Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 20, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	75%	117	107	108.1	99	96.2
	30	Pistons	25%	107	103	107.3	96	99.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-14

DET

+12

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.6%

DET

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	38.3	14	47%	11	2	0	1	4	3	2	9	0-1	0%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	37.0	11	46%	9	7	1	0	2	1	5	4	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.5	20	56%	3	3	2	1	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	32.1	21	66%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	15.2	9	56%	5	5	0	1	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	32.0	15	63%	6	2	1	1	2	2	1	5	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	15.3	4	33%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.3	7	88%	1	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.4	4	67%	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	6.9	2	100%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	30	7	8	14	17	11	32	16-21	76%	29-59	49%	11-28	39%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	38.3	14	47%	11	2	0	1	4	3	2	9	0-1	0%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	37.0	11	46%	9	7	1	0	2	1	5	4	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.5	20	56%	3	3	2	1	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	32.1	21	66%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	15.2	9	56%	5	5	0	1	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	32.0	15	63%	6	2	1	1	2	2	1	5	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	15.3	4	33%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.3	7	88%	1	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.4	4	67%	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	6.9	2	100%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	30	7	8	14	17	11	32	16-21	76%	29-59	49%	11-28	39%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	38.0	27	64%	2	9	3	1	5	2	0	2	11-11	100%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22	35.3	11	61%	11	1	0	2	1	3	1	10	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	30.0	17	94%	4	3	1	0	4	2	1	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	25.8	18	60%	8	1	0	0	1	4	3	5	4-5	80%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	23.8	8	40%	7	0	0	2	0	5	3	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	22.8	6	33%	4	1	0	0	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	18.3	11	69%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	17.0	3	30%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	14.0	0	0%	0	2	2	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	10.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	5.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	43	21	7	5	18	24	11	32	24-26	92%	29-60	48%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.6%

DET

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

57%

DET

49%

Midrange

DEN

38%

DET

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

39%

59%

DET

10.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

76%

DET

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Jackson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	20	56%	10.0 / 18
C. Braun	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Porter	14	47%	7.0 / 15
A. Gordon	11	46%	5.5 / 12
N. Jokić	9	56%	4.5 / 8
Z. Nnaji	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Strawther	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Watson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Pickett	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	27	64%	13.5 / 21
M. Bagley	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Ivey	17	94%	8.5 / 9
I. Stewart	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Umude	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Thompson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
I. Livers	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Burks	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Sasser	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Wiseman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 27 109.1	DEN 108.1 +0.8 DET 107.3
Pace	26 97.4 10 100.4	DEN 96.2 DET 99.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 24 14.1	DEN 15.0 DET 14.4 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 28 52.6%	DEN 52.3% +3.5% DET 48.8%
TO %	7 12.1% 28 14.5%	DEN 12.7% −3.6% DET 16.3%
ORB %	6 25.5% 18 23.9%	DEN 25.6% DET 25.6%
FTrt	24 22.4 15 24.6	DEN 24.1 DET 32.1 +8.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 17 62.3%	DEN 75.0% +16.7% DET 58.3%
STL %	20 7.3% 30 6.4%	DEN 7.1% DET 7.3% +0.2%
BLK %	25 8.7% 17 9.3%	DEN 13.3% +4.8% DET 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 26 54.9%	DEN 54.6% DET 56.0% +1.4%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 21 62.2%	DEN 57.1% +8.2% DET 48.9%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 18 41.7%	DEN 37.5% DET 46.7% +9.2%
3P %	10 37.4% 26 34.8%	DEN 39.3% +6.0% DET 33.3%
FT %	25 76.2% 12 78.5%	DEN 76.2% DET 92.3% +16.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 12 34.6%	DEN 40.2% DET 55.6% +15.3%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 26 29.5%	DEN 27.6% DET 18.5% −9.1%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 27 36.0%	DEN 32.2% +6.3% DET 25.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	DET
Possessions	99	96
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.1
Points	107	103
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	30	21
Steals	7	7
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	17	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (5)
Field Goals	40-87	36-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-35	22-45
Midrange FG	9-24	7-15
2-Point FG	29-59	29-60
3-Point FG	11-28	7-21
Free Throws	16-21	24-26
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	7	9
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	20	19
Bench Points	32	22
Biggest Lead	8	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg