Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Blazers	42%	109	118	110.3	107	98.0
	25	Kings	58%	112	121	112.0	108	96.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	45.8	38	63%	9	5	0	3	4	2	1	8	9-12	75%	7-17	41%	5-8	63%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	41.3	18	64%	10	2	0	0	2	5	1	9	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	40.0	18	53%	1	3	1	0	4	6	0	1	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	33.8	13	65%	2	1	4	0	2	1	1	1	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	5.0	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	37.0	18	60%	2	11	2	0	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	25.4	2	50%	4	1	3	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	14.7	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	5.5	4	50%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	118	60%	36	26	10	6	18	29	7	29	22-29	76%	36-65	55%	8-22	36%

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26 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	45.8	38	63%	9	5	0	3	4	2	1	8	9-12	75%	7-17	41%	5-8	63%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	41.3	18	64%	10	2	0	0	2	5	1	9	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	40.0	18	53%	1	3	1	0	4	6	0	1	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	33.8	13	65%	2	1	4	0	2	1	1	1	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	5.0	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	37.0	18	60%	2	11	2	0	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	25.4	2	50%	4	1	3	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	14.7	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	5.5	4	50%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	118	60%	36	26	10	6	18	29	7	29	22-29	76%	36-65	55%	8-22	36%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	39.6	27	79%	11	9	1	1	6	4	7	4	5-7	71%	11-14	79%	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	39.4	17	61%	5	4	2	0	3	2	0	5	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	4-9	44%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	35.9	12	75%	5	0	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	31.2	9	26%	7	3	1	2	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-11	27%	1-6	17%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 24	21.3	4	50%	4	0	3	0	2	1	0	4	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.9	23	48%	6	10	1	0	5	0	2	4	15-19	79%	4-9	44%	0-7	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	27.5	16	89%	0	4	0	0	2	4	0	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	16.3	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	13.1	10	83%	6	1	1	2	0	1	3	3	2-5	40%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	10.8	3	38%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	121	56%	50	32	11	5	21	24	15	35	28-38	74%	30-52	58%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.19 59.6%

SAC

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

12

20

60%

SAC

22

29

76%

Midrange

POR

24

45

53%

SAC

8

23

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

SAC

11

16.5

37

30%

45%

Free Throws

POR

22

29

76%

SAC

28

38

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	38	63%	19.0 / 30
D. Ayton	18	64%	9.0 / 14
S. Sharpe	18	53%	9.0 / 17
S. Mays	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Thybulle	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Brogdon	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Brown	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Camara	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Walker	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	27	79%	13.5 / 17
M. Monk	23	48%	11.5 / 24
K. Huerter	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Mitchell	16	89%	8.0 / 9
H. Barnes	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Len	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Murray	9	26%	4.5 / 17
K. Ellis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Duarte	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 13 116.3	POR 110.3 SAC 112.0 +1.8
Pace	21 97.9 14 99.4	POR 98.0 +1.2 SAC 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 26 14.1	POR 14.7 −0.2 SAC 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 14 55.6%	POR 55.2% +3.0% SAC 52.2%
TO %	29 14.6% 12 12.5%	POR 15.3% −1.3% SAC 16.6%
ORB %	3 27.5% 14 24.5%	POR 16.7% SAC 34.1% +17.4%
FTrt	23 22.8 22 22.9	POR 33.3 SAC 42.7 +9.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 7 65.4%	POR 59.1% SAC 78.0% +18.9%
STL %	12 7.7% 14 7.6%	POR 9.3% SAC 10.2% +0.9%
BLK %	20 9.0% 27 8.6%	POR 11.5% +3.8% SAC 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 14 57.0%	POR 59.6% +3.6% SAC 56.0%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 6 66.0%	POR 60.0% SAC 75.9% +15.9%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 9 44.9%	POR 53.3% +18.5% SAC 34.8%
3P %	30 34.5% 16 36.6%	POR 36.4% +6.7% SAC 29.7%
FT %	9 79.1% 30 74.5%	POR 75.9% +2.2% SAC 73.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 27 30.0%	POR 23.0% SAC 32.6% +9.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 14 26.8%	POR 51.7% SAC 25.8% −25.9%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 3 43.2%	POR 25.3% SAC 41.6% +16.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.8
Points	118	121
Rebounds	36	50
Assists	26	32
Steals	10	11
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	21 (0)
Fouls	29	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	35 (1)
Field Goals	44-87	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	22-29
Midrange FG	24-45	8-23
2-Point FG	36-65	30-52
3-Point FG	8-22	11-37
Free Throws	22-29	28-38
Fast Break Pts	9	18
2nd Chance Pts	10	26
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	19	23
Bench Points	26	52
Biggest Lead	5	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg