Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 2, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Blazers	53%	110	113	107.6	105	101.7
	29	Jazz	47%	109	118	112.4	105	89.3

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+16

-9

112

UTA

+20

-17

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.4%

UTA

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	43.5	25	57%	5	4	2	0	0	5	2	3	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	3-8	38%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	37.6	25	66%	3	6	2	1	3	0	1	2	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	5-9	56%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	35.5	10	56%	11	0	0	0	0	3	1	10	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	30.0	8	50%	3	0	4	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	26.4	9	38%	3	0	0	1	3	2	0	3	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	32.7	6	60%	3	2	1	2	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	24.1	4	33%	6	1	1	0	1	0	2	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	21.3	17	50%	5	3	1	0	2	5	2	3	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	14.0	9	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	50%	40	17	11	11	9	20	11	29	24-27	89%	25-55	45%	13-40	33%

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25 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	43.5	25	57%	5	4	2	0	0	5	2	3	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	3-8	38%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	37.6	25	66%	3	6	2	1	3	0	1	2	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	5-9	56%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	35.5	10	56%	11	0	0	0	0	3	1	10	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	30.0	8	50%	3	0	4	1	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	26.4	9	38%	3	0	0	1	3	2	0	3	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	32.7	6	60%	3	2	1	2	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	24.1	4	33%	6	1	1	0	1	0	2	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	21.3	17	50%	5	3	1	0	2	5	2	3	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	14.0	9	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	50%	40	17	11	11	9	20	11	29	24-27	89%	25-55	45%	13-40	33%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 20	35.6	21	48%	6	6	0	0	4	2	2	4	6-10	60%	6-9	67%	1-8	13%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	35.3	17	53%	9	3	1	3	2	2	2	7	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	34.6	7	29%	5	5	0	2	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-8	13%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	27.0	9	56%	15	4	1	1	1	3	4	11	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.3	6	75%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	30.5	25	78%	4	5	0	0	3	2	1	3	7-7	100%	9-11	82%	0-2	0%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	25.4	12	100%	8	0	0	2	2	1	4	4	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	20.8	14	78%	2	4	3	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	17.7	5	36%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	11.8	2	20%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	118	55%	56	27	5	5	17	21	16	40	19-24	79%	39-60	65%	7-34	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.4%

UTA

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

65%

UTA

64%

Midrange

POR

28%

UTA

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

33%

49%

UTA

10.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

POR

89%

UTA

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	25	57%	12.5 / 22
M. Brogdon	25	66%	12.5 / 19
S. Henderson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
D. Ayton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Grant	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Reath	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Camara	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Thybulle	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Walker	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	25	78%	12.5 / 16
K. George	21	48%	10.5 / 22
J. Collins	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Horton-Tucker	14	78%	7.0 / 9
W. Kessler	12	100%	6.0 / 6
Ö. Yurtseven	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Fontecchio	7	29%	3.5 / 12
O. Agbaji	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Hendricks	5	36%	2.5 / 7
L. Samanic	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 18 114.6	POR 107.6 UTA 112.4 +4.8
Pace	21 97.9 9 100.5	POR 101.7 +12.4 UTA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 16 14.6	POR 14.2 −2.0 UTA 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 18 53.9%	POR 46.8% UTA 52.7% +5.9%
TO %	29 14.6% 30 14.8%	POR 9.3% −5.4% UTA 14.7%
ORB %	3 27.5% 2 28.1%	POR 21.6% UTA 35.6% +14.0%
FTrt	23 22.8 11 25.1	POR 28.4 +2.9 UTA 25.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 10 64.8%	POR 44.7% UTA 58.7% +14.0%
STL %	12 7.7% 29 6.5%	POR 10.5% +5.7% UTA 4.8%
BLK %	20 9.0% 3 11.1%	POR 18.3% +9.2% UTA 9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 15 56.5%	POR 50.4% UTA 54.6% +4.2%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 11 65.2%	POR 65.4% +1.5% UTA 63.9%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 20 41.3%	POR 27.6% UTA 66.7% +39.1%
3P %	30 34.5% 22 35.4%	POR 32.5% +11.9% UTA 20.6%
FT %	9 79.1% 1 83.0%	POR 88.9% +9.7% UTA 79.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 20 32.6%	POR 27.4% UTA 38.3% +10.9%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 15 26.8%	POR 30.5% UTA 25.5% −5.0%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 10 40.6%	POR 42.1% +5.9% UTA 36.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	UTA
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.8	28.2
Points	113	118
Rebounds	40	56
Assists	17	27
Steals	11	5
Blocks	11	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	17 (1)
Fouls	20	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	38-95	46-94
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	23-36
Midrange FG	8-29	16-24
2-Point FG	25-55	39-60
3-Point FG	13-40	7-34
Free Throws	24-27	19-24
Fast Break Pts	21	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	24
Points in Paint	42	68
Pts off Turnovers	17	18
Bench Points	36	58
Biggest Lead	6	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg