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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Pistons
107
22Hawks
129
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.0
41
20
31
8
1
3
0
2
0
2
6
3-3
100%
8-14
4-6
57%
57%
4-5
80%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.6
34
33
21
2
6
0
2
0
3
1
1
5-5
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
2-6
33%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
30
33
17
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
2-9
22%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.6
27
32
7
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.0
19
29
6
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
6-11
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
25
28
12
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.1
24
22
4
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-2
0%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.1
21
12
9
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.6
15
5
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
3
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.3
16
0
3-5
62%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.6
11
0
1-1
55%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.7
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.9
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.8
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.5
30
30
30
3
12
0
1
0
3
2
1
13-15
87%
4-10
6-11
40%
53%
3-9
33%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
28
31
12
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
55%
2-5
40%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
27
23
18
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
4-9
44%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
27
27
15
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
3-5
4-6
60%
64%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
25
25
12
16
0
2
1
2
0
4
12
0-2
0%
6-7
5-8
86%
65%
0-0
-
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
20
21
14
11
1
0
1
0
0
5
6
2-4
50%
3-9
2-3
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
20
21
7
8
1
1
1
3
0
7
1
1-2
50%
3-5
4-6
60%
67%
0-0
-
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.4
18
2
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.5
18
2
4
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-1
0%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
18
16
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.8
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
58%
0-0
-
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.8
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Donovan Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.5
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.3
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.