Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 23, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Thunder	39%	114	105	108.2	97	97.0
	12	Clippers	61%	118	127	132.3	96	95.9

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+18

-14

101

LAC

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.04 52.0%

LAC

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	31.9	16	67%	3	4	0	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%	+6.0
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	29.8	3	14%	6	2	2	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	0-7	0%	1-4	25%	+1.1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	26.9	30	79%	4	3	1	3	2	2	0	4	9-9	100%	9-14	64%	1-1	100%	+14.3
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	26.3	18	60%	3	4	0	0	2	1	3	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-5	40%	+6.4
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	25.8	8	50%	9	4	2	0	3	2	0	9	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	+5.5

Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	22.1	6	43%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%	+2.9
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	17.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%	−0.8
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	15.8	9	75%	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	+4.8
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.7	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	−0.3
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	11.2	4	40%	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	+1.6
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	8.9	5	42%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+0.7
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	8.2	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.8
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	40	24	6	5	14	20	13	27	10-11	91%	28-54	52%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	31.9	16	67%	3	4	0	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%	+6.0
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	29.8	3	14%	6	2	2	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	0-7	0%	1-4	25%	+1.1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	26.9	30	79%	4	3	1	3	2	2	0	4	9-9	100%	9-14	64%	1-1	100%	+14.3
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	26.3	18	60%	3	4	0	0	2	1	3	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-5	40%	+6.4
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	25.8	8	50%	9	4	2	0	3	2	0	9	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	+5.5

Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	22.1	6	43%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%	+2.9
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	17.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%	−0.8
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	15.8	9	75%	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	+4.8
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.7	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	−0.3
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	11.2	4	40%	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	+1.6
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	8.9	5	42%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+0.7
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	8.2	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.8
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	40	24	6	5	14	20	13	27	10-11	91%	28-54	52%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 32	34.5	32	94%	6	6	4	0	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	10-11	91%	3-4	75%	+21.5
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 34	29.6	24	75%	2	7	0	1	4	2	1	1	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%	+9.7
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 34	24.9	6	30%	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%	+2.3
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	23.8	6	75%	10	1	0	2	1	1	1	9	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+4.9
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 34	22.2	8	44%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%	+1.3

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	27.4	14	58%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	+6.3
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	25.8	16	62%	4	7	1	1	1	0	1	3	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%	+10.6
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 33	24.3	2	50%	7	0	0	1	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.1
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34	18.6	12	100%	2	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%	+10.6
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 32	4.5	7	117%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	+5.1
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
Jason Preston #1 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Xavier Moon #15 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Paul George #13 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Sprained
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Tailbone; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	67%	42	34	9	3	13	9	8	34	15-20	75%	29-47	62%	18-37	49%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.04 52.0%

LAC

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

48%

LAC

57%

Midrange

OKC

55%

LAC

65%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

19.5

33%

50%

LAC

27.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

OKC

91%

LAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	79%	15.0 / 19
J. Giddey	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Williams	16	67%	8.0 / 12
O. Dieng	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Williams	8	50%	4.0 / 8
L. Waters	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Mann	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Dort	3	14%	1.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Sarr	3	150%	1.5 / 1
I. Joe	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	32	94%	16.0 / 17
R. Westbrook	24	75%	12.0 / 16
B. Hyland	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Mann	14	58%	7.0 / 12
N. Batum	12	100%	6.0 / 6
E. Gordon	8	44%	4.0 / 9
R. Covington	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Morris	6	30%	3.0 / 10
I. Zubac	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Plumlee	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.3 17 114.2	OKC 108.2 LAC 132.3 +24.0
Pace	3 101.9 22 98.8	OKC 97.0 +1.0 LAC 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 8 14.7	OKC 14.9 −0.2 LAC 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.1% 11 55.1%	OKC 51.1% LAC 66.7% +15.6%
TO %	4 12.1% 19 13.6%	OKC 12.5% −1.4% LAC 13.9%
ORB %	13 24.7% 19 22.9%	OKC 27.7% +4.8% LAC 22.9%
FTrt	23 25.6 11 27.8	OKC 11.8 LAC 23.8 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.7% 21 58.1%	OKC 58.5% LAC 72.3% +13.8%
STL %	5 8.0% 17 7.1%	OKC 6.2% LAC 9.4% +3.2%
BLK %	4 9.9% 25 7.3%	OKC 10.6% +5.0% LAC 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.7% 11 57.3%	OKC 52.0% LAC 66.8% +14.8%
Rim FG%	30 59.9% 22 63.1%	OKC 48.0% LAC 57.1% +9.1%
Mid FG%	16 43.0% 11 44.2%	OKC 55.2% LAC 65.4% +10.2%
3P %	17 35.6% 3 38.1%	OKC 33.3% LAC 48.6% +15.3%
FT %	6 80.9% 18 78.1%	OKC 90.9% +15.9% LAC 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 37.3% 23 31.4%	OKC 26.9% +1.9% LAC 25.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.8% 21 29.8%	OKC 31.2% LAC 31.0% −0.2%
3P Att. %	18 36.9% 13 38.7%	OKC 41.9% LAC 44.0% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Game Totals	OKC	LAC
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	105	127
Rebounds	40	42
Assists	24	34
Steals	6	9
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	20	9
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	34 (1)
Field Goals	41-93	47-84
At-the-Rim FG	12-25	12-21
Midrange FG	16-29	17-26
2-Point FG	28-54	29-47
3-Point FG	13-39	18-37
Free Throws	10-11	15-20
Fast Break Pts	6	12
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	46	38
Pts off Turnovers	17	22
Bench Points	30	51
Biggest Lead	7	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg