Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 2, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Rockets	47%	108	97	95.1	102	110.5
	20	Lakers	53%	109	107	104.9	102	94.7

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+14

-16

100

LAL

+11

-9

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.96 48.0%

LAL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.6	22	69%	5	7	0	0	3	1	1	4	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	4-7	57%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	33.7	21	40%	13	5	2	2	0	2	3	10	2-2	100%	5-17	29%	3-8	38%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	33.1	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	32.2	10	31%	7	2	0	0	6	1	1	6	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-6	17%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	29.8	10	63%	9	3	2	3	3	5	1	8	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	19.8	6	50%	7	2	1	1	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	14.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	14.1	11	92%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	11.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	3.1	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	48%	54	24	5	7	16	23	11	43	14-18	78%	25-58	43%	11-31	35%

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19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.6	22	69%	5	7	0	0	3	1	1	4	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	4-7	57%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	33.7	21	40%	13	5	2	2	0	2	3	10	2-2	100%	5-17	29%	3-8	38%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	33.1	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	32.2	10	31%	7	2	0	0	6	1	1	6	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-6	17%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	29.8	10	63%	9	3	2	3	3	5	1	8	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	19.8	6	50%	7	2	1	1	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	14.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	14.1	11	92%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	11.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	3.1	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	48%	54	24	5	7	16	23	11	43	14-18	78%	25-58	43%	11-31	35%

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20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	36.6	27	52%	14	3	0	5	1	2	6	8	7-9	78%	10-22	45%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	35.4	16	42%	4	7	1	1	5	0	0	4	2-5	40%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 30	29.3	11	79%	6	1	2	0	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	26.4	9	45%	2	7	5	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	24.4	11	69%	5	1	0	1	0	3	1	4	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%

Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	28.9	12	75%	7	2	0	0	0	3	0	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	3-3	100%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	22.1	18	69%	4	1	3	0	1	2	1	3	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	13.7	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	11.1	1	25%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	6.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	48	24	11	7	9	17	9	39	19-27	70%	32-62	52%	8-27	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.96 48.0%

LAL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

41%

LAL

55%

Midrange

HOU

45%

LAL

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

16.5

35%

53%

LAL

12.0

30%

44%

Free Throws

HOU

78%

LAL

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Sengun	21	40%	10.5 / 26
A. Holiday	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Brooks	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Green	10	31%	5.0 / 16
J. Smith	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Eason	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Whitmore	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Tate	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 2
N. Hinton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	27	52%	13.5 / 26
A. Reaves	18	69%	9.0 / 13
L. James	16	42%	8.0 / 19
M. Christie	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Prince	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Reddish	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Russell	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Hayes	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Wood	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Vanderbilt	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Hood-Schifino	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 15 115.4	HOU 95.1 LAL 104.9 +9.8
Pace	13 99.6 4 101.4	HOU 110.5 +15.7 LAL 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 23 14.2	HOU 13.0 −2.2 LAL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 5 56.6%	HOU 46.6% LAL 49.4% +2.8%
TO %	8 12.1% 18 13.1%	HOU 14.9% LAL 10.6% −4.3%
ORB %	10 25.1% 30 19.9%	HOU 22.0% +4.7% LAL 17.3%
FTrt	9 25.7 2 27.6	HOU 20.2 LAL 30.3 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 8 65.4%	HOU 66.7% +6.7% LAL 60.0%
STL %	9 7.8% 21 7.2%	HOU 4.9% LAL 10.8% +5.9%
BLK %	11 9.7% 19 9.1%	HOU 11.3% LAL 12.1% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 5 58.8%	HOU 48.0% LAL 51.4% +3.4%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 1 68.9%	HOU 41.4% LAL 55.0% +13.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 25 40.4%	HOU 44.8% LAL 45.5% +0.7%
3P %	23 35.2% 8 37.7%	HOU 35.5% +5.9% LAL 29.6%
FT %	20 77.3% 15 78.2%	HOU 77.8% +7.4% LAL 70.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 2 36.6%	HOU 32.6% LAL 44.9% +12.4%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 18 27.5%	HOU 32.6% LAL 24.7% −7.9%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 28 35.8%	HOU 34.8% +4.5% LAL 30.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	LAL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	97	107
Rebounds	54	48
Assists	24	24
Steals	5	11
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	9 (3)
Fouls	23	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	39 (1)
Field Goals	36-89	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	12-29	22-40
Midrange FG	13-29	10-22
2-Point FG	25-58	32-62
3-Point FG	11-31	8-27
Free Throws	14-18	19-27
Fast Break Pts	20	8
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	34	54
Pts off Turnovers	11	21
Bench Points	24	33
Biggest Lead	9	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg