Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 27, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 51% | 117 | 126 | |
30 | Pistons | 49% | 116 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Trail Blazers | 114 | |||
21 | Pacers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 94 | |
2 | 76ers | 70% | 117 | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pelicans | 112 | |||
25 | Jazz | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 21% | 102 | 113 | |
9 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 104 |
Sunday, November 26, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 107 | 102 | |
7 | Bucks | 80% | 120 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 103 | |||
1 | Celtics | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Suns | 42% | 110 | 116 | |
4 | Knicks | 58% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 117 | |||
15 | Magic | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 119 | |
17 | Grizzlies | 33% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 109 | |||
16 | Nets | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Raptors | 45% | 109 | 102 | |
11 | Cavaliers | 55% | 110 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Spurs | 120 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 132 |
Saturday, November 25, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 127 | |
10 | Thunder | 45% | 112 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Heat | 97 | |||
18 | Nets | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hawks | 68% | 125 | 136 | |
27 | Wizards | 32% | 118 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 121 | |||
9 | Cavaliers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pelicans | 64% | 117 | 100 | |
25 | Jazz | 36% | 112 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 88 | |||
11 | Clippers | 107 |
Friday, November 24, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 96 | |
17 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 110 | |||
14 | Grizzlies | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Heat | 38% | 104 | 98 | |
5 | Knicks | 62% | 109 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 108 | |||
20 | Raptors | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 25% | 116 | 113 | |
21 | Pacers | 75% | 126 | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 86 | |||
24 | Rockets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Wizards | 21% | 116 | 128 | |
6 | Bucks | 79% | 127 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 124 | |||
3 | Timberwolves | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Spurs | 22% | 109 | 112 | |
7 | Warriors | 78% | 120 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 116 | |||
10 | Clippers | 106 |
Wednesday, November 22, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 42% | 116 | 114 | |
26 | Hornets | 58% | 119 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 119 | |||
17 | Magic | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nets | 44% | 116 | 145 | |
16 | Hawks | 56% | 118 | 147 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 116 | |||
1 | Celtics | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 46% | 106 | 129 | |
8 | Cavaliers | 54% | 108 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Raptors | 132 | |||
22 | Pacers | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 41% | 107 | 91 | |
24 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 99 | |||
5 | Timberwolves | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 43% | 114 | 112 | |
14 | Pelicans | 57% | 117 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 102 | |||
11 | Thunder | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 75% | 120 | 109 | |
30 | Spurs | 25% | 110 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 115 | |||
7 | Suns | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 53% | 115 | 105 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 104 | |||
20 | Lakers | 101 |
Tuesday, November 21, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Raptors | 107 | |||
18 | Magic | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pacers | 37% | 121 | 157 | |
16 | Hawks | 63% | 126 | 152 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 122 | |||
2 | 76ers | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 105 | 107 | |
7 | Suns | 84% | 119 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 99 | |||
21 | Lakers | 131 |
Monday, November 20, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 81% | 120 | 118 | |
26 | Hornets | 19% | 107 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 107 | |||
28 | Pistons | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 73% | 124 | 142 | |
27 | Wizards | 27% | 115 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 118 | |||
21 | Bulls | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 100 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 52% | 108 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Kings | 93 | |||
16 | Pelicans | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 75% | 120 | 124 | |
30 | Spurs | 25% | 110 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 116 | |||
5 | Warriors | 121 |
Sunday, November 19, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 121 | |||
16 | Nets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 42% | 115 | 128 | |
22 | Pacers | 58% | 119 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 109 | |||
8 | Cavaliers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 113 | |
20 | Raptors | 71% | 113 | 142 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Kings | 129 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 82% | 117 | 102 | |
13 | Grizzlies | 18% | 104 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 140 | |||
25 | Jazz | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Thunder | 67% | 112 | 134 | |
26 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 106 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 104 | |||
23 | Lakers | 105 |
Saturday, November 18, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 122 | |||
26 | Hornets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 121 | |
18 | Pelicans | 38% | 108 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 97 | |||
22 | Bulls | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 46% | 120 | 125 | |
9 | Bucks | 54% | 121 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 120 | |||
30 | Spurs | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Thunder | 40% | 111 | 130 | |
6 | Warriors | 60% | 115 | 123 |
Friday, November 17, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 71% | 121 | 130 | |
26 | Hornets | 29% | 113 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Knicks | 120 | |||
28 | Wizards | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 54% | 118 | 126 | |
17 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 100 | |||
8 | Cavaliers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 74% | 113 | 108 | |
22 | Raptors | 26% | 104 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Kings | 129 | |||
30 | Spurs | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 49% | 107 | 103 | |
20 | Bulls | 51% | 108 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 110 | |||
18 | Pelicans | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 61% | 121 | 131 | |
25 | Jazz | 39% | 117 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 107 | |||
27 | Trail Blazers | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 31% | 106 | 100 | |
10 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 106 |
Thursday, November 16, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Nets | 115 | |||
15 | Heat | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Thunder | 46% | 109 | 128 | |
5 | Warriors | 54% | 111 | 109 |
Wednesday, November 15, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 130 | |||
26 | Wizards | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 57% | 116 | 116 | |
12 | Hawks | 43% | 113 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 117 | |||
3 | 76ers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 128 | |
19 | Raptors | 55% | 113 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 96 | |||
20 | Bulls | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Timberwolves | 46% | 110 | 115 | |
7 | Suns | 54% | 112 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Kings | 125 | |||
23 | Lakers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Cavaliers | 76% | 113 | 109 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 103 | 95 |
Tuesday, November 14, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 69% | 116 | 111 | |
26 | Hornets | 31% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hawks | 126 | |||
29 | Pistons | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 25% | 115 | 132 | |
3 | 76ers | 75% | 125 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 104 | |||
15 | Nets | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Spurs | 27% | 111 | 87 | |
16 | Thunder | 73% | 120 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 110 | |||
19 | Pelicans | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 113 | 99 | |
25 | Jazz | 62% | 118 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 108 | |||
2 | Nuggets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Timberwolves | 57% | 109 | 104 | |
5 | Warriors | 43% | 106 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 107 | |||
22 | Lakers | 134 |