Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 20, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 73% | 125 | 142 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Pistons | 25% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 81% | 120 | 118 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 19% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Pelicans | 54% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 100 |
 | 7 | Timberwolves | 52% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 54% | 108 | 118 |
 | 21 | Bulls | 46% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, November 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 113 |
 | 21 | Raptors | 71% | 113 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 41% | 116 | 128 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 58% | 110 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 41% | 120 | 129 |
 | 6 | Mavericks | 59% | 124 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 118 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Thunder | 67% | 113 | 134 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 44% | 107 | 104 |
 | 20 | Lakers | 56% | 110 | 105 |
Saturday, November 18, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Knicks | 74% | 116 | 122 |
| 26 | Hornets | 26% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 121 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 38% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 63% | 117 | 120 |
| 30 | Spurs | 37% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 46% | 120 | 125 |
| 9 | Bucks | 54% | 121 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 57% | 109 | 97 |
| 22 | Bulls | 43% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 39% | 111 | 130 |
| 7 | Warriors | 61% | 115 | 123 |
Friday, November 17, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 71% | 122 | 130 |
| 27 | Hornets | 29% | 114 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 73% | 119 | 120 |
| 26 | Wizards | 27% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 54% | 119 | 126 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 27% | 104 | 100 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 73% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 108 |
| 19 | Raptors | 26% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 72% | 123 | 129 |
| 30 | Spurs | 28% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 49% | 106 | 103 |
| 22 | Bulls | 51% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 65% | 114 | 110 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 35% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 61% | 121 | 131 |
| 24 | Jazz | 39% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 65% | 112 | 107 |
| 29 | Blazers | 35% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 30% | 106 | 100 |
| 5 | Clippers | 70% | 114 | 106 |
Thursday, November 16, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 48% | 109 | 115 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 46% | 109 | 128 |
| 15 | Warriors | 54% | 111 | 109 |
Wednesday, November 15, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 54% | 121 | 130 |
| 26 | Wizards | 46% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 56% | 116 | 116 |
| 9 | Hawks | 44% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 117 |
| 2 | 76ers | 41% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 128 |
| 17 | Raptors | 55% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 46% | 106 | 96 |
| 23 | Bulls | 54% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 46% | 110 | 115 |
| 7 | Suns | 54% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 54% | 115 | 125 |
| 19 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 76% | 114 | 109 |
| 29 | Blazers | 24% | 103 | 95 |
Tuesday, November 14, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 27% | 117 | 132 |
| 2 | 76ers | 73% | 126 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 64% | 117 | 126 |
| 29 | Pistons | 36% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 69% | 116 | 111 |
| 30 | Hornets | 31% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 27% | 111 | 87 |
| 10 | Thunder | 73% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 43% | 108 | 104 |
| 12 | Nets | 57% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 62% | 119 | 110 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 38% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 38% | 113 | 99 |
| 24 | Jazz | 62% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 56% | 109 | 104 |
| 13 | Warriors | 44% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 33% | 109 | 108 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 67% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 48% | 110 | 107 |
| 20 | Lakers | 52% | 111 | 134 |
Monday, November 13, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 26% | 108 | 107 |
| 18 | Raptors | 74% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 23% | 105 | 98 |
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 30% | 111 | 109 |
| 10 | Bucks | 70% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 55% | 115 | 120 |
| 16 | Kings | 45% | 113 | 132 |
Sunday, November 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 22% | 107 | 107 |
| 6 | Knicks | 78% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 30% | 113 | 94 |
| 12 | Nets | 70% | 121 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 32% | 110 | 105 |
| 9 | Clippers | 68% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 27% | 115 | 126 |
| 2 | 76ers | 73% | 124 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 35% | 107 | 108 |
| 20 | Bulls | 65% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 65% | 112 | 104 |
| 21 | Rockets | 35% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 62% | 118 | 136 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 38% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 59% | 115 | 118 |
| 29 | Spurs | 41% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 36% | 112 | 111 |
| 10 | Suns | 64% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 116 |
| 5 | Warriors | 49% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 38% | 104 | 110 |
| 25 | Lakers | 62% | 109 | 116 |
Saturday, November 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 97 |
| 18 | Magic | 51% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 26% | 105 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 33% | 111 | 117 |
| 10 | Hawks | 67% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 40% | 109 | 118 |
| 5 | Warriors | 60% | 113 | 110 |
Friday, November 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 46% | 120 | 124 |
| 26 | Wizards | 54% | 121 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 78% | 117 | 114 |
| 30 | Pistons | 22% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 19% | 106 | 107 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 76% | 118 | 117 |
| 29 | Spurs | 24% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 37% | 115 | 127 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 63% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 43% | 109 | 101 |
| 20 | Rockets | 57% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 46% | 117 | 126 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 54% | 119 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 55% | 117 | 98 |
| 23 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 108 | 122 |
| 12 | Suns | 68% | 115 | 119 |
Thursday, November 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 46% | 120 | 124 |
| 17 | Pacers | 54% | 122 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 57% | 116 | 120 |
| 19 | Magic | 43% | 114 | 119 |
Wednesday, November 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 45% | 118 | 132 |
| 27 | Hornets | 55% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 116 | 103 |
| 8 | 76ers | 40% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 41% | 122 | 118 |
| 18 | Pacers | 59% | 125 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 21% | 108 | 105 |
| 5 | Knicks | 79% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 57% | 118 | 93 |
| 17 | Nets | 43% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 52% | 113 | 120 |
| 15 | Thunder | 48% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 27% | 105 | 101 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 73% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 22% | 109 | 118 |
| 10 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 52% | 113 | 108 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 48% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 52% | 110 | 94 |
| 23 | Rockets | 48% | 109 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| 19 | Bulls | 47% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 35% | 111 | 127 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 65% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 42% | 109 | 118 |
| 25 | Kings | 58% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 39% | 111 | 105 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 61% | 115 | 108 |