Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 2, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Nuggets	46%	116	117	109.3	107	103.0
	16	Kings	54%	117	123	115.0	107	111.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-10

110

SAC

+11

-11

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.2%

SAC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.2	36	67%	13	14	2	1	0	3	2	11	9-12	75%	12-19	63%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	38.0	9	35%	5	3	4	0	4	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.4	20	56%	1	8	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.7	17	65%	7	3	0	1	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	32.6	13	54%	8	2	0	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.1	11	55%	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	14.1	4	100%	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.4	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	11.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	9.8	4	29%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	46	35	9	7	10	14	8	38	13-20	65%	43-74	58%	6-25	24%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.2	36	67%	13	14	2	1	0	3	2	11	9-12	75%	12-19	63%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	38.0	9	35%	5	3	4	0	4	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.4	20	56%	1	8	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.7	17	65%	7	3	0	1	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	32.6	13	54%	8	2	0	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.1	11	55%	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	14.1	4	100%	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.4	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	11.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	9.8	4	29%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	46	35	9	7	10	14	8	38	13-20	65%	43-74	58%	6-25	24%

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16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	37.9	26	54%	4	16	3	1	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	7-16	44%	3-6	50%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	36.1	17	45%	15	7	1	0	2	5	2	13	2-3	67%	6-15	40%	1-3	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	33.1	11	61%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	29.4	16	80%	6	2	1	1	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	23.4	8	40%	5	1	0	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-5	40%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	28.1	26	81%	3	4	2	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	4-7	57%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.8	7	44%	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	14.1	4	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	11.9	8	100%	4	0	0	3	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	8.1	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	47	33	7	5	11	14	9	38	11-15	73%	32-65	49%	16-34	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.2%

SAC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

64%

SAC

62%

Midrange

DEN

54%

SAC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9.0

24%

36%

SAC

24.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

DEN

65%

SAC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	36	67%	18.0 / 27
R. Jackson	20	56%	10.0 / 18
A. Gordon	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Porter	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Braun	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	35%	4.5 / 13
P. Watson	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Jordan	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Strawther	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	26	54%	13.0 / 24
M. Monk	26	81%	13.0 / 16
D. Sabonis	17	45%	8.5 / 19
K. Huerter	16	80%	8.0 / 10
H. Barnes	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Murray	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. McGee	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Lyles	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Vezenkov	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 13 116.3	DEN 109.3 SAC 115.0 +5.6
Pace	26 97.4 14 99.4	DEN 103.0 SAC 111.3 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 26 14.1	DEN 14.0 SAC 12.9 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 14 55.6%	DEN 52.5% SAC 56.6% +4.1%
TO %	7 12.1% 12 12.5%	DEN 9.3% −0.1% SAC 9.4%
ORB %	6 25.5% 14 24.5%	DEN 17.4% SAC 19.1% +1.7%
FTrt	24 22.4 22 22.9	DEN 20.2 +5.0 SAC 15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 7 65.4%	DEN 71.4% +2.6% SAC 68.8%
STL %	20 7.3% 14 7.6%	DEN 8.4% +1.9% SAC 6.5%
BLK %	25 8.7% 27 8.6%	DEN 10.8% +4.0% SAC 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 14 57.0%	DEN 53.2% SAC 57.5% +4.3%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 6 66.0%	DEN 63.6% +2.1% SAC 61.5%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 9 44.9%	DEN 53.7% +12.7% SAC 41.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 16 36.6%	DEN 24.0% SAC 47.1% +23.1%
FT %	25 76.2% 30 74.5%	DEN 65.0% SAC 73.3% +8.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 27 30.0%	DEN 33.3% +7.1% SAC 26.3%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 14 26.8%	DEN 41.4% SAC 39.4% −2.0%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 3 43.2%	DEN 25.3% SAC 34.3% +9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	117	123
Rebounds	46	47
Assists	35	33
Steals	9	7
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	14	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (4)	38 (3)
Field Goals	49-99	48-99
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	16-26
Midrange FG	22-41	16-39
2-Point FG	43-74	32-65
3-Point FG	6-25	16-34
Free Throws	13-20	11-15
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	7	9
Points in Paint	62	60
Pts off Turnovers	11	20
Bench Points	22	45
Biggest Lead	8	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg