Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | 55% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 60% | 116 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Nets | 43% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Knicks | 78% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Bulls | 47% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 52% | 110 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 52% | 112 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pistons | 22% | 109 | 118 |
 | 10 | Bucks | 78% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | 28% | 105 | 101 |
 | 3 | Timberwolves | 72% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 36% | 111 | 127 |
 | 7 | Mavericks | 64% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, November 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 73% | 116 | 120 |
| 30 | Pistons | 27% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 32% | 118 | 111 |
| 19 | Pacers | 68% | 125 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 49% | 114 | 117 |
 | 17 | Magic | 51% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 22% | 109 | 128 |
| 8 | 76ers | 78% | 120 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 54% | 117 | 129 |
| 16 | Nets | 46% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 46% | 111 | 107 |
| 14 | Heat | 54% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 46% | 113 | 97 |
| 6 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 47% | 113 | 113 |
| 22 | Bulls | 53% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 48% | 112 | 97 |
| 25 | Rockets | 52% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 56% | 112 | 109 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 44% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Thunder | 46% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 28% | 105 | 116 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 72% | 114 | 134 |
Sunday, November 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 61% | 114 | 120 |
| 30 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 61% | 113 | 123 |
| 28 | Spurs | 39% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 104 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 49% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 17% | 110 | 118 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 83% | 124 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 54% | 110 | 112 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 108 | 100 |
Saturday, November 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 36% | 109 | 100 |
| 8 | 76ers | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 120 | 125 |
| 22 | Pacers | 59% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 59% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 123 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 49% | 118 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 120 | 124 |
| 23 | Nets | 26% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 53% | 115 | 89 |
| 25 | Rockets | 47% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 32% | 111 | 95 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 68% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 25% | 104 | 101 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 75% | 114 | 123 |
Friday, November 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 55% | 117 | 116 |
| 23 | Pacers | 45% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 105 |
| 10 | Bucks | 51% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 31% | 111 | 114 |
| 13 | Heat | 69% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 44% | 110 | 109 |
| 17 | Bulls | 56% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 141 |
| 25 | Thunder | 30% | 106 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 37% | 113 | 114 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 63% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 56% | 111 | 113 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 108 | 115 |
Thursday, November 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 30% | 105 | 99 |
| 9 | 76ers | 70% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 27% | 106 | 116 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 73% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 51% | 114 | 115 |
| 18 | Jazz | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 21% | 110 | 132 |
| 10 | Suns | 79% | 122 | 121 |
Wednesday, November 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 109 | 110 |
| 29 | Pistons | 52% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 53% | 113 | 111 |
| 14 | Raptors | 47% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 28% | 115 | 121 |
| 10 | Hawks | 72% | 124 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 17% | 109 | 104 |
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 123 | 155 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 41% | 111 | 109 |
| 13 | Heat | 59% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 32% | 106 | 95 |
| 7 | Knicks | 68% | 113 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 47% | 112 | 110 |
| 22 | Thunder | 53% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 119 |
| 25 | Rockets | 55% | 114 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 53% | 110 | 89 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 47% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 43% | 112 | 105 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 57% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 51% | 116 | 109 |
| 17 | Jazz | 49% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 101 |
| 3 | Warriors | 69% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 35% | 111 | 125 |
| 6 | Lakers | 65% | 117 | 130 |
Tuesday, October 31, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 51% | 112 | 109 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 49% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 22% | 108 | 115 |
| 11 | Suns | 78% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 26% | 107 | 102 |
| 3 | Clippers | 74% | 116 | 118 |
Monday, October 30, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 133 |
| 28 | Hornets | 39% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 44% | 114 | 112 |
| 18 | Pacers | 56% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 122 | 126 |
| 25 | Wizards | 21% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 54% | 115 | 113 |
| 10 | Hawks | 46% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 101 | 99 |
| 11 | Raptors | 81% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 111 | 125 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 60% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 37% | 114 | 114 |
| 5 | Bucks | 63% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 130 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 49% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 112 |
| 24 | Thunder | 59% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 28% | 112 | 102 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 72% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 36% | 106 | 103 |
| 7 | Lakers | 64% | 111 | 106 |
Sunday, October 29, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 63% | 116 | 128 |
| 21 | Thunder | 37% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 106 |
| 26 | Rockets | 29% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 33% | 118 | 127 |
| 4 | Bucks | 67% | 125 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 104 | 98 |
| 5 | 76ers | 75% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 24% | 112 | 83 |
| 6 | Clippers | 76% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 118 | 127 |
| 14 | Kings | 48% | 117 | 132 |
Saturday, October 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 58% | 112 | 102 |
| 30 | Pistons | 42% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 56% | 116 | 106 |
| 25 | Wizards | 44% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 45% | 114 | 87 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 55% | 116 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 53% | 116 | 125 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 47% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 60% | 113 | 114 |
| 17 | Raptors | 40% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 90 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 73% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 33% | 112 | 104 |
| 15 | Suns | 67% | 118 | 126 |
Friday, October 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 40% | 108 | 111 |
| 26 | Hornets | 60% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 55% | 112 | 108 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 45% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 51% | 116 | 126 |
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 24% | 104 | 111 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 42% | 110 | 108 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 111 | 103 |
| 21 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 49% | 115 | 122 |
| 29 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 37% | 114 | 120 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 63% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 55% | 120 | 118 |
| 18 | Jazz | 45% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 56% | 108 | 102 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 56% | 120 | 122 |
| 17 | Kings | 44% | 118 | 114 |
Thursday, October 26, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 36% | 113 | 117 |
| 3 | Bucks | 64% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 39% | 108 | 95 |
| 9 | Lakers | 61% | 112 | 100 |