Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	39%	115	144	146.9	98	103.5
	18	Heat	61%	120	129	130.3	99	96.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	36.7	30	83%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	4-6	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	34.8	20	125%	2	2	1	4	0	5	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-5	80%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.3	17	71%	10	1	0	2	2	4	2	8	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	24.3	7	50%	1	2	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24	23.4	4	20%	1	11	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	28.7	22	92%	4	1	0	1	0	4	0	4	4-6	67%	3-3	100%	4-6	67%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	25.2	16	73%	5	4	0	0	4	4	1	4	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	25.1	20	91%	2	11	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	8.1	8	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Left Knee Bone Bruise, Left Heel Contusion
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise; Upper Respiratory Infection
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	76%	32	35	4	8	9	24	3	29	16-20	80%	40-53	75%	16-32	50%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	36.7	30	83%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	4-6	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	34.8	20	125%	2	2	1	4	0	5	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-5	80%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.3	17	71%	10	1	0	2	2	4	2	8	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	24.3	7	50%	1	2	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24	23.4	4	20%	1	11	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	28.7	22	92%	4	1	0	1	0	4	0	4	4-6	67%	3-3	100%	4-6	67%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	25.2	16	73%	5	4	0	0	4	4	1	4	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	25.1	20	91%	2	11	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	8.1	8	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Left Knee Bone Bruise, Left Heel Contusion
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise; Upper Respiratory Infection
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	76%	32	35	4	8	9	24	3	29	16-20	80%	40-53	75%	16-32	50%

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18 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	37.1	33	63%	5	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	9-9	100%	12-22	55%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	30.4	17	71%	2	3	0	0	2	6	1	1	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	29.1	16	73%	5	3	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	28.6	4	33%	8	2	0	0	0	2	1	7	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	35.3	18	60%	2	3	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	28.7	11	50%	3	3	2	0	0	1	0	3	2-5	40%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	23.8	16	80%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	18.8	14	100%	1	5	0	0	0	4	0	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL 3rd Degree Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	62%	28	27	3	1	10	22	6	22	21-24	88%	36-64	56%	12-25	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.52 75.8%

MIA

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

21

23

91%

MIA

9

20

45%

Midrange

IND

19

30

63%

MIA

27

44

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16

24.0

32

50%

75%

MIA

12

18.0

25

48%

72%

Free Throws

IND

16

20

80%

MIA

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Brown	30	83%	15.0 / 18
A. Nesmith	22	92%	11.0 / 12
O. Toppin	20	125%	10.0 / 8
T. McConnell	20	91%	10.0 / 11
M. Turner	17	71%	8.5 / 12
B. Mathurin	16	73%	8.0 / 11
I. Jackson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
B. Hield	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Nembhard	4	20%	2.0 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	33	63%	16.5 / 26
C. Martin	18	60%	9.0 / 15
D. Robinson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
O. Robinson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Richardson	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Love	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Jaquez	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Lowry	4	33%	2.0 / 6
H. Highsmith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 21 113.3	IND 146.9 +16.6 MIA 130.3
Pace	2 102.3 29 97.0	IND 103.5 +7.1 MIA 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 10 14.8	IND 13.9 −1.0 MIA 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 20 53.8%	IND 75.3% +14.6% MIA 60.7%
TO %	6 12.0% 9 12.2%	IND 9.6% −1.2% MIA 10.8%
ORB %	20 23.8% 26 21.8%	IND 12.0% MIA 17.1% +5.1%
FTrt	26 22.2 8 25.7	IND 23.5 MIA 27.0 +3.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 11 64.8%	IND 62.5% +6.2% MIA 56.3%
STL %	15 7.5% 11 7.7%	IND 4.1% +1.1% MIA 3.0%
BLK %	14 9.5% 30 7.7%	IND 12.5% +10.6% MIA 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 17 56.2%	IND 75.8% +13.8% MIA 62.0%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 23 61.6%	IND 91.3% +46.3% MIA 45.0%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 13 44.3%	IND 63.3% +1.9% MIA 61.4%
3P %	9 37.4% 12 37.0%	IND 50.0% +2.0% MIA 48.0%
FT %	13 78.2% 5 81.8%	IND 80.0% MIA 87.5% +7.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 29 29.5%	IND 27.1% +4.6% MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 28 31.1%	IND 35.3% −14.1% MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 14 39.4%	IND 37.6% +9.6% MIA 28.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.7	24.7
Points	144	129
Rebounds	32	28
Assists	35	27
Steals	4	3
Blocks	8	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	10 (2)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (3)	6 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	22 (3)
Field Goals	56-85	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-23	9-20
Midrange FG	19-30	27-44
2-Point FG	40-53	36-64
3-Point FG	16-32	12-25
Free Throws	16-20	21-24
Fast Break Pts	20	0
2nd Chance Pts	4	15
Points in Paint	76	68
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	66	59
Biggest Lead	17	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg