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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 2, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Thunder65%116126
16Mavericks35%111120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.4
39
34
17
3
9
5
2
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-10
9-16
40%
56%
2-3
67%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.6
33
26
10
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
48%
1-6
17%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.6
30
29
11
11
3
1
1
5
2
3
8
3-4
75%
4-7
5-8
57%
61%
0-3
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.6
30
31
23
5
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-14
5-9
43%
59%
3-5
60%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.1
17
24
10
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.4
25
21
6
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.1
20
20
15
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
58%
2-7
29%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.4
15
11
14
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
4-5
80%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
11
18
5
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
1-1
100%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
11
3
15
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
0-0
0-0
-
55%
3-3
100%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
10
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
60%
0-0
-
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
4
0
0-1
61%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.8
4
0
0-1
48%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.9
4
0
0-1
49%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 29.9
4
0
0-0
51%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.3
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.5
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.8
46
36
36
15
18
2
1
2
7
2
13
9-14
64%
6-9
8-13
67%
57%
5-13
38%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 19.8
39
23
20
16
0
1
0
7
2
6
10
2-5
40%
9-9
3-5
100%
61%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
36
11
12
5
3
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
53%
4-9
44%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.8
33
28
24
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
60%
6-12
50%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.0
27
27
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-4
0%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.4
19
4
12
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
3-7
43%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.4
15
14
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
14
8
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
5
16
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
61%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.4
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
68%
0-0
-
Dexter Dennis
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
3
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.3
16
1
1-3
49%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.2
8
0
1-1
48%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 31.7
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.4
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.