Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 2, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Grizzlies	29%	106	109	105.8	103	109.4
	6	Suns	71%	114	116	113.7	102	96.4

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-15

102

PHX

+18

-16

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.4%

PHX

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.5	37	71%	9	2	1	1	4	4	1	8	9-10	90%	11-16	69%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Nowell #24 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 24	34.3	8	31%	1	2	1	0	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
David Roddy #21 · SF · 6'5" 255 · 23	30.0	8	57%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	30.0	27	71%	3	5	2	1	2	5	1	2	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	17.3	2	20%	5	1	0	3	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	30.9	7	35%	7	1	3	1	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	29.8	12	86%	5	2	0	0	1	6	0	5	5-5	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	19.9	6	50%	4	0	1	1	2	0	2	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	12.4	2	25%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaquille Harrison #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Procedure
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	40	14	9	5	15	31	8	32	22-24	92%	30-55	55%	9-31	29%

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21 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.5	37	71%	9	2	1	1	4	4	1	8	9-10	90%	11-16	69%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Nowell #24 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 24	34.3	8	31%	1	2	1	0	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
David Roddy #21 · SF · 6'5" 255 · 23	30.0	8	57%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	30.0	27	71%	3	5	2	1	2	5	1	2	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	17.3	2	20%	5	1	0	3	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	30.9	7	35%	7	1	3	1	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	29.8	12	86%	5	2	0	0	1	6	0	5	5-5	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	19.9	6	50%	4	0	1	1	2	0	2	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	12.4	2	25%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaquille Harrison #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Procedure
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	40	14	9	5	15	31	8	32	22-24	92%	30-55	55%	9-31	29%

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6 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	37.1	34	65%	10	7	1	0	2	2	1	9	13-13	100%	6-13	46%	3-8	38%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 35	32.9	27	79%	2	5	1	1	2	1	0	2	5-7	71%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 28	32.7	9	64%	2	4	1	0	2	1	1	1	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	26.5	14	37%	9	3	2	1	3	6	3	6	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	0-3	0%
Josh Okogie #2 · SF · 6'4" 213 · 25	25.9	3	30%	7	1	3	1	1	2	3	4	1-6	17%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	19.3	7	50%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	17.8	6	50%	3	1	0	2	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #21 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 28	17.8	8	67%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	15.3	4	67%	2	0	1	0	2	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	14.7	4	33%	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Chimezie Metu #4 · C · 6'10" 219 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udoka Azubuike #27 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	44	24	10	8	16	21	12	32	35-43	81%	27-57	47%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.4%

PHX

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

68%

PHX

52%

Midrange

MEM

24%

PHX

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

13.5

29%

44%

PHX

13.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

MEM

92%

PHX

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	37	71%	18.5 / 26
D. Bane	27	71%	13.5 / 19
V. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Nowell	8	31%	4.0 / 13
D. Roddy	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Aldama	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Konchar	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Biyombo	2	20%	1.0 / 5
X. Tillman	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	34	65%	17.0 / 26
K. Durant	27	79%	13.5 / 17
J. Nurkić	14	37%	7.0 / 19
G. Allen	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Bates-Diop	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Goodwin	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Eubanks	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Y. Watanabe	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Little	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Okogie	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 9 116.9	MEM 105.8 PHX 113.7 +7.9
Pace	17 98.6 15 98.9	MEM 109.4 +13.0 PHX 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 6 14.9	MEM 13.2 −1.8 PHX 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 6 56.5%	MEM 50.6% +1.8% PHX 48.8%
TO %	27 14.3% 25 14.2%	MEM 15.0% PHX 14.3% −0.7%
ORB %	19 23.8% 11 25.0%	MEM 20.0% PHX 27.3% +7.3%
FTrt	18 23.8 3 27.1	MEM 27.9 PHX 51.8 +23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 14 63.7%	MEM 35.9% PHX 66.7% +30.8%
STL %	5 8.3% 17 7.5%	MEM 8.7% PHX 9.8% +1.1%
BLK %	1 11.9% 6 10.7%	MEM 8.8% PHX 14.5% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 4 58.9%	MEM 53.4% PHX 55.8% +2.4%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 12 65.2%	MEM 68.4% +16.8% PHX 51.6%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 2 47.7%	MEM 23.5% PHX 42.3% +18.8%
3P %	29 34.6% 5 38.2%	MEM 29.0% PHX 34.6% +5.6%
FT %	23 76.4% 6 80.8%	MEM 91.7% +10.3% PHX 81.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 28 29.8%	MEM 44.2% +6.8% PHX 37.3%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 30 32.4%	MEM 19.8% −11.6% PHX 31.3%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 21 37.8%	MEM 36.0% +4.7% PHX 31.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Game Totals	MEM	PHX
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	109	116
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	14	24
Steals	9	10
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	16 (1)
Fouls	31	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	39-86	36-83
At-the-Rim FG	26-38	16-31
Midrange FG	4-17	11-26
2-Point FG	30-55	27-57
3-Point FG	9-31	9-26
Free Throws	22-24	35-43
Fast Break Pts	13	9
2nd Chance Pts	4	20
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	25	13
Bench Points	27	29
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg