20	77%	5	2	0	0	2	4	0	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%	+7.3
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	23.1	11	46%	6	4	3	0	2	1	4	2	3-5	60%	4-10	40%	0-0	-	+7.3
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	21.6	6	60%	4	1	2	1	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+3.8
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	20.2	9	50%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	3-5	60%	+2.3
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	15.7	2	20%	5	3	0	2	0	4	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	+3.4
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness · Left knee; injury management
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Soreness
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left patella; non-displaced fracture
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right knee; Chondromalacia
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left ankle; injury management
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right knee; injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	128	53%	47	26	7	4	10	30	16	31	15-26	58%	34-73	47%	15-34	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.29 64.6%

SAS

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

59%

SAS

58%

Midrange

DAL

42%

SAS

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

25.5

52%

77%

SAS

22.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

DAL

86%

SAS

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Wood	28	64%	14.0 / 22
J. Hardy	22	50%	11.0 / 22
D. Powell	22	100%	11.0 / 11
J. Green	21	58%	10.5 / 18
R. Bullock	20	83%	10.0 / 12
M. Wright IV	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Bertans	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. McGee	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Kleber	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	27	48%	13.5 / 28
M. Branham	20	77%	10.0 / 13
R. Langford	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Graham	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Jones	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Wesley	11	46%	5.5 / 12
S. Mamukelashvili	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. McDermott	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Barlow	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Dieng	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 116.0 29 109.8	DAL 124.5 +8.2 SAS 116.4
Pace	28 97.2 2 102.1	DAL 104.0 +8.6 SAS 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.1 23 14.0	DAL 13.8 −1.2 SAS 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.5% 26 52.5%	DAL 61.0% +8.2% SAS 52.8%
TO %	2 11.8% 24 14.3%	DAL 15.7% SAS 7.8% −7.9%
ORB %	30 18.0% 7 25.6%	DAL 24.4% SAS 27.6% +3.2%
FTrt	3 29.8 29 22.9	DAL 43.0 +18.7 SAS 24.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 57.3% 6 63.2%	DAL 52.3% SAS 53.1% +0.8%
STL %	26 6.4% 23 6.8%	DAL 3.6% SAS 6.4% +2.8%
BLK %	29 6.9% 19 8.1%	DAL 5.5% SAS 7.5% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 58.5% 28 54.3%	DAL 64.6% +11.7% SAS 52.9%
Rim FG%	6 66.2% 26 62.1%	DAL 58.6% +0.7% SAS 57.9%
Mid FG%	3 46.1% 23 42.1%	DAL 41.7% +7.4% SAS 34.3%
3P %	8 37.1% 26 34.5%	DAL 51.5% +7.4% SAS 44.1%
FT %	23 75.5% 28 74.3%	DAL 86.5% +28.8% SAS 57.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.9% 12 35.2%	DAL 33.7% SAS 35.5% +1.8%
Mid Att. %	3 22.4% 22 30.0%	DAL 27.9% −4.8% SAS 32.7%
3P Att. %	1 48.7% 27 34.8%	DAL 38.4% +6.6% SAS 31.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Game Totals	DAL	SAS
Possessions	110	110
Possession Minutes	25.4	27.7
Points	137	128
Rebounds	52	47
Assists	23	26
Steals	4	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	25	30
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	31 (1)
Field Goals	44-86	49-107
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	22-38
Midrange FG	10-24	12-35
2-Point FG	27-53	34-73
3-Point FG	17-33	15-34
Free Throws	32-37	15-26
Fast Break Pts	7	14
2nd Chance Pts	20	21
Points in Paint	44	60
Pts off Turnovers	20	26
Bench Points	49	48
Biggest Lead	12	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg