Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 2, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	35%	121	121	116.3	104	107.8
	2	Bucks	65%	127	132	126.9	104	100.5

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+19

-11

112

MIL

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

MIL

1.35 67.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	36.7	32	55%	2	12	2	0	4	0	2	0	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	5-13	38%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	36.3	17	94%	9	1	0	0	0	2	3	6	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.0	30	75%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	4-6	67%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	30.8	12	50%	1	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	6-6	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	30.2	10	36%	17	4	1	3	2	4	8	9	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.1	5	50%	4	3	0	0	0	3	1	3	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	25.3	14	39%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	2-7	29%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	12.2	1	17%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thunb; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	54%	40	23	11	6	11	14	15	25	16-21	76%	30-63	48%	15-38	39%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	36.7	32	55%	2	12	2	0	4	0	2	0	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	5-13	38%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	36.3	17	94%	9	1	0	0	0	2	3	6	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.0	30	75%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	4-6	67%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	30.8	12	50%	1	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	6-6	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	30.2	10	36%	17	4	1	3	2	4	8	9	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.1	5	50%	4	3	0	0	0	3	1	3	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	25.3	14	39%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	2-7	29%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	12.2	1	17%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thunb; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	54%	40	23	11	6	11	14	15	25	16-21	76%	30-63	48%	15-38	39%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	39.4	16	73%	4	3	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	38.4	25	74%	6	9	1	0	4	3	1	5	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-6	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	36.3	32	76%	11	10	2	1	5	1	2	9	4-5	80%	14-19	74%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	33.4	11	55%	2	4	0	4	2	2	1	1	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	24.8	12	67%	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	22.7	15	58%	11	0	0	0	0	3	2	9	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	19.7	18	75%	3	2	0	0	1	5	0	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-6	33%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	16.8	3	75%	1	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	8.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	67%	44	33	5	4	15	19	8	36	12-15	80%	39-56	70%	14-33	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

MIL

1.35 67.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

52%

MIL

75%

Midrange

ATL

45%

MIL

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

22.5

39%

59%

MIL

21.0

42%

64%

Free Throws

ATL

76%

MIL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	32	55%	16.0 / 29
D. Murray	30	75%	15.0 / 20
S. Bey	17	94%	8.5 / 9
B. Bogdanović	14	39%	7.0 / 18
D. Hunter	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Capela	10	36%	5.0 / 14
O. Okongwu	5	50%	2.5 / 5
W. Matthews	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	32	76%	16.0 / 21
D. Lillard	25	74%	12.5 / 17
C. Payne	18	75%	9.0 / 12
M. Beasley	16	73%	8.0 / 11
B. Portis	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Middleton	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Lopez	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Beauchamp	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 6 117.6	ATL 116.3 MIL 126.9 +10.6
Pace	6 100.9 8 100.6	ATL 107.8 +7.3 MIL 100.5
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 19 14.4	ATL 13.4 −1.0 MIL 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 4 56.8%	ATL 52.0% MIL 67.4% +15.4%
TO %	13 12.5% 10 12.2%	ATL 9.1% −5.2% MIL 14.3%
ORB %	5 27.1% 25 21.8%	ATL 29.4% +5.2% MIL 24.2%
FTrt	12 25.1 4 27.0	ATL 20.8 +3.9 MIL 16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 20 61.5%	ATL 51.1% MIL 62.3% +11.2%
STL %	18 7.4% 28 6.7%	ATL 10.6% +5.8% MIL 4.8%
BLK %	21 9.0% 28 8.5%	ATL 10.7% +4.4% MIL 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 6 58.8%	ATL 54.0% MIL 67.3% +13.3%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 4 67.9%	ATL 52.4% MIL 75.0% +22.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 11 44.5%	ATL 45.2% MIL 60.0% +14.8%
3P %	17 36.4% 11 37.3%	ATL 39.5% MIL 42.4% +2.9%
FT %	8 79.7% 19 77.4%	ATL 76.2% MIL 80.0% +3.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 24 31.5%	ATL 20.8% MIL 40.4% +19.7%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 7 25.4%	ATL 41.6% MIL 22.5% −19.1%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 4 43.0%	ATL 37.6% +0.5% MIL 37.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	121	132
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	23	33
Steals	11	5
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	14	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	36 (3)
Field Goals	45-101	53-89
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	27-36
Midrange FG	19-42	12-20
2-Point FG	30-63	39-56
3-Point FG	15-38	14-33
Free Throws	16-21	12-15
Fast Break Pts	10	21
2nd Chance Pts	12	7
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	18	17
Bench Points	20	36
Biggest Lead	6	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg