Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 27, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Blazers	25%	113	114	108.6	105	97.3
	20	Pacers	75%	123	110	105.8	104	114.1

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-16

102

IND

+14

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.12 55.9%

IND

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	38.2	22	73%	13	1	1	0	4	1	3	10	4-4	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	37.6	34	81%	7	3	0	3	1	1	1	6	7-7	100%	9-15	60%	3-3	100%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	36.1	24	52%	2	7	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	1-3	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	35.4	11	34%	5	6	3	0	2	5	1	4	2-2	100%	3-12	25%	1-3	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	16.9	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	28.9	0	0%	1	1	1	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	21.9	13	50%	3	1	1	0	4	5	1	2	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	15.2	1	13%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	9.8	4	100%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	38	20	6	4	16	21	9	29	25-31	81%	31-67	46%	9-18	50%

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25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	38.2	22	73%	13	1	1	0	4	1	3	10	4-4	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	37.6	34	81%	7	3	0	3	1	1	1	6	7-7	100%	9-15	60%	3-3	100%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	36.1	24	52%	2	7	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	1-3	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	35.4	11	34%	5	6	3	0	2	5	1	4	2-2	100%	3-12	25%	1-3	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	16.9	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	28.9	0	0%	1	1	1	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	21.9	13	50%	3	1	1	0	4	5	1	2	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	15.2	1	13%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	9.8	4	100%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	38	20	6	4	16	21	9	29	25-31	81%	31-67	46%	9-18	50%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.8	33	83%	2	9	0	0	3	1	0	2	8-9	89%	8-11	73%	3-6	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	32.7	11	55%	3	3	2	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	26.6	11	50%	8	0	2	2	1	4	1	7	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	24.1	9	41%	1	3	1	1	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	19.1	9	45%	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	25.4	7	58%	3	0	3	0	2	4	1	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	21.5	11	46%	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	21.5	8	67%	3	3	1	0	2	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	11.8	9	75%	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.4	2	50%	5	1	0	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	10.0	0	0%	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	2	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	42	26	10	6	20	24	10	32	18-24	75%	34-55	62%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.12 55.9%

IND

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

55%

IND

80%

Midrange

POR

39%

IND

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13.5

50%

75%

IND

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

POR

81%

IND

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	34	81%	17.0 / 21
M. Brogdon	24	52%	12.0 / 23
D. Ayton	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Henderson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
S. Sharpe	11	34%	5.5 / 16
T. Camara	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Reath	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Walker	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Thybulle	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	33	83%	16.5 / 20
B. Brown	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Turner	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Mathurin	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Hield	9	41%	4.5 / 11
O. Toppin	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Smith	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Nembhard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Nesmith	7	58%	3.5 / 6
I. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. McConnell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 2 120.6	POR 108.6 +2.8 IND 105.8
Pace	21 97.9 2 102.3	POR 97.3 IND 114.1 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 29 13.7	POR 14.8 IND 12.6 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 1 57.8%	POR 52.4% +0.1% IND 52.3%
TO %	29 14.6% 6 12.0%	POR 14.0% −2.9% IND 16.9%
ORB %	3 27.5% 20 23.8%	POR 22.0% IND 25.6% +3.6%
FTrt	23 22.8 26 22.2	POR 36.5 +9.2 IND 27.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 6 65.4%	POR 50.0% IND 61.9% +11.9%
STL %	12 7.7% 15 7.5%	POR 5.7% IND 9.6% +3.9%
BLK %	20 9.0% 14 9.5%	POR 7.3% IND 9.0% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 2 59.4%	POR 55.9% +0.3% IND 55.6%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 7 65.9%	POR 55.2% IND 80.0% +24.8%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 1 48.8%	POR 39.5% IND 40.0% +0.5%
3P %	30 34.5% 9 37.4%	POR 50.0% +25.8% IND 24.2%
FT %	9 79.1% 13 78.2%	POR 80.6% +5.6% IND 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 3 36.5%	POR 34.1% +0.0% IND 34.1%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 6 25.4%	POR 44.7% IND 28.4% −16.3%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 20 38.0%	POR 21.2% IND 37.5% +16.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	IND
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	25.9	21.9
Points	114	110
Rebounds	38	42
Assists	20	26
Steals	6	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	21	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (6)	32 (2)
Field Goals	40-85	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	16-29	24-30
Midrange FG	15-38	10-25
2-Point FG	31-67	34-55
3-Point FG	9-18	8-33
Free Throws	25-31	18-24
Fast Break Pts	4	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	44	58
Pts off Turnovers	20	15
Bench Points	18	37
Biggest Lead	8	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg