Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	79%	118	102	104.1	98	102.2
	29	Hornets	21%	106	95	97.9	97	93.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	35.6	18	60%	10	9	1	1	3	6	2	8	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	33.3	20	50%	12	5	3	0	1	1	2	10	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.8	14	54%	2	1	1	1	2	1	2	0	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.7	3	50%	3	2	2	4	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.5	22	73%	5	1	1	2	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.7	11	69%	7	1	0	2	1	1	2	5	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.8	2	50%	3	0	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	16.1	10	50%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	14.8	2	11%	3	4	1	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.7	0	0%	2	1	0	2	2	4	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	48	25	11	13	14	21	12	36	12-14	86%	27-60	45%	12-30	40%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	35.6	18	60%	10	9	1	1	3	6	2	8	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	33.3	20	50%	12	5	3	0	1	1	2	10	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.8	14	54%	2	1	1	1	2	1	2	0	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.7	3	50%	3	2	2	4	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.5	22	73%	5	1	1	2	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.7	11	69%	7	1	0	2	1	1	2	5	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.8	2	50%	3	0	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	16.1	10	50%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	14.8	2	11%	3	4	1	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.7	0	0%	2	1	0	2	2	4	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	48	25	11	13	14	21	12	36	12-14	86%	27-60	45%	12-30	40%

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29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	38.1	12	55%	15	3	1	3	3	1	6	9	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	37.6	22	46%	7	2	2	3	1	2	2	5	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	2-12	17%
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	31.3	8	57%	6	4	1	2	4	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	26.5	4	40%	3	8	0	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	10.8	4	40%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	28.3	20	42%	8	2	4	2	2	1	1	7	7-9	78%	5-13	38%	1-7	14%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	25.4	19	73%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	5-7	71%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	18.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	17.1	6	60%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	6.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-Displaced Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	47	23	8	11	17	15	13	34	19-23	83%	26-60	43%	8-28	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

CHA

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

40

50%

CHA

19

35

54%

Midrange

DEN

7

20

35%

CHA

7

25

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

30

40%

60%

CHA

8

12.0

28

29%

43%

Free Throws

DEN

12

14

86%

CHA

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	22	73%	11.0 / 15
J. Murray	20	50%	10.0 / 20
N. Jokić	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Gordon	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. Braun	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Strawther	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Watson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Jackson	2	11%	1.0 / 9
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	22	46%	11.0 / 24
P. Washington	20	42%	10.0 / 24
N. Smith	19	73%	9.5 / 13
N. Richards	12	55%	6.0 / 11
G. Hayward	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Martin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Smith	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Miller	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. McGowens	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 28 108.7	DEN 104.1 +6.1 CHA 97.9
Pace	26 97.4 23 97.8	DEN 102.2 +8.6 CHA 93.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 13 14.7	DEN 14.1 −1.3 CHA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 26 52.9%	DEN 50.0% +6.8% CHA 43.2%
TO %	7 12.1% 20 13.2%	DEN 15.0% −0.5% CHA 15.5%
ORB %	6 25.5% 27 21.1%	DEN 26.1% CHA 26.5% +0.4%
FTrt	24 22.4 30 21.2	DEN 15.6 CHA 26.1 +10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 18 62.0%	DEN 64.1% CHA 67.6% +3.5%
STL %	20 7.3% 22 7.0%	DEN 11.2% +3.0% CHA 8.2%
BLK %	25 8.7% 29 8.5%	DEN 21.7% +3.4% CHA 18.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 28 54.6%	DEN 50.0% +2.5% CHA 47.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 20 63.0%	DEN 50.0% CHA 54.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 23 40.5%	DEN 35.0% +7.0% CHA 28.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 21 35.5%	DEN 40.0% +11.4% CHA 28.6%
FT %	25 76.2% 11 78.6%	DEN 85.7% +3.1% CHA 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 15 33.2%	DEN 44.4% +4.7% CHA 39.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 19 27.7%	DEN 22.2% −6.2% CHA 28.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 15 39.1%	DEN 33.3% +1.5% CHA 31.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	CHA
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.0	24.9
Points	102	95
Rebounds	48	47
Assists	25	23
Steals	11	8
Blocks	13	11
Turnovers (Team)	14 (3)	17 (1)
Fouls	21	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	34 (0)
Field Goals	39-90	34-88
At-the-Rim FG	20-40	19-35
Midrange FG	7-20	7-25
2-Point FG	27-60	26-60
3-Point FG	12-30	8-28
Free Throws	12-14	19-23
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	15
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	23	26
Bench Points	25	45
Biggest Lead	18	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg