Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 23, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | 56% | 111 | 106 |
 | 22 | Magic | 44% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Nets | 46% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 96 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 71% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Thunder | 43% | 111 | 105 |
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Wednesday, March 22, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 108 | 120 |
 | 9 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Raptors | 73% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bulls | 53% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Bucks | 91% | 124 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Timberwolves | 66% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | 49% | 112 | 122 |
Tuesday, March 21, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 51% | 111 | 112 |
| 23 | Magic | 49% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 108 | 115 |
| 12 | Nets | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pistons | 22% | 110 | 107 |
| 17 | Hawks | 78% | 121 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 22% | 109 | 84 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 78% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 36% | 111 | 101 |
| 5 | Clippers | 64% | 116 | 100 |
Monday, March 20, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| 4 | 76ers | 65% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 57% | 112 | 109 |
| 28 | Hornets | 43% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 105 | 140 |
| 6 | Knicks | 67% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 32% | 106 | 108 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 76% | 121 | 121 |
| 27 | Rockets | 24% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 62% | 116 | 120 |
| 26 | Jazz | 38% | 112 | 128 |
Sunday, March 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 49% | 113 | 120 |
| 16 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 46% | 113 | 108 |
| 11 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 72% | 121 | 118 |
| 29 | Spurs | 28% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 72% | 112 | 112 |
| 30 | Pistons | 28% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 63% | 116 | 117 |
| 27 | Rockets | 37% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 32% | 108 | 111 |
| 2 | Bucks | 68% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 53% | 114 | 117 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 105 |
| 17 | Lakers | 68% | 114 | 111 |
Saturday, March 18, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 45% | 112 | 110 |
| 5 | Knicks | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 36% | 107 | 113 |
| 14 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 59% | 113 | 141 |
| 26 | Pacers | 41% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 30% | 105 | 107 |
| 4 | Raptors | 70% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 44% | 112 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 56% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 56% | 117 | 132 |
| 22 | Wizards | 44% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 99 |
| 13 | Bulls | 49% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 115 | 117 |
| 25 | Jazz | 33% | 108 | 118 |
Friday, March 17, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 76% | 115 | 121 |
| 28 | Hornets | 24% | 104 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 39% | 107 | 94 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 61% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 51% | 118 | 119 |
| 15 | Hawks | 49% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 76% | 117 | 126 |
| 29 | Spurs | 24% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| 27 | Rockets | 36% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 47% | 107 | 131 |
| 17 | Bulls | 53% | 108 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 117 | 126 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 40% | 110 | 111 |
| 20 | Lakers | 60% | 114 | 110 |
Thursday, March 16, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 84% | 121 | 119 |
| 30 | Pistons | 16% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 38% | 110 | 111 |
| 6 | Raptors | 62% | 114 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 37% | 114 | 101 |
| 8 | Nets | 63% | 119 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 17% | 106 | 139 |
| 2 | Bucks | 83% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 31% | 105 | 113 |
| 9 | Suns | 69% | 112 | 116 |
Wednesday, March 15, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 52% | 108 | 118 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 48% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 47% | 105 | 119 |
| 11 | Heat | 53% | 106 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 44% | 116 | 117 |
| 15 | Bulls | 56% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 55% | 115 | 110 |
| 27 | Rockets | 45% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 111 | 104 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 40% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 65% | 113 | 137 |
| 29 | Spurs | 35% | 107 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 45% | 113 | 126 |
| 7 | Clippers | 55% | 115 | 134 |
Tuesday, March 14, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 84% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 67% | 107 | 120 |
| 27 | Hornets | 33% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 51% | 113 | 110 |
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 64% | 114 | 114 |
| 29 | Spurs | 36% | 109 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 46% | 113 | 107 |
| 17 | Thunder | 54% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 123 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 53% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 62% | 113 | 123 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 54% | 110 | 116 |
| 10 | Suns | 46% | 108 | 104 |
Monday, March 13, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 59% | 112 | 97 |
| 30 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 69% | 110 | 104 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 31% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 46% | 112 | 136 |
| 16 | Hawks | 54% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 33% | 104 | 115 |
| 11 | Heat | 67% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 84% | 119 | 109 |
| 29 | Rockets | 16% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 39% | 111 | 112 |
| 4 | Warriors | 61% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 118 | 133 |
| 18 | Kings | 42% | 115 | 124 |
Sunday, March 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 122 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 76% | 112 | 114 |
| 26 | Hornets | 24% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 37% | 110 | 93 |
| 5 | 76ers | 63% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 63% | 117 | 102 |
| 29 | Spurs | 37% | 112 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 106 | 110 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 59% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 112 |
| 19 | Lakers | 51% | 111 | 108 |
Saturday, March 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 45% | 109 | 95 |
| 5 | Clippers | 55% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 55% | 110 | 119 |
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 59% | 112 | 121 |
| 30 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 54% | 107 | 114 |
| 22 | Magic | 46% | 106 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 63% | 116 | 134 |
| 15 | Hawks | 37% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 69% | 114 | 119 |
| 28 | Rockets | 31% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 25% | 101 | 108 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 75% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 48% | 113 | 110 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 52% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 45% | 113 | 116 |
| 7 | Warriors | 55% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 42% | 114 | 128 |
| 12 | Suns | 58% | 117 | 119 |
Friday, March 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 109 | 119 |
| 5 | 76ers | 71% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 115 | 114 |
| 13 | Wizards | 56% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 79% | 123 | 120 |
| 28 | Spurs | 21% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 36% | 106 | 124 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 64% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 51% | 103 | 115 |
| 12 | Heat | 49% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 58% | 112 | 112 |
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 109 | 122 |