Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Nuggets	21%	102	113	115.3	98	90.3
	4	Clippers	79%	114	104	106.1	98	107.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	40.0	35	83%	5	13	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-4	50%	12-15	80%	3-4	75%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	38.1	12	35%	3	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	6-6	100%	3-13	23%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · PF · 6'6" 185 · 35	33.7	12	75%	6	1	1	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	33.5	21	66%	13	5	2	1	2	3	3	10	5-11	45%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.9	8	31%	10	3	0	0	1	5	3	7	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-7	29%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.5	8	50%	3	1	2	1	1	0	0	3	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	19.0	9	56%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	11.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.6	8	40%	7	0	0	3	1	2	7	0	2-5	40%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Strain
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	52	28	8	6	11	22	18	34	15-28	54%	34-70	49%	10-22	45%

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28 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	40.0	35	83%	5	13	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-4	50%	12-15	80%	3-4	75%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	38.1	12	35%	3	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	6-6	100%	3-13	23%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · PF · 6'6" 185 · 35	33.7	12	75%	6	1	1	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	33.5	21	66%	13	5	2	1	2	3	3	10	5-11	45%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.9	8	31%	10	3	0	0	1	5	3	7	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-7	29%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.5	8	50%	3	1	2	1	1	0	0	3	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	19.0	9	56%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	11.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.6	8	40%	7	0	0	3	1	2	7	0	2-5	40%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Strain
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	52	28	8	6	11	22	18	34	15-28	54%	34-70	49%	10-22	45%

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4 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32	39.0	31	53%	8	3	1	2	2	0	1	7	9-9	100%	8-21	38%	2-5	40%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	36.8	6	21%	8	4	1	1	3	5	3	5	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-4	0%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 34	36.5	11	69%	2	4	1	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	32.2	23	61%	14	1	0	1	1	2	8	6	5-8	63%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	29.5	5	63%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	26.8	14	58%	11	3	0	1	2	4	1	10	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	21.2	10	50%	2	1	1	1	0	3	1	1	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	12.2	4	50%	1	1	0	2	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	5.9	0	0%	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	INACTIVE
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Tendinopathy
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	49	18	6	9	13	23	16	33	28-34	82%	29-65	45%	6-20	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 52.8%

LAC

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

42

55%

LAC

20

34

59%

Midrange

DEN

11

28

39%

LAC

9

31

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10

15.0

22

45%

68%

LAC

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

15

28

54%

LAC

28

34

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Jackson	35	83%	17.5 / 21
D. Jordan	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	35%	6.0 / 17
J. Holiday	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Strawther	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Porter	8	31%	4.0 / 13
P. Watson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
Z. Nnaji	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	31	53%	15.5 / 29
I. Zubac	23	61%	11.5 / 19
R. Westbrook	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Harden	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Powell	10	50%	5.0 / 10
P. George	6	21%	3.0 / 14
T. Mann	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Theis	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 4 118.0	DEN 115.3 +9.2 LAC 106.1
Pace	26 97.4 20 97.9	DEN 90.3 LAC 107.1 +16.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 7 14.9	DEN 15.9 LAC 13.4 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 9 56.1%	DEN 53.3% +8.6% LAC 44.7%
TO %	7 12.1% 11 12.5%	DEN 9.5% −2.0% LAC 11.5%
ORB %	6 25.5% 16 24.4%	DEN 35.3% +3.3% LAC 32.0%
FTrt	24 22.4 10 25.6	DEN 30.4 LAC 40.0 +9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 24 60.4%	DEN 63.6% +12.2% LAC 51.4%
STL %	20 7.3% 7 8.0%	DEN 8.2% +2.1% LAC 6.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 24 8.8%	DEN 9.2% LAC 12.9% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 7 58.4%	DEN 52.8% +1.8% LAC 51.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 14 64.7%	DEN 54.8% LAC 58.8% +4.0%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 5 45.6%	DEN 39.3% +10.3% LAC 29.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 6 38.1%	DEN 45.5% +15.5% LAC 30.0%
FT %	25 76.2% 3 82.5%	DEN 53.6% LAC 82.4% +28.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 22 32.1%	DEN 45.7% +5.7% LAC 40.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 27 29.6%	DEN 30.4% −6.0% LAC 36.5%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 19 38.3%	DEN 23.9% +0.4% LAC 23.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	113	104
Rebounds	52	49
Assists	28	18
Steals	8	6
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	33 (3)
Field Goals	44-92	35-85
At-the-Rim FG	23-42	20-34
Midrange FG	11-28	9-31
2-Point FG	34-70	29-65
3-Point FG	10-22	6-20
Free Throws	15-28	28-34
Fast Break Pts	6	8
2nd Chance Pts	12	10
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	17	18
Bench Points	25	28
Biggest Lead	11	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg