Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 69% | 112 | 123 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 31% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 39% | 109 | 101 |
 | 10 | Nets | 61% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Pistons | 25% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Heat | 64% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pelicans | 53% | 108 | 118 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 47% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Bucks | 65% | 126 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Thunder | 65% | 116 | 126 |
 | 22 | Mavericks | 35% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 107 |
Friday, December 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Magic | 72% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 72% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 119 |
 | 11 | Raptors | 52% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 40% | 109 | 108 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 60% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Pelicans | 81% | 124 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 54% | 112 | 119 |
| 18 | Suns | 46% | 110 | 111 |
Thursday, November 30, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 102 | 103 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 78% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 24% | 107 | 129 |
| 10 | Nets | 76% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 39% | 115 | 132 |
| 13 | Heat | 61% | 119 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 12% | 101 | 112 |
| 3 | Knicks | 88% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 73% | 116 | 113 |
| 24 | Bulls | 27% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 17% | 103 | 90 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 83% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 28% | 107 | 110 |
| 7 | Thunder | 72% | 116 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 68% | 124 | 137 |
| 28 | Spurs | 32% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 40% | 110 | 114 |
| 5 | Warriors | 60% | 114 | 120 |
Wednesday, November 29, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 66% | 113 | 133 |
| 30 | Pistons | 34% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 27% | 109 | 120 |
| 14 | Magic | 73% | 118 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 58% | 112 | 105 |
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 41% | 112 | 91 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 59% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 59% | 116 | 114 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 41% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 28% | 104 | 124 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 72% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 57% | 116 | 131 |
| 18 | Kings | 43% | 113 | 117 |
Tuesday, November 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 21% | 101 | 97 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 103 |
| 13 | Nets | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 42% | 115 | 105 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 54% | 114 | 131 |
| 18 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 105 | 91 |
| 3 | Knicks | 78% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 41% | 108 | 103 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 39% | 111 | 115 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 61% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 53% | 116 | 123 |
| 20 | Kings | 47% | 115 | 124 |
Monday, November 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 51% | 117 | 126 |
| 30 | Pistons | 49% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 112 | 114 |
| 20 | Pacers | 75% | 122 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 94 |
| 2 | 76ers | 70% | 117 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 65% | 117 | 112 |
| 27 | Jazz | 35% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 102 | 113 |
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 104 |
Sunday, November 26, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 107 | 102 |
| 8 | Bucks | 80% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 26% | 112 | 103 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 42% | 110 | 116 |
| 3 | Knicks | 58% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 30% | 107 | 117 |
| 14 | Magic | 70% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 119 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 33% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 37% | 108 | 109 |
| 12 | Nets | 63% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 45% | 109 | 102 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 55% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 22% | 108 | 120 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 78% | 119 | 132 |
Saturday, November 25, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 127 |
| 14 | Thunder | 45% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 40% | 107 | 97 |
| 17 | Nets | 60% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 68% | 125 | 136 |
| 26 | Wizards | 32% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 41% | 109 | 121 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 59% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 64% | 117 | 100 |
| 28 | Jazz | 36% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 48% | 117 | 88 |
| 6 | Clippers | 52% | 118 | 107 |
Friday, November 24, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 96 |
| 16 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 57% | 114 | 110 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 43% | 111 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 5 | Knicks | 62% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 40% | 105 | 108 |
| 20 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 116 | 113 |
| 18 | Pacers | 75% | 126 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 110 | 86 |
| 21 | Rockets | 43% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 21% | 116 | 128 |
| 4 | Bucks | 79% | 127 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 32% | 110 | 124 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 68% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 22% | 109 | 112 |
| 9 | Warriors | 78% | 120 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 37% | 109 | 116 |
| 6 | Clippers | 63% | 114 | 106 |
Wednesday, November 22, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 116 | 114 |
| 26 | Hornets | 58% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 109 | 119 |
| 17 | Magic | 44% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 44% | 116 | 145 |
| 10 | Hawks | 56% | 118 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 27% | 111 | 116 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 46% | 106 | 129 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 54% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 40% | 117 | 132 |
| 14 | Pacers | 60% | 121 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 41% | 107 | 91 |
| 21 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 34% | 107 | 99 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 66% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 43% | 114 | 112 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 57% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 38% | 107 | 102 |
| 13 | Thunder | 62% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 75% | 120 | 109 |
| 29 | Spurs | 25% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 49% | 115 | 115 |
| 5 | Suns | 51% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 53% | 115 | 105 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 53% | 117 | 104 |
| 16 | Lakers | 47% | 116 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 21, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 46% | 106 | 107 |
| 16 | Magic | 54% | 108 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 37% | 121 | 157 |
| 11 | Hawks | 63% | 126 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 32% | 106 | 122 |
| 2 | 76ers | 68% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 105 | 107 |
| 6 | Suns | 84% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 40% | 114 | 99 |
| 19 | Lakers | 60% | 118 | 131 |
Monday, November 20, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 120 | 118 |
| 26 | Hornets | 19% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 75% | 116 | 107 |
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 73% | 124 | 142 |
| 27 | Wizards | 27% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 107 | 118 |
| 21 | Bulls | 49% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 100 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 52% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 46% | 115 | 93 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 54% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 75% | 120 | 124 |
| 28 | Spurs | 25% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 27% | 106 | 116 |
| 6 | Warriors | 73% | 115 | 121 |
Sunday, November 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 55% | 113 | 121 |
| 13 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 113 |
| 21 | Raptors | 71% | 113 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 42% | 115 | 128 |
| 15 | Pacers | 58% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 58% | 110 | 109 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 42% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 41% | 120 | 129 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 59% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 117 | 102 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 18% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 62% | 123 | 140 |
| 24 | Jazz | 38% | 118 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 67% | 112 | 134 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 44% | 107 | 104 |
| 20 | Lakers | 56% | 109 | 105 |